libera/##covid-19/ Wednesday, 2020-04-01

python476dont worry it's a fantasy nazi tab00:03
python476i call it my tiny fantazi00:03
BrainstormNew from https://covid19.specops.network * at 21:57 UTC: ljl-covid: Add France maps — from r/WorldNews at 21:57: 13 year old boy from London dies from Covid-19 after 5 days in hospital with no underlying health issues. → https://is.gd/zK4iQh00:04
tinwhiskersHadn't seen this one before: Nafamostat mesylate (brand name: Fusan), which is the drug used to treat acute pancreatitis, may effectively block the requisite viral entry process the new coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) uses to spread and cause disease (COVID-19). The University of Tokyo announced these new findings on March 18, 2020. (https://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/focus/en/articles/z0508_00083.html)00:06
tinwhiskershey blkshp. How's things in the UK?00:09
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 22:07 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Jamie Dupree su Twitter: "WASHINGTON (AP) - White House projects 100,000 to 240,000 deaths in US from coronavirus pandemic if social distancing maintained." — from r/WorldNews at 22:07: Mountain goats take over Welsh town in coronavirus lockdown → https://is.gd/HhFQw100:10
Scarecr0wHold up, if social distancing maintained? and still that high? damn00:13
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 22:09 UTC: Coronavirus US live: Trump predicts 'a very tough two weeks': Amazon fires worker who led New York warehouse strike Detroit: America’s next Covid-19 hotspot prepares for surge CNN’s Chris Cuomo diagnosed with coronavirus See all our coronavirus coverage [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/3tan2f00:16
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 22:17 UTC: (news): Trump says the coronavirus surge is coming: It's going to be a 'very, very painful two weeks' — from r/WorldNews at 22:17: Mountain goats take over Welsh town in coronavirus lockdown → https://is.gd/4sYOgj00:22
xionbox[m]Oh my, he isn't lying for once :-o00:26
Scarecr0wxionbox[m]: Forgive me for asking, what does [m] mean on your nickname?00:27
xionbox[m]Scarecr0w: hmm not sure. Are you on Freenode IRC ? I'm using Matrix.org + Riot, so maybe that's it?00:28
Scarecr0wxionbox[m]: I see, so [m] could mean Matrix. I'm on freenode and i've noticed many users have [m] but never bothered asking. Thank you!00:29
xionbox[m]Scarecr0w: you're welcome. Matrix is pretty fun if you want to try it out ;-)00:32
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +3881 cases (now 858239), +24 deaths (now 42035), +2 recoveries (now 176907) — US: +514 cases (now 185673), +15 deaths (now 3788) — Israel: +3027 cases (now 8385)00:37
PlanckWalkIt's sad how health officials deny people tests due to no link with a confirmed case, then a week or so later test them in hospital.  They then order extended testing in that particular area and find a bunch of cases and call it a "localized cluster".00:38
PlanckWalkIf they did extended testing on any area, I bet they'd find a "localized cluster".00:38
python476kindly approaching 1M00:41
TimvdeOh, if we're sharing maps, here's Flanders: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NtWNV/4/00:41
TimvdeNo, I don't know why they didn't include the entire country00:41
TimvdeProbably to make the schism between north and south larger or something00:42
TimvdeThe numbers 1-5 are in "x per 1000 people"00:42
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 22:42 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/4sYOgj00:46
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 22:54 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Australia coronavirus live updates: death toll rises to 20 as pop-up clinic established in Bondi – latest news — from r/WorldNews at 22:54: 6 feet enough for social distancing? MIT researcher says droplets carrying coronavirus can travel up to 27 feet → https://is.gd/YLSAoC01:04
HoogvliegerNederland: https://www.rivm.nl/actuele-informatie-over-coronavirus01:08
AmedioYyo70Hi, I am in Spain. We have a lot of problems. Not enough doctors. Could use forsythia to prevent disease just like in the movie?01:10
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 23:04 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/4sYOgj01:10
AmedioYyo70Thank to everyone. sorry to bother. Goodnight.01:15
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 23:09 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Coronavirus: India's race to build a low-cost ventilator to save Covid-19 patients - BBC News — from r/WorldNews at 23:09: Coronavirus: Israeli settlers exploit lockdown to annex Palestinian land → https://is.gd/t7sMze01:16
python476I'm wondering if01:21
python476people were struggling with issues (thoughts) before covid01:22
python476and now only care about covid01:22
python476meaning, how much of our problems are relative01:22
BrainstormNew bulletins for US: +1607 cases (now 187280), +62 deaths (now 3850), +114 recoveries (now 6461) — California, US: +801 cases (now 8254), +25 deaths (now 174) — Arkansas, US: +15 cases (now 523), +1 deaths (now 8)01:22
oribasome problems from before will now be wven more a problem... for example fear to lose job01:22
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 23:15 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: rise in Italy, US and France deaths takes global confirmed toll past 40,000 — from r/WorldNews at 23:15: Coronavirus: Israeli settlers exploit lockdown to annex Palestinian land → https://is.gd/Jg7Xpx01:23
python476"Condom shortage looms after coronavirus lockdown shuts world's top producer"01:23
python476oriba: good point01:23
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 23:26 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." — from r/WorldNews at 23:26: Coronavirus the worst global crisis since WW II, says UN chief → https://is.gd/4sYOgj01:29
LjLpython476, so now we'll also have a number of STD pandemics?01:39
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 23:29 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Australia coronavirus live updates: death toll rises to 20 as pop-up clinic established in Bondi – latest news — from r/WorldNews at 23:29: With world busy fighting coronavirus, China quietly builds installations on Philippine-claimed reefs → https://is.gd/YLSAoC01:40
python476LjL: or maybe some govt will add condoms to list of basic necessities01:42
LjLTimvde, i am adding more local maps to the resources page but that's where i draw the line01:42
LjLONE BELGIUM OR NOTHING01:42
python476(especially if you confine people at home ~_~)01:42
LjL:P01:42
python476the lack of thinking01:42
TimvdeLjL: I agree with you, fwiw ;)01:43
TimvdeBut bedtime now01:43
LjLpython476, at least they thought about informing people on safe sex during the pandemic, as i'm sure everybody has seen that tweet by now01:43
LjLTimvde, bonne nuit01:43
TimvdeNever said I agreed with speaking French though...01:44
LjL:D01:44
LjLgoed nacht?01:44
LjLor something01:44
TimvdeGoede*01:44
LjLpff gender01:44
TimvdeYes :)01:44
TimvdeAlthough most people couldn't tell you the gender of a word if they wanted to01:46
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 23:41 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/4sYOgj01:46
TimvdeIt's kinda subtle01:46
LjLTimvde, i know, it's basically undergoing a transformation like swedish, from a three-gender system to a common-vs-neuter system01:47
LjLit's not like i can speak things but i know the linguistics of it ;)01:47
LjLbut for now i guess there are a few things where i can still get the gender wrong01:48
TimvdeAnyway, bye01:48
LjLbyebye nini01:49
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 23:43 UTC: Coronavirus US live: Donald Trump predicts 'a very, very painful two weeks': Amazon fires worker who led New York warehouse strike Detroit: America’s next Covid-19 hotspot prepares for surge CNN’s Chris Cuomo diagnosed with coronavirus See all our coronavirus coverage [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/3tan2f01:52
pynatired of winning01:54
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 23:49 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/4sYOgj01:58
AlbrightOn top of everything else, we just had a major earthquake in the Boise area, not an area known for earthquakes. Had to be at least a 5. My place is fine, but I wouldn't be surprised if it did some damage to less-reinforced buildings.01:59
LjLAlbright, yep02:00
LjLnot sure if a 5, but i definitely got many tweets about it02:01
LjLseveral from Boise02:01
LjLAlbright, https://twitter.com/BrainstormBot/status/124513720416019251202:01
LjL%title02:01
BrainstormLjL: From twitter.com: Brainstorm su Twitter: "❗ EARTHQUAKE WARNING for Western Idaho — follow for updates (Twitter)"02:01
LjLfor now i have this guess02:01
LjL❔ M5+ estimated tremor, registered by scevent, with 34 reports, 1 early, possibly occurred 7 minutes ago (23:52:31 UTC), during daytime, Idaho, United States of America (44.26, -115.47) ± 39 km, ↓5 km likely felt 130 km away (in Boise, Meridian…) by 333000 people — Webcams: https://is.gd/YaK91Z https://is.gd/1feM62 https://is.gd/9G4iqF (renass.unistra.fr)02:01
LjLAlbright, 6.002:02
LjLthis is... unusual?02:02
LjL<Brainstorm> 🌎 Earthquake! 6.0 M tremor, registered by GFZ,scevent, with 34 reports, 2 early, occurred 9 minutes ago (23:52:31 UTC), during daytime, Idaho, United States of America (44.6, -115.03) ± 5 km, ↓4 km likely felt 180 km away — Webcams: https://is.gd/YaK91Z https://is.gd/1feM62 https://is.gd/VVX7D9 (seismicportal.eu)  02:02
AlbrightLjL: For this area, very02:03
LjLAlbright, 6.0 is definitely damaging if there's people at the epicenter02:04
LjLi'll have a look at google maps02:04
AlbrightYes, I'm a Californian who also lived in Japan, so I know what a "real" earthquake is like… but for this area this was major.02:04
LjLsnow everywhere!02:04
LjLAlbright, ah, well... even japanese people get kind of unsettled by an M602:04
ryoumais m the richter02:05
LjLryouma, it's the magnitude, originally it was measured in richter, so yeah more or less02:05
LjLit's not the mercalli02:05
ryoumamercalli is the local one?02:06
LjLyes02:06
LjLsimilar to shindo, but that's only used in japan and korea02:06
LjLAlbright, the epicenter is on a "Sheep Mountain"02:06
LjLin a national forest, so i guess not populated at the epicenter02:06
LjLquite far from Boise02:07
AlbrightHaven't heard of it, but there are a bajillion mountains around here.02:07
LjLgood thing Boise wasn't the epicenter02:07
LjLthat'd have been nasty02:07
AlbrightWhere are you seeing this? It doesn't seem to be on the USGS site yet.02:07
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1416 cases (now 858293), +34 deaths (now 42132), +118 recoveries (now 177140) — US: +892 cases (now 188172), +23 deaths (now 3873) — Quebec, Canada: +732 cases (now 4162), +9 deaths (now 31)02:07
LjLAlbright, just from the epicenter that Brainstorm gave... which is obtained from seismicportal.eu which is a site by the EMSC, the european seismological agency02:07
LjLabsnc, https://www.google.com/maps/place/44%C2%B036'00.0%22N+115%C2%B001'48.0%22W/@44.0123658,-118.6323094,6.38z/data=!4m5!3m4!1s0x0:0x0!8m2!3d44.6!4d-115.0302:07
LjLAlbright, ↑02:08
LjLSalmon-Challis National Forest02:08
LjLhttps://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=84370802:08
LjLupped to 6.3 now02:08
LjLUSGS should have it by now but it doesn't02:09
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: In 40 years, less than 10% of plastic has ever been recycled. PBS/NPR report reveals plastic industry lobbyists knew all along, but pushed recycling propaganda campaigns to sell more plastic. (5317 votes)02:12
CoronaBothttps://www.npr.org/2020/03/31/822597631/plastic-wars-three-takeaways-from-the-fight-over-the-future-of-plastics | https://redd.it/fsl7m502:12
AlbrightUSGS has it now, they say 6.5: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us70008jr5/executive02:13
LjLi see02:14
LjLno PAGER yet but i expect green02:14
LjLscary though02:14
ryoumais there going to be a general shortage of everything now?02:16
LjLi don't think so, at least not in the short term02:16
LjLthere may be some disruption from things that are no longer being produced in china, or that haven't been for a while02:16
LjLbut the supply chain is long, so we may not notice for a while02:16
LjLi'm more worried about the logistics02:16
LjLi.e. *getting* the things that there are02:16
LjLAlbright, https://www.reddit.com/r/Earthquakes/comments/fsocvl/western_idaho_earthquake_likely_moderate_at_2352/02:17
LjLBrainstorm is everywhere ;)02:17
AlbrightTop comment: "In Arkansas did not feel it" - Okay, thank you for the information02:17
AlbrightThat was definitely longer than 10 seconds. Felt like at least to 30 to me.02:18
ryoumayou are in idaho?02:18
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 00:15 UTC: /u/SuitingUncle620: New Zealand COVID-19 Updates: — from r/WorldNews at 00:15: China to begin reporting asymptomatic coronavirus cases in its daily tally → https://is.gd/WBRlB802:18
Albrightryouma: In Boise, yes.02:19
ryoumai felt one that long too once02:19
LjLAlbright, lol, well, "no" is a perfectly valid answer to "did you feel it" questionnaires, so i guess... :P02:19
ryoumabut your location might not have building standards that account for earthquakes02:20
Albrightryouma: Yeah, that's what I'm concerned about.02:20
AlbrightThere are some buildings downtown that have a lot of old brickwork too.02:20
LjLwell, you can expect aftershocks from a 6.5, but this is far enough from populated areas that hopefully aftershocks are just a bit of additional shaking02:21
LjLAlbright, i'll add you to Brainstorm's earthquake notification list if you don't mind (for Boise?)02:21
ryoumaitaly must have a bunch of earthquakes02:21
LjLryouma, just many enough to be devastating, but not many enough for us to actually build things made to withstand them02:22
AlbrightLjL: Okay, I can try it.02:22
LjL%wik 2006 L'Aquila earthquake02:22
BrainstormLjL, no such article found on the English Wikipedia02:22
plockiHello everybody. If I'd like to support projecst by sharing some CPU Power... what is the best project to support? folding@home, rosetta@home or maby others? suggestions welcome. Thank you.02:23
LjL%geo Boise02:23
BrainstormLjL, Location not found for Boise.02:23
LjL%geo Boise, Idaho02:23
BrainstormLjL, location: Boise, Idaho (43.613, -116.199) ± 7 km. Webcams: https://www.windy.com/webcams/1326591644https://www.windy.com/webcams/1229967465https://www.windy.com/webcams/116965423002:23
LjLplocki, either should be okay i guess, i know that folding was out of units to give some users a while ago, so i guess if you don't get work units from folding try rosetta02:24
AlbrightI can't find my poor cat. She's probably freaking out somewhere.02:26
LjL:(02:26
DocScrutinizer05hi!02:26
ynhttps://blog.ircpuzzles.org/2020/04/2020-april-fools-live/02:26
plockiLjL: yes i know. with folding you just have to wait. i did contributed 6 WU since yesterday already. i'm just wondering which project is best NOW02:26
bin_bash:( Albright02:27
Albrightyn: Looks like base6402:27
yn:302:27
ynmaybe?02:27
yn:D02:27
Albrightaftershock02:28
Albrightyn: "WeDontLetCOVID19RuinAFP"02:28
danielp3344but not sure what to do with it :P02:28
danielp3344<Albright "yn: Looks like base64"> it is02:28
LjLi don't think the game is about giving other people the decoded clues :P02:29
danielp3344LjL: shh02:29
danielp3344anw I'm not sure how that's a clue?02:29
LjLwell you aren't supposed to be sure!02:30
LjLAlbright, you'll probably get no aftershock notifications for a bit while 1) i've just restarted the bot and 2) it's probably still being swamped with "there was just an earthquake!" tweets (you'd find it surprising how many different things "just" means to people :D)02:30
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Hope for coronavirus sufferers as five critically ill patients are saved in the space of 12 days after being treated with former carriers' blood (5048 votes)02:31
CoronaBothttps://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8171059/Five-coronavirus-patients-test-negative-treated-former-patients-blood-China.html | https://redd.it/fscpk702:31
LjLAlbright, "felt up to Canada", says one source02:35
LjLhttps://twitter.com/kellyrmcintosh/status/124514074578832998502:35
AlbrightLjL: Yeah, I'm hearing people felt it in the Coeur D'Alene area, which is way up north… wouldn't be surprised if people across the border felt it too.02:36
v0idkr4ft[m]it's gotta be pretty painfull if they're running out of fetanyl02:40
LjLAlbright, aftershock was 4.802:42
LjLhaving a cold sore means my immune system is fully prepared to beat the virus, right?02:57
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 00:57 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Shane Harris su Twitter: "New: In the chaos of NYC, where freezer trucks have been turned into morgues, several hospitals have taken the unprecedented step of allowing doctors not to resuscitate people with covid-19. https://t.co/crIqJaK0Qf by @arianaeunjung, @LennyMBernstein, @FrancesSSellers and me" [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/GLc4us03:02
LjL:\03:03
bin_bashno it means youre infected by another virus03:06
LjLwell i knew that03:06
tinwhiskersLjL: I'd be interested in getting your earthquake alerts03:07
LjLtinwhiskers, i'm not going you're ever going to get an early one in Tonga given the likely low number of people tweeting from there, but sure, you can still get the later reports03:09
LjLi'm not going?03:09
LjLi don't think*03:09
LjLor whatever i was thinking i was typing03:09
LjL%geo Tongatapu03:14
BrainstormLjL, Location not found for Tongatapu.03:14
LjLpfft03:14
IronYSleeping from 1pm to 9pm is totally normal03:14
plockiI'd realy like to help with cpu/gpu power (I'm an IT-professional with quite some resources... ) but i don't have any idea which project should be suppoerted right now. So... are there some bio/chemical experts in here who can tell me more in-deep about various projects regarding destributed cpg/gpu sharing and stuff? I tried to research this stuff but i'm afraind this is way out of my league. Thank you.03:15
IronYthere is one real project u should be doing right now, folding@home03:15
IronYeverything else can wait tell later03:15
IronYlike finding asteroids03:15
IronYetc03:15
yuriwhoplocki: check Brian Soichets lab website to see if he has any distributed computing projects03:16
yuriwhohttp://www.bkslab.org03:18
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 01:19 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases over 856,900 death toll tops 42,000 [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/o9WPuY03:23
plockiIronY: yea... as from my research (non-expert) i am going on with folding@home (doing this for sime days already) . I'd just like to have this confirmed by some subject-related experts.03:29
plockiyuriwho:  do you have any resources as text? I'm a scientist - not really happy with yt videos. but thank you anyway.03:30
plocki * IronY: yea... as from my research (non-expert) i am going on with folding@home (doing this for quite days already) . I'd just like to have this confirmed by some subject-related experts.03:31
plocki * IronY: yea... as from my research (non-expert) i am going on with folding@home (doing this for quite some days already) . I'd just like to have this confirmed by some subject-related experts.03:31
LjLugh03:32
yuriwhoplocki: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/03/covid-19-distributed-computing-vaccine/03:34
python476damn, covidly scores France the same as USA03:35
LjLi think i'd really like to be able to disable editing in Matrix rooms03:35
python476even though we started quarantining long before ..03:35
python476LjL is that the reason behind plocki multilines ?03:36
LjLyes03:36
python476funny03:36
LjLalso what is covidly? if i type that into google then google gives me a lot of covid things03:36
LjLbut then the actual hits are... nondescript03:36
python476covidly.com/03:37
LjLwell03:37
python476yet another world tracker, pretty gentle on the eyes and on your cpu03:38
LjLthe fact that isn't the first hit (or a hit at all) on google is... interesting?03:38
python476yeah .. well google might have trouble sorting all the covid frenzy I guess03:39
LjLmany subnational units on this one03:39
python476noise filter must be retired03:39
python476LjL yeah it's nicely featured03:39
python476since plague.com changed into visuals-first I go on covidly03:39
LjLhmm it has the "good" type of trajectory graphs03:40
LjLpython476, wasn't plague.com just a shorter link to JHU's tracker before?03:40
BruntLIVEi think the 100k to 250 k death estimate but trump was meant to scare us into compliance03:40
python476LjL: used to, but they made their own map-first thing03:42
LjLBruntLIVE, doesn't mean it's not true though03:42
LjLwell, doesn't mean it's not in line with other estimates, rather03:42
LjLtrue or not... who knows03:42
BruntLIVEchina is the barometer03:43
IronYyuriwho: I was thinking about something u had said about initial viral load being a contributing factor to chances of survival03:43
BruntLIVEwhats their count?03:43
yuriwhohere’s a good article for how scientists are reacting to the pandemic: https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/03/416986/unveiling-how-coronavirus-hijacks-our-cells-help-rush-new-drugs-patients03:43
plocki<LjL "i think i'd really like to be ab"> multilines? I've edited some spelling mistakes and this works perfectly with riot (not riotx). this is not a matrix fail but riotx (or possibly other clients)03:44
IronYyuriwho: theoretically does it not make sense as a option of last humanity resort to expose people voluntarily to said pathogen at minuscle amounts03:44
LjLBruntLIVE, what makes china the barometer? italy has already three times as many deaths as china03:44
IronYlike a controlled burn basically03:44
LjLplocki, this is partly/mainly an IRC channel, and the IRC-to-Matrix bridge just repeats your message many times over with a * before it every time you edit03:44
python476putin's head of covid is positive03:44
python476may putin enjoys a long bed stay03:45
IronY"China is the barometer" -- Said no one, ever, about any number, ever released from china, in the history of humanity, ever :D03:45
yuriwhoIronY: possibly, cant really research that idea ethically03:45
plockiLjL: ok. I C. sorry, didn't noticed03:45
LjLIRC doesn't have editing, and aside from this being a bridging issue, i also think editing realtime chat makes it a bit less than transparent. i was sort of okay with it when Matrix only had removal...03:45
plockitime to switch to matrix. irc is dead anyways P03:46
IronYbye felica!03:46
LjLvery much not dead, also very much less than a chore for me to use than matrix, although that likely just means i'm old, but old people chat too03:46
IronY"IRC is dead" - 25 years ago - 20 year ago - 10 years ago - 5 years ago - 1 year ago - here we are03:46
IronYAIM, MSN, ICQ, those are dead, irc is very much still alive03:47
python476IronY: academia uses China as tainted publication unit03:47
BruntLIVEwhat is Italy estimate? 1 million?03:47
python476(jk of course)03:47
BruntLIVEcan it spread by licking someones skin?03:48
LjLBruntLIVE, i don't know that we have an estimate, but we *already* have more than 12000 ascertained deaths. now the US is roughly 6x the population of Italy. 72000 isn't very far from 100k-200k03:48
LjL... quite possibly?03:48
LjLthe deaths in Italy aren't about to stop any time soon so if anything i'd guesstimate that 100k-200k is an optimistic estimate for the US, especially with the rather loose restrictions in place03:49
BruntLIVEsay if someone licks your forehead, will it spread that way ?03:49
plockiIronY: and it will die some day. because it is OLD! very old! look at matrix to get some fresh ideas.  no offence, just saying. sorry if this is OT.03:51
IronYplocki: matrix will die the second matrix 2 comes out, matrix is not 'new' there are plenty of things like matrix, being an evangelist of one technology over all others is a great demonstration of not understanding technology, no offence03:52
IronYplocki: again, you are saying something that everyone said about every other chat technology that ever came out since irc, 99% of those are dead, and here i am , trying to explain this to you on irc03:53
LjLa few people have already gotten tired of previous arguments over Matrix vs IRC. this channel is both, so let's try to just get along and respect each other's choices03:53
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +244 cases (now 858922), +6 deaths (now 42158), +790 recoveries (now 177930) — US: +244 cases (now 188524), +6 deaths (now 3889), +790 recoveries (now 7251) — California, US: +244 cases (now 8498), +6 deaths (now 180)03:53
IronYBruntLIVE: You have to be within 1m of someone to lick their forehead03:54
IronYso yes03:54
BruntLIVEhow skin isnt broken03:54
IronYbecause ur inches from their mouth03:54
BruntLIVEabsorbs into skin? or mouth n nose only03:54
IronYabsorbs into eyes03:54
BruntLIVElol03:55
IronYthat was not a joke03:55
BruntLIVEif i lick your arm it will not go into eye03:55
BruntLIVEor chest or forehead03:55
python476what about ears ?03:55
python476not kidding for once03:55
BruntLIVEok03:56
IronYpython476: No idea but there is no soft tissue in the ears?03:56
BruntLIVEsay a chest, if u lick a womans chest, can she get it?03:56
IronYI dont see medical people wearing ear protection03:56
IronYBruntLIVE: If you run around licking people right now your gonna expire from things other than covid :/03:56
BruntLIVElol03:57
python476IronY: maybe it's a matter of geometry, ears are tiny, on the side, smaller hole03:57
python476I'll google03:57
python476what about genitals03:57
IronYit is not sexually transmitted03:57
IronYfrom what I understand03:57
python476I mean.. ~_~ oral might be a vector03:57
Scarecr0wBruntLIVE: I kinda have a feeling you are asking those questions because you want to have sexy time with your girl but I would say, don't. For now.03:57
IronYoral is probably better off then kissing03:57
python476IronY: ok, i guess people already searched for this03:57
BruntLIVEif someone licks my nipple will i get it? no, no open holes unless she bites03:57
BruntLIVEare nips porous03:58
python476if youre having sex with a cannibal covid might be the least of your problem03:58
python476might even save you03:58
python476BruntLIVE: female nipples do let liquid pass so .. could be03:58
python476we need to ensure regular hand gel application on nipples03:59
BruntLIVEok03:59
BruntLIVElol03:59
IronYif u do not have a sexual partner ur currently living with, ur hand is now ur sexual partner, if you do have a sexual partner ur currently living with, in my opinion, ur already in this together03:59
python476with complete online video tracking03:59
python476sorry wrong uh chan03:59
plockiIronY: We will see . Right now - for me - matrix offers me the perfect way to be transparent with almost any other ptotocol. Matrix itself is doing quite some things right IMHO. Again: no offence. it's just my feeling. But it's disturbed now and than by outdated  protokolls. and IRC is outdated - no doubt about that.03:59
BruntLIVEpython: how do u live?03:59
gildartsIRC will never die. https://xkcd.com/1782/03:59
python476with oxygen03:59
python476IronY: sure, but I'm sure a few teens are hooking up in cars04:00
IronYpython476: then we should probably arrest their parents04:00
IronYcannot blame teens04:00
python476BruntLIVE: I'm isolated with two parents, so far nobody is sick04:00
IronYasking teens not to fornicate in stressfull times is a big ask, I get it, I remember being a teen, being away from ur gf for a second was basically the end of the world04:01
python476gildarts: still fresh04:01
IronYmy heart goes out to them :/04:01
Scarecr0wgildarts: Nice one haha04:01
gildartsThere is always an XKCD on point. XD04:01
IronYgildarts: LOL04:01
python476IronY: heard of the condom companies shutdown causing shortage ?04:02
python476gildarts: there's an XKCD about that too04:02
python476the dude is a genius04:02
python476I hate him04:02
IronYpython476: I would suspect condom companies would be tooling more latext glovens out04:02
IronYgloves*04:02
python476IronY: some of them have shut down apparently04:02
Scarecr0wpython476: Bruh, i would just cut the glove's fingers and use it. :D04:02
gildarts(Highly recommend his books if you want some laughs in these hard times)04:02
python476in any case condoms should still be produced, hospitals and doctors would enjoy not dealing with more STD right now04:03
BruntLIVEu can get STD treatment online04:03
BruntLIVEsent to walgreens04:03
BruntLIVEthats what i heard04:03
python476god this game of antagonistic distributed operational research is tough04:03
plocki<gildarts "IRC will never die. https://xkcd"> as liek email. but it's old and bad04:03
IronYplocki: You have been asked to stop by an op04:04
IronYso lets drop it04:04
LjLthis backscroll is looking a bit ridiculous04:04
LjLand matrix vs irc really isn't the worst part of it04:04
python476news report : US something bought off some France mask order straight at the airport04:04
python476basically redirecting the plane through the power of benjamin franklin04:04
gildartsLjL: Sorry, missed your previous statement.04:04
LjL'sokay04:05
plockiLjL: yes you are right. lets get back to topic. thx04:05
Scarecr0wpython476: Got link for that news report, if you don't mind?04:05
python476Scarecr0w: I may give it to you in exchange for condoms and pasta04:06
python476it's 2020, barter economy is the new trend04:06
IronYMeanwhile In ottawa canada, all of our community spread just happens to be located in retirement homes04:06
Scarecr0wpython476: I can give you condoms but no pasta, only sauce. ;O04:06
python476garlic sauce ?04:06
LjLi have04:07
pokiehlI'm getting hungry.04:07
LjL1) hand sanitizer04:07
LjL2) 5 ffp2 masks04:07
LjL3) a bidet04:07
LjLwhat's your offers04:07
IronY4 bottles of Isoprop, a VR headset, and a promise of infinite toilet paper04:07
python476Scarecr0w: it's a twitter-vid in French https://twitter.com/Aramisunchained/status/124499179284555366404:07
Scarecr0wpython476: Thanks.04:09
LjLahead of you on the VR04:10
IronYLjL: Have you managed to actually use it in the last 2 weeks04:10
LjLhttps://np.reddit.com/r/daydream/comments/fpmsgn/what_can_i_still_do_with_my_daydream/fllwdj5/04:10
LjLIronY, not even tried04:10
IronYI have not even been able to play a game of solitair04:10
yuriwhowhy wife brought home some HPLC grade isopropanol the other day for me to make some hand sanitizer04:10
python476yuriwho: irc is asking your gps location04:11
python476^_____^;;;04:11
IronYpython476: On a serious note though04:11
yuriwhowhat?04:11
LjLyuriwho, is... non-something-grade actually not safe enough for hand sanitizer?04:11
Scarecr0wyuriwho: Wait, we can't drink that?04:11
IronYeveryone, do not advertise ur actual resources to people irl04:11
yuriwhoScarecr0w: no04:12
pokiehlIronY: I can see that become a problem in the future if things don't improve04:12
IronYi generally save all retail boxes of high end electronics for a year due to warranty04:12
IronYI was up for a purge this week04:13
IronYI decided not to advertise my stock pile of high end electronics04:13
gildartsNeed a fire pit to handle that kind of thing.04:13
IronY^04:13
IronYthey just made those illegal04:13
IronYhere anyway04:13
Scarecr0wfire pit?04:13
gildartsInteresting.04:13
IronYyeah, not enough resources for the people who fuck up every year and light their shit on fire04:13
gildartsScarecr0w: Ring of stones/blocks where you can have fires safely.04:14
python476IronY: I dont understand04:14
python476you're affraid of burglary ?04:15
IronYpython476: That is something we should all be concerned about04:15
yuriwhoLjL: the HPLC grade was only because thats what she has access to, any grade will work and none are for drinking04:15
IronYespecially in densely populated low income areas04:15
LjLi am up to speed with the (not) drinking part04:15
python476that's a bit individualist extrapolation04:15
python476I agree that it's a possibility04:15
IronYpython476: I have a human history of crime statistics that say otherwise04:15
IronYre: every thing ever and looting04:16
BruntLIVEpython what04:16
gildartsI'm assuming you could use vodka as a quick sterilizer? Local Costco is completely sold out of hand sanitizer, but has a few pallets of vodka.04:16
python476can't deny that I thought that if we started stashing things in our outside locker people would see and might be tempted04:16
IronYgildarts: 60% of 200 proof is WHO approved on the vodka front04:16
LjLI think, that Germans sometimes don't understand, what the punctuaction rules for English are. At the same time, do Frenchmen ever drop their pre-punctuation spaces ?04:16
IronYor 200 proof*04:16
python476BruntLIVE: in times of crisis people can revert to scared wild animals, or organize04:17
python476usually those who do the latter survive a lot easier04:17
BruntLIVEvices double04:17
python476probs are smaller but still04:17
LjLpython476, do you mean like people in general, or americans04:17
jbjllkvinager works for cleaning04:17
python476LjL: it was a generic comment04:17
Scarecr0w200 proof? damn, seriously? I never knew 80+ proof existed. lol I'm a rookie drinker.04:17
python476USA for sure have the ethos reflex of reverting to individualism04:17
LjLpython476, because like, it may have been all about toilet paper in northern europe, but they certainly seemed to hoard a few weapons in the states04:17
python476gun sales show that already04:17
python476yeah04:18
IronYjbjllk: only if it is not diluted04:18
jbjllkmoonshine just water suger and yeast04:18
python476LjL: Also the early hoarding was a bit of a very weak reflex04:18
python476it didn't go wilder and longer04:18
BruntLIVEpython: can u resuscitate your own body? i can04:18
IronYpython476: My canadian bank app has a new feature, it tells me my bank account is insured by the gov04:18
gildartsI wonder if the local Costco is still out of toilet paper.04:18
python476jbjllk: some videos on youtube for the whole process :)04:18
IronYthat means people are already thinking of running banks04:18
python476BruntLIVE: I cannot, I can barely restore it for jogging04:19
python476IronY: ha ?04:19
LjLpython476, people only hoarded for a few days in a row here because they'd reflex-hoard every time the PM issues a new emergency law, and he did that like... four days in a row04:19
jbjllkyou can make it without the video04:19
gildartsIronY: Man... that would make the economics impact even worse.04:19
BruntLIVEprotein shake brings u back04:19
python476BruntLIVE: ha04:19
IronYgildarts: oh heck yeah it would, but that is a real possibility depending on how this goes04:19
python476I also have electronic spare parts04:19
python476I can probably build myself a very nice set of stealth tazer04:20
jbjllkunless you want to up the proof leve04:20
danielp3344I've been building a jet engine in my garage out of random car parts :P04:20
python476electromagnets and high amp smelters04:20
danielp3344It's almost done now :D04:20
python476danielp3344: please04:20
python476pics us04:20
BruntLIVEpython: domo arigato?04:20
danielp3344python476: wut04:20
danielp3344you want pictures?04:20
python476yes04:21
danielp3344I'll be right back04:21
python476of course i want to see a homelab jet04:21
jbjllklevel04:21
python476BruntLIVE: no I mean I'm not following much here04:21
danielp3344python476: There are a lot of videos on youtube of similar concepts04:21
danielp3344search 'turbocharger jet engine'04:21
IronYAnyone know what time amazon prime releases content04:21
IronYas in their streaming service04:22
IronYif it is out on may first, does that mean like 2:00am EST04:22
BruntLIVEpython: who are u04:22
Scarecr0wIronY: Which show are you watching or tracking?04:22
python476BruntLIVE: this is answered on ##psychology04:22
IronYScarecr0w: there is a new one coming out tomorrow, sec04:22
gildartsTypically midnight California time... or is that netflix?04:22
danielp3344do you poor souls not use the pirate bay?04:22
Scarecr0wI think it's Netflix that releases near midnight.04:23
IronYdanielp3344: no i use an actual torrent site04:23
danielp3344:C04:23
Scarecr0wLOL04:23
IronYdanielp3344: but torrent sites cannot have torrents before the site that has the legit content has content04:23
danielp3344IronY: well, sometimes there are exceptions04:23
IronY^ true04:23
danielp3344but I've found it's generally worth the wait04:23
python476ok, let's pick colin furze04:23
jbjllk1337x and zoogle are good04:23
danielp3344not that I watch much that's less than 30 years old lol04:24
python476danielp3344: tpb is often offline recently04:24
Scarecr0wI kinda want to flex my plex library but scared lol04:24
danielp3344Scarecr0w: it's OK, we believe you04:24
jbjllkdid you try the tor link for tpb04:24
python476danielp3344: makes me think, there's a car junkyard behind my house...04:24
danielp3344python476: you must be the luckiest person in the universe04:24
danielp3344python476: do you do much with cars?04:26
python476no I'm a newb04:27
python476I started scavenging electronics and kitchen appliances04:27
danielp3344I see04:27
python476I made a nichrome wire wand to split glass <o/04:28
danielp3344cool04:28
python47612v atx ftw04:28
python476yeah I'm starting slow, hopefully I'll improve faster this year04:28
danielp3344I built a wood gasifier in the first few days of quarantine04:28
python476mostly I need a hangar/concrete floor04:28
python476danielp3344: amazing04:28
python476I wanted to do that too04:28
danielp3344I remember the last time I left the house was to get high temp silicone04:28
python476carbon + gas04:28
danielp3344python476: I've learned a few things04:29
python476that fire burns ?04:29
danielp3344don't bother with downdraft gasifiers, they're less efficient and a pain to make work04:29
danielp3344Also do not use aluminum anywhere04:29
danielp3344mine must have been at least 900c in the hottest part04:30
python476so what04:30
python476free aluminum ingots04:30
danielp3344python476: well, it melted :P04:30
danielp3344I had used aluminum rivets and an aluminum grate on the first prototype04:30
python476heh04:30
python476starters are always full of fails04:30
danielp3344I really want to make one large enough to run my truck on someday04:30
IronYgrr04:31
danielp3344python476: oh yeah, one more thing04:31
IronYthe show I want is may 1st, not april 1st04:31
danielp3344if you want to run an engine, a good filter is not optional, I ruined an engine that way04:31
IronYhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ZfZj2bn_xg04:31
danielp3344you end up with a ton of tar and soot04:31
python476danielp3344: I'll try to remember that if I ever make one04:32
danielp3344python476: galvanized HVAC duct works great04:32
danielp3344My most successful one was a piece of that stuck in a 4 gallon metal bucket with a lid04:33
danielp3344It also seems to work well to put about an inch of water in the bottom of the bucket to prevent ignition of gas by falling coals04:34
danielp3344There were a lot of explosions while I was testing04:34
danielp3344One of my eyebrows still hasn't grown back %10004:34
python476danielp3344: pics bruh !04:36
danielp3344nah04:36
python476boo04:36
berndjthis is weird: germany has more *recoveries* than italy. is this likely to be just another manifestation of the "it's the aggressive testing" hypothesis?04:36
berndjdanielp3344, it won't stay galvanized for long at 900°C!04:37
IronYIn these troubled times, lets all be glad we have the onion lol https://politics.theonion.com/trump-delays-easter-to-july-15-to-keep-promise-on-coron-184256655904:37
python476good onion04:38
jbjllkgenie code modified germans04:38
danielp3344berndj: but with any luck it wont melt04:39
danielp3344also the upper parts will remain galvanized and still prevent corrosion04:39
python476'night04:43
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Canadian government commits $2 billion to Canadian made medical needs. So far more than 3,200 companies that would have closed have shifted to manufacturing medical equipment, PPE, sanitizers, masks, and more. Treat our patients, protect our workers, keep economy moving. Oh Canada 🇨🇦 ❤️ (5238 votes)04:49
CoronaBothttps://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-medical-supplies-procurement-1.5516068 | https://redd.it/fsor4x04:49
izberndj: can't recover if you die04:49
berndjiz, right, but this seems to exclude the explanation that germany is just time-shifted behind italy??04:50
izi don't think it's just time shifted, italy has a much higher death percentage04:50
berndjyeah, and germany's seems anomalously low04:51
alice8i bet germans are just following the rules really well04:51
iz%cases germany04:51
Brainstormiz: In all areas, Germany, there are 71808 cases, 775 deaths (1.1% of cases), 16100 recoveries as of April 01, 02:06Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Germany for time series data. Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.4% (assuming deaths/cases with ⅔ of cases undetected), and less than 4.6% (considering only deaths and recoveries).04:51
izhmm.. idk, the only theory i have is italy ran out of hospital space/ventilators04:52
alice8also italians smoke more than germans i read04:52
berndjyes, but france hasn't, yet, i believe04:52
berndj%cases france04:52
Brainstormberndj: In all areas, France, there are 52128 cases, 3523 deaths (6.8% of cases), 9444 recoveries as of April 01, 02:06Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=France for time series data.04:52
berndjalice8, no, germans smoke marginally more04:53
berndjbut i haven't seen a breakdown of smoking by age cohorts04:53
berndjand some people are speculating that smoking is protective (which would surprise me a bit, but ok maybe)04:53
alice8huh ur right i was misinfomed04:54
berndji'd like to see if there's a difference in how many older italians smoke vs older germans04:55
IronYberndj: the only thing I can say I know from research on the topic of smoking it is is still weirdly better to be an active smoker versus a recovered smoker but being a non smoker is still the best of the three05:12
berndjIronY, so now is not a good time to stop smoking?05:13
IronYberndj: Supposedly, again, this was one some non peer reviewed medical paper, but healed lung tissue of a non smoker is higher in ACE205:13
berndjis not having smoked in 10 years more like "non smoker" or more like "recovered smoker"?05:13
IronYrecovered05:13
berndjinteresting. what's different about someone who last smoked 10 years ago?05:14
IronYfully healed lung tissue05:14
berndji mean compared to a never-smoker05:14
IronYnever smoker still have the lowest ACE2 surface vector05:14
berndjoh i see, you mean the higher ACE2 expression persists after you stop smoking?05:15
IronYI am a smoker, imma be honst, that scares me, i would be more afraid to be an alcoholic though05:15
bigfluffHow bad is it affecting alcoholics?05:15
IronYwell alcohol is a immunosuprresent05:16
IronYso I have no data, but that cannot be good05:16
berndjdarn, so i'll just have to keep looking at these wine bottles in my fridge05:16
bigfluffAh, right...I didn't know if there was something specific I hadn't read05:16
bigfluffThanks :)05:16
berndj(i barely drink, the bottles just sit there month after month)05:16
IronYberndj: yeah I am more talking the people who cannot just stop drinking right now05:17
berndjIronY, what do you know about the blood pressure thing? smoking increases it right?05:17
IronY"It is a paradox that while smoking acutely increases blood pressure, a slightly lower blood pressure level has been found among smokers than nonsmokers in larger epidemiological studies"05:18
berndjsome people are saying "high blood pressure is a greater risk", but i'm wondering: is it the blood pressure per se, or the mechanism causing it that matters?05:18
IronYhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/916244705:18
IronYI had my blood pressure taken 3 times last year, always slightly lower (not by a scary factor) then "normal"05:19
berndjam i to read that smokers have, on average, a lower baseline blood pressure, but higher while they're actively smoking a cigarette?05:19
berndj(or what's with the "acutely")05:19
bigfluffI've had low blood pressure my last few tests too05:20
IronYbigfluff: smoker?05:20
IronYberndj: that would make sense since the half life of nicotine in the system is measured in less than an hour05:21
bigfluffIronY: yes05:22
bigfluffWeed05:22
nb%cases indiana, us05:25
Brainstormnb: Sorry, indiana, us not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.05:25
nb%cases indiana05:25
Brainstormnb: In Indiana, US, there are 2159 cases, 49 deaths (2.3% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.05:25
bigfluff%cases oregon05:25
Brainstormbigfluff: In Oregon, US, there are 690 cases, 18 deaths (2.6% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.05:25
bigfluff%cases us05:25
Brainstormbigfluff: In all areas, US, there are 188578 cases, 3890 deaths (2.1% of cases), 7251 recoveries as of April 01, 03:19Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.05:25
ryoumait is kind of mind boggling to me, as a naive, ignorant, non-epidemiologist, that we don't have testing all over the usa, for all suspected cases, all hcw at hospitals, and all hospital visitors with possible symptoms.  or at least some sample.  or even sampling in the community in places where transmission seems likely.05:28
Administrator_hellp05:28
Administrator_hello05:28
ryoumahi!  ciao!05:28
Specryouma: to do that, you would need tests05:30
ryoumayeah :(05:31
IronYanyone wanna go do the math on those numbers - NYC05:31
IronYthe tates that means05:31
ryoumai just think we are kind of working with insufficient data05:32
ryoumawhat do you mean by this? --- 19:19 <BruntLIVE> protein shake brings u back05:34
ryoumamy vodka bottle (used to use for cleaning stuff of mold) is 40% --- 19:16 <IronY> gildarts: 60% of 200 proof is WHO approved on the vodka front05:36
ryoumagildarts: ^05:36
Lee-I can't find good data on number of tests performed in the US vs testing capacity. I suspect our confirmed cases numbers are being capped by our ability to test.05:36
IronYhttps://www.brusselstimes.com/all-news/101752/coronavirus-poland-to-use-confiscated-vodka-alcohol-as-disinfectant/05:36
IronYforget who the polish person was that was on here, but yeah, ur gov is serious05:37
IronYgood for u guys05:37
berndjLee-, i saw test numbers somewhere but i don't remember the link. i last saw it when the US had just started ramping up its testing rate, corresponding with the turn upwards of the # of cases05:38
Lee-I've found some numbers, but they're not being updated frequently. They also include number of tests, not testing capacity. I'm assuming we're using 100% of the available capacity, which means our confirmed numbers are artificially capped. I also read that there's a supply issue with one of the chemicals used as part of the test as it's made by a German manufacturer. Anyway I'd like to find more transparent data related to testing capacity vs tests05:40
Lee-performed than what I've managed to find.05:40
PlanckWalkConfirmed case numbers nearly everywhere in the world are capped by ability to test05:40
IronY^05:40
IronYI thought this was common knowledge05:40
PlanckWalkand/or willingness.05:40
Lee-This is the best source of testing data I've found, but I'd like something more official. https://covidtracking.com/data/05:41
PlanckWalkPick pretty much any country in the world, and they restrict access to testing due to lack of test capability.05:42
PlanckWalk(Or for political reasons)05:43
Lee-Right, but that's the key issue I'm trying to understand -- how many tests are we not doing that we would like to do if we had the capacity? In other words, are we maxing out our testing capacity each day? I'm assuming the answer is yes, but I don't know.05:45
IronYI am not understanding ur question05:46
IronYare you asking if they are purposely not maxing on a given day05:46
IronYof coure ur maxing out each day05:46
IronYand of course the desired result would be to drop a test at everyones door in the world right now05:46
IronYthat is not the reality you are living in atm though05:46
PlanckWalkFrom tomorrow, one of the states in Australia is expanding test criteria to all people with fever + respiratory symptoms.05:47
Lee-That's my assumption, but I had not found anything to confirm that was the case. I keep hearing "anyone who wants a test will get tested", which just sounds unrealistic.05:47
PlanckWalkPreviously they were requiring close contact with a previously confirmed case, or recent overseas travel.05:47
IronYLee-: I feel like you have not put the minimum of a 5 min span on a google search on the topic05:47
PlanckWalkThere's nowhere in the world that has "anyone who wants a test will get tested".05:48
IronYThis is the only test I care about https://www.vox.com/2020/3/30/21186822/immunity-to-covid-19-test-coronavirus-rt-pcr-antibody05:49
PlanckWalkThe only place I ever saw someone say that, also has one of the most restrictive and limited testing.05:49
IronYmakes more point now to test for people who already got over it05:50
IronYthen people who may have it05:50
PlanckWalkI expect nearly everywhere now has widespread community transmission, and containment by testing and tracing isn't possible anymore.05:52
IronYexactly05:52
IronYtesting was for confinement05:52
IronYthat ship sailed05:52
IronYthe quicker people can realize that the quicker we can stop talking about the 'why cant I get a test' conversations05:53
IronYu could go out to get a test right now, and contract covid on the way home05:53
Lee-I think that highly depends on where you live. I'm on the border of 2 counties. My county got its first confirmed case on 3/24 (4 as of today). The other has 0 as of today. I'm sure there are places where contract tracing still makes sense. For places where it's basically everywhere should probably stop testing there as it serves little purpose.05:57
IronY'county'05:58
IronYno05:58
PlanckWalkLots of places have had no confirmed cases due to not testing05:58
IronYthis virus does not care about counties limits05:58
IronYur food / goods are not coming from your countie05:59
IronYur just on the last stage of acceptance05:59
IronY1: The world numbers are low, 2: The countries numbers are low, 3: the states numbers are low, 5: the city numbers are low, 6: old people are dying, everything is closed: 7: A lot of my friends are in the hospital06:00
IronYur on 506:00
IronYmissed 4 in there lol06:01
IronY4: The counties numbers are low ;)06:01
IronYLee-: I will tell you the same thing my government tells me, the one thing I can respect coming from my government in the time of this crisis06:02
IronYLee-: Assume you have it, assume everyone else has it, act accordingly06:02
alice8stay home06:03
Lee-I'm an introvert who works from home. That's not an issue for me. My point is simply that there are places that are far more rural where contact tracing would still be viable, but we apparently can't get testing.06:04
IronYLee-: no06:04
IronYeveryone should stay home06:04
IronYit is that simple06:04
rajrajrajHighest death yesterday06:04
rajrajrajIronY: its not06:04
IronYI am not going to debate real science06:04
rajrajrajI don't get veggies at home06:04
PlanckWalkThere aren't enough people to do contact tracing anymore, even if there were tests06:04
rajrajrajYesterday i had to go out and buy a week grocery06:05
IronYeven if u could contract trace, until there are people literally blocking all traffic in an out of a county line06:05
IronYthen what use is it06:05
PlanckWalkIt's quite likely that everyone is a contact of someone who has the virus by now.06:06
alice8im good for a month. i haven't left home for 14 days now06:06
IronYi have left the house for 20 mins in the last 17 days06:06
IronYthe prep work before and after leaving the house for 20 mins was 3 hours06:07
PlanckWalkOkay, "everyone" is hyperbole.  A significant fraction of the whole population, though.06:08
IronYPlanckWalk: I can confirm the most remote canadian communities are effected06:08
IronYthat is a good metric to support ur case06:08
alice8even in singapore?06:11
IronY"The whole world"06:11
alice8people are touting singapore and south korea as successes of contract tracing and quarantine06:12
alice8contact*06:12
IronYkorea got on the ball BEFORE containment failed06:12
IronYsupposedly06:12
Zalyssadon't forget taiwan06:12
alice8so in these places most of the population hasnt contacted an infected person we can assume if the numbers are true?06:13
PlanckWalkYes, there are a few countries where they do appear to be in containment still.06:16
PlanckWalkSingapore looks borderline though06:17
ryoumawhat prep work --- 21:07 <IronY> the prep work before and after leaving the house for 20 mins was 3 hours06:17
ryoumais feeling run down and a slight sore throat an early symptom?06:18
PlanckWalkYes.  It's also a symptom of sustained anxiety and about a billion other things.06:19
yuriwhoeveryone needs to take breaks06:20
jacklswnow it's too long a break06:21
jacklswlol06:21
yuriwhoI’m having stress symptoms too06:22
Zalyssadon't forget that not everyone can just shrug off a pandemic and the threat of a somewhat nasty virus06:22
Zalyssaeven if you think you're okay with it all, you may very well not be06:23
yuriwhoagreed06:23
ryoumai don't get those symptoms fro anxiety.  those symptoms usually precede a cold.06:23
yuriwhoI get exema06:24
ZalyssaI do epidemiological work, and it gets to me too06:24
Zalyssaryouma: stress has significant effects on the immune system too, don't forget06:25
yuriwhothere will probably be a surge in PTSD06:25
Zalyssamaybe they've got a cold coming on, sure, but the possible factors that lead to that infection shouldn't be ignored, such as stress and anxiety06:26
yuriwhoI linked a paper on that06:26
ryoumai have been under severe stress for years.  it is indeed a problem.06:26
ryoumaso yeah the immune results of that are a concern06:27
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 04:23 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: HSBC, Standard Chartered shares fall after lenders cancel dividend payments — from r/WorldNews at 04:23: China Hints That Its Coronavirus Data Doesn’t Paint Full Picture.Maybe our numbers aren’t entirely giving the full picture of the coronavirus, China health officials said on Tuesday. → https://is.gd/o9WPuY06:27
ryoumalenders cancel dividends?  huh?06:29
ryoumawhat is teh time from exposure to first symptoms?06:33
tinwhiskersryouma: average is 5 days but the range is about 3-10 days06:34
tinwhiskersyou can get symptoms in 2 days but it's uncommon.06:35
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: A Wuhan doctor who was among the first to alert other medics to the spread of coronavirus has disappeared sparking concerns that she has been detained (5134 votes)06:41
CoronaBothttps://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8173363/Wuhan-doctor-went-public-spread-coronavirus-goes-missing.html | https://redd.it/fsq77906:41
ryoumai was possibly exopsed on the 30th06:55
Cache_Moneyhow?07:02
IronYmy biggest problem right now is how to cut my dogs nails07:02
IronYso far my only idea is to slip her some gravol07:02
ryoumaCache_Money: gf went to deliver something07:03
rajrajrajIronY:  use nail cutter07:06
ryoumadog nail trimmers might be the one thing you can get these days07:07
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 05:14 UTC: Coronavirus map of the US: latest cases state by state: Coronavirus – latest US updates C oronavirus – latest global updates See all our coronavirus coverage The number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 continues to grow in the US. Mike Pence, the vice-president, is overseeing the US response to the coronavirus. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/2Yehgv07:18
ryoumanow coughing.  is there anything to try to hold it off?07:20
IronYyeah07:23
IronYI have nail cutters07:23
IronYI even have dog dremels07:24
IronYthe issue is not how do i cut the dogs nails07:24
IronYthe issue is the dog is so afraid of nail cutting we gave up and had it done professionaly07:24
IronYI do not have a professional grooming station on hand I can suspend the dog from to stop it from moving07:24
IronYthus I am going to mildly sedate the dog07:24
ryoumaa log carrier would do it maybe07:24
IronYryouma: tried that already actually07:25
IronYI have 2, car sized and home sized07:25
IronYI am looking at things on amazon that suspend ur dog in the air07:25
IronYwhich would work07:25
ryoumawhy is suspending dog better than holding dog?07:28
IronYthere feet dangle07:28
IronYso I can cut their nails ;)07:28
IronYI am not even trying to clip them, Im going to dog dremel down the 4 nails that are problamatic07:29
IronYill keep u posted tomorrow lol07:29
twomoonhilarious conversation irony07:34
IronY:)07:35
Jigsy%cases world07:35
BrainstormJigsy: In all areas, World, there are 859917 cases, 42339 deaths (4.9% of cases), 178131 recoveries as of April 01, 05:33Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=World for time series data.07:35
IronYbtw when I say gravol I mean the ginger version not the other one07:35
IronYsame thing they recommend for dogs who are bad at car rides07:35
IronYdo not fret folks, I love my dog like a child and no harm will come to her07:35
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 05:35 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: China reports 36 new cases, 7 deaths: Starting Wednesday, China's National Health Commission will report data on asymptomatic cases under medical observation. — from r/WorldNews at 05:35: Austria to make face masks mandatory at supermarkets → https://is.gd/o9WPuY07:38
ryoumadoes this mean they have enough to distribute to those?07:44
IronYits not hard to ramp production up on surgical level masks07:48
IronYthere is plenty of material and sewing machines on hand in most cities07:48
IronYcannot just domestically make n95 masks of course without some skillz07:48
twomoonis N95 a higher grade than surgical?07:55
IronYhttps://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/pdfs/UnderstandDifferenceInfographic-508.pdf07:55
twomoonalso irony i heard on the radio some scientists talking about how droplet spread vs. airborne spread is a false dichotomy07:56
twomooni kinda instinctively knew that but some 'smarter people' here naysayed a lot when i proposed that07:56
IronYexplain07:57
twomoonthere's nothing to explain. people had created a separate term for something that wasn't really different07:57
IronYlol07:58
IronYno they didnt07:58
IronYdroplet != airborn, that is just a fact07:58
twomoonand some people started thinking airborne spread meant that individual particles of virus shedding from the body not attached to droplets of mucus/water could go infect other people07:58
IronYyou can have airborn droplets07:58
IronYbut droplets != airborn07:58
twomoonit's a false dichotomy dude07:58
IronYmy man ur not convincing me decades of actual science is fake based on a something you heard on the radio07:58
twomoonairborne just means it's in the air for a period of time, whether inside a drop of something or with a piece of dead skin07:59
twomoonit's bullshit irony, because all you have to back it up is a != symbol07:59
IronYhttps://eportal.mountsinai.ca/Microbiology/faq/transmission.shtml#four08:00
IronYwould you like me to paste all 36 million links?08:00
IronYI got time08:00
twomoonit's a false dichotomy because it differentiates based on size of droplet08:01
IronYlol08:01
IronYok moving on08:01
twomoonwithout saying exactly what the size threshold is where something is small/light enough to start floating around in the air like pollen08:01
IronYur talking nonsense opinions vs established vetted science08:02
twomoonthat's the very definition of a false dichotomy08:02
IronYmoving on08:02
twomoonwhere you say there are two different classes but the threshold that defines the two classes is vague and never talked about08:02
IronYmoving on08:02
twomoonbullshit i say!08:02
twomoonyou spelled airborne wrong btw neener-neener08:02
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: The Trump administration is ramping up airstrikes in Somalia, where a human rights group says they are increasingly killing civilians (5155 votes)08:05
CoronaBothttps://www.businessinsider.com/somalia-us-airstrikes-killing-civilians-according-to-watchdogs-2020-3 | https://redd.it/fspne108:05
blkshptinwhiskers: we're getting by, same restrictions, no going out except for exercise or essential work/shopping sort of stuff. I think most people are still being quite british about it!08:08
mefistofelesand crappy spelling08:12
IronYSymptoms are just meh at this point, I cannot keep up08:17
IronYnow that all the info is coming not from china (which means any info is coming)08:17
IronY both diarrhea and constipation are now symptoms08:18
IronYthis is gonna start reading like a medical advertisement08:18
IronY'08:18
IronYAre you sleeping or not sleeping eating or not eating pooping or not pooping drinking or not drinking living or not living - you have covid'08:18
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 06:15 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: US deaths could reach 240,000 as UN says world faces worst crisis since WW2 — from r/WorldNews at 06:15: Experts concerned Chinese government lying about coronavirus could impact U.S. business ties → https://is.gd/HcP57U08:20
IronYThe un is becoming very good at stating the obvious08:24
IronY'3 months into a pandemic, the UN said there was a pandemic'08:24
IronYlol08:24
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 06:27 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: China reports 36 new cases, 7 deaths: Starting Wednesday, China's National Health Commission will report data on asymptomatic cases under medical observation. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/o9WPuY08:30
mefistofelesSo jail time for april fools jokes on covid-1908:51
mefistofelesbear that in mind08:51
AlbrightHUMOR IS FORBIDDEN. IT IS FOR THE COMMON GOOD08:52
IronYliterally told my gf before she went to bed08:54
IronY"If u wake up and u see covid 19 is cured and u can go outside, pay attention to the date'08:54
IronYthe joke was on me though08:56
IronYshe said 'I have not read a single article about this since it started, you have been warning me since January, You do enough for the both of us'08:56
IronYMan I envy her08:56
Gerula"do you ever worry?" "would it help?"08:58
IronY^08:58
sYN4P515what, me worry?08:59
IronYShe is working from home, she is not leaving the house, she is not a vector of risk for me, thus if she wants to remain blissfully unaware, I don't blame her08:59
IronYoh, and she also 100% implements the decontamination protocols I put in place regarding external packages needing to enter the domicile, and takes her multi vitamins lol09:01
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 07:10 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: USA — from r/WorldNews at 07:10: Fox News purportedly bracing for “legal bloodbath” after peddling coronavirus misinformation / Queerty → https://is.gd/0Pjgyb09:13
Albrightpfft09:19
IronYthe link doesnt even work09:19
IronYI have a feeling brainstorm reports things that are deleted before it has a chance to report things09:20
mefistofelesIronY: probably09:20
mefistofelesthat's why it's ot such a good idea to feed on reddit09:20
mefistofelesnot*09:21
IronYmefistofeles: perhaps if we can find a reliable and reviewed RSS feed we can pitch that to them09:21
AlbrightI found the article: https://www.queerty.com/fox-news-purportedly-bracing-legal-bloodbath-peddling-coronavirus-misinformation-2020033109:23
IronYThanks Albright!09:23
AlbrightI can't figure out under what grounds they would be sued, though.09:25
IronYafter reading the comments I gave up on the article itself09:26
mefistofeleslol09:26
IronYEvery news agency was down playing this for 2 months09:26
mefistofelesI read I cannot even get why you found it interesting from the headline09:26
IronYmefistofeles: It was more for entertainment lol09:26
IronYif ur gonna sue fox news, u better start with sueing the WHO and the entire CCP09:27
mefistofeleswhat? Fox news is really bad, fwiw09:28
IronYmefistofeles: No argument09:28
IronYbut this was all bad09:28
IronYon all ends09:28
AlbrightSure, but if a news network could get sued for publishing false or biased information, they'd all be broke.09:28
IronYAlbright: Yeah, that was why i wanted to read it, I was curious if people thought maybe this was a new thing09:28
aradeshIronY: down-playing coronavirus?09:29
IronYaradesh: Yeah, I mean I better go sue my government for telling me the chances of community spread in my country was not likely09:29
IronYi also need to sue about 98% of my facebook friends list09:30
aradeshwhich country are you in?09:30
IronYaradesh: Canada09:30
aradeshthe whole western response to coronavirus is typical with wish-ful thinking from nations who cannot bear to do anything that might damage their GDP09:30
aradeshtypical case of GDP first, people second.09:30
IronYexactly09:30
IronYit just amazes me people are now realizing this was a thing09:30
IronYI mean, it is almost like people have never heard the terms 'Acceptable losses'09:31
aradeshand the result? the same economic damage from shut-down that would have been caused from the start, but plus a major health crisis to go along with it09:31
aradeshhow long will countries like brazil and turkmenistan hold out with their positions until it becomes untenable?09:32
IronYaradesh: Oh yeah no doubt, but at this point if I was going to sue everyone who downplayed this I would be better of spending the next 8 years of my life getting a law degree so I can just do it myself because thats a lot of people that are going to need to be sued and there are only so many lawyers in the world09:32
aradeshbrazil's president's official position is, "it's just the sniffles, carry on as normal". turkmenistan's president's position is, "ignore it. it doesn't matter. in fact no one is allowed to talk about coronavirus or wear masks lest it cause panic"09:32
aradeshIronY: lol09:32
aradeshIronY: could be an interesting new career09:33
IronYaradesh: Canada: 'Masks don't help, but can you please donate all your masks'09:33
aradeshto be fair the masks misinformation could make sense because they don't want their doctors to not have enough masks09:33
aradesha white lie, if you know what i mean09:33
IronYoh of course thats 100% what it is09:33
aradeshbut it's still misinformation09:33
IronYbut essentially it is also disarming the populace with misinformation09:34
IronYexactly09:34
aradeshyup...09:34
aradeshczech republic made wearing masks mandatory for everyone who goes outside now09:34
IronYI mean most of asia has been doing that since Sars 109:34
aradeshit jus shows how much of a slave the globe, in particular the west, has become to the economy09:35
mefistofelesnobody ever said that mask don'thelp, fwiw09:35
aradeshhow late it's willing to leave action because of reluctance to damage the economy09:35
IronYmefistofeles: plenty of people said that09:35
mefistofelesIronY: nobody that matters09:35
IronYmefistofeles: Are you canadian?09:36
mefistofelesno09:36
aradeshi think people said, "masks don't stop you getting it, they stop you spreading it"09:36
aradeshincluding organisations like the WHO09:36
IronYmefistofeles: then I guess ur still right, but people 'who do matter' to the Canadian population, 100% said that09:36
mefistofelesaradesh: not even that, but they are more effective for infected people09:36
IronYlets use sun screen as an example09:36
aradeshwell that was the impression people got from the official stances09:37
IronYLets say your a red head09:37
IronYyou got pastey skin09:37
mefistofelesand that's a very different thing than saying "mask don't help", which again, nobody (that matters) claimed that09:37
IronYur going for a  all day hike09:37
IronYi think it is going to be overcast the whole day, but you still bring your sun screen09:37
IronYbecause having any protection versus having no protection is 100% more protection09:37
IronYdoes it make you invincible to a sunburn, no09:37
IronYdoes it make you less susceptible to a sun burn, yes09:37
mefistofelesthat's not the issue09:38
IronYDo you eat your sun screen? No, you read / watch how to properly use ur sun screen09:38
IronYif someone ate their sun screen, do you tell everyone else to stop using it?09:38
mefistofelesmany peple don't know how to wear a mask and give them a false sense of protection, so make them take more risks... or make them touching their faces 10x more... or make them hoard masks that will be needed for actual sick/infected or health worker people09:39
IronYmefistofeles: and thats their bad09:39
IronYI know how to use my mask09:39
IronYI did not eat my sun screen09:39
IronYI also take the internal temp of meat before I eat it09:39
IronYbecause why take a risk09:39
farnhttps://twitter.com/Surgeon_General/status/123372578528393216009:39
IronYfarn: exactly ;)09:40
IronY"It wont protect you from getting it, but if they dont have it, it cannot protect them from getting it'09:40
IronYthe sentence is 100% cognitive dissonance09:40
mefistofeleswhy peple keep getting reasons from tweets, just check the official WHO guidlines, or CDC or RKI or whatever09:42
mefistofelespeople*09:42
IronYthats a tweet from the official us surgeon general account09:42
IronYbtw09:43
aradeshso how's the corona news today09:43
aradeshUK had almost 400 recorded deaths in one day yesterday09:43
farnI'm glad to hear that the US surgeon general doesn't matter09:43
aradeshUSA had almost 900 in a day?09:44
farnBut no *true* scotsman has ever said that they don't work09:44
aradeshlol09:44
IronYaradesh: Ill give you a spoiler, the numbers are going to go up every day for the foreseeable future09:44
IronY:D09:44
twomoon"many peple don't know how to wear a mask and give them a false sense of protection, so make them take more risks... or make them touching their faces 10x more... or make them hoard masks that will be needed for actual sick/infected or health worker people" i hate this argument, which is straight outta the WHO btw09:45
IronYstep 1: open google09:45
twomoon"don't wear a mask because it gives you a false sense of protection"09:45
IronYstep 2: type in 'How to properly wear mask'09:45
IronYstep 3: wear mask properly09:45
twomoondude, wear a mask out of respect for others in case you sneeze09:45
IronY90% of people do not know how to use their turn signals while driving09:46
mefistofelesit's not that simple09:46
IronYthey still have cars09:46
aradeshIronY: i dunno i reckon maybe italy will have it all plateaued in about 2 weeks09:46
mefistofelesthere are many regions with a real shortage on masks09:46
mefistofelesthat's a real issue09:46
twomoonmake your own mask then09:46
mefistofelesie. Spain09:46
IronYmefistofeles: no argument there09:46
IronYbut they could just be honest about it09:46
mefistofelesyou can check how the virus spread fster in health workers there, probably because they lack the basic PPE09:46
twomoonhi aradesh09:47
IronY'Hey masks help, but like, out of the respect for the lives of the people on the front line who are most exposed, please donate your ppe'09:47
IronYwould go a long way09:47
aradeshyeah or "please make your own masks because we need the masks for our doctors and nurses"09:47
twomoonyes i agree irony09:47
twomoonthey are being disingenuous aren't they09:47
mefistofeleshah09:47
twomooni felt that too09:47
mefistofelesyou are too naive, tbh09:47
twomoonyup aradesh09:47
aradeshtwomoon: hi09:47
IronYNot sire you understand the definition of naive09:47
mefistofelespeople are emptying supermarkets and hoarding toilet papers (wtf?), do you really expect them to donate PPE?09:47
twomoonmefistofeles: stop being a shill of the WHO and toting the party line09:47
IronYmefistofeles: ohh09:47
IronYYeah, if you have 3 masks in ur home, and 3 people in your home09:48
IronYkeep ur masks09:48
IronYif you have 3000000000 masks in ur home09:48
aradeshtrump supporters are playing off his previous 'denial' of the virus as being, "keeping public morale and stop causing panic" but... again it's still lying, even if only a white lie.09:48
IronYand 3 people in ur home09:48
IronYur a piece of shit09:48
ketasmake wcpps09:48
ketasppe09:48
mefistofelesIronY: which happens09:48
twomoonmefistofeles: most people don't even have a mask. they'd have to make their own makeshift mask anyways. (or use a piece of cloth or a bandana)09:49
twomoonso irrelevant09:49
IronYmefistofeles: Yeah, but like, lets punish those people, not all people, we are agreeing on most things, but the fact the gov is just saying 'Yeah they dont work but we need them' does not sit well09:49
ketashow about using my scarf?09:49
mefistofelesketas: won't do much09:49
twomoonscarves are bad09:49
IronYketas: cotton non woven scarf09:49
jacklswsomehow in malaysia there's shortage of bread09:49
ketasno inbound protection i guess09:49
twomoonbecause they are usually wool and wool is very porous09:49
IronY^09:49
jacklswsince quarantine started09:49
ketasi have fleece one09:50
twomoonhave you ever noticed that wool doesn't stop the windchill factor as well as cotton or synthetics?09:50
IronYif you do have a 100% cotton, non woven scarf, that you wrap around multiple times, that is better then nothing, it is far from 100%, but it is better then nothing09:50
ketaslike oil product!09:50
twomoonhow's malaysia doing?09:50
ketasi already know it's pointless09:50
ketasand if you don't wash it, even worse09:51
IronYyou guys wanna know the scariest thing I have seen about masks09:51
twomoonketas, if you feel a sneeze coming on, get ready to sneeze into your arm or hand, and then run to the bathroom09:51
IronYthere are people in my home town crocheting face masks09:51
IronYif ur not familiar with crocheting09:51
IronYgoogle that09:51
twomoonif you're in public and not wearing a mask do whatever you can to not let your sneeze go into the air09:51
twomoonirony you sound like straight outta anne of green gables yo09:52
ketashold it in and get respiratory damage09:52
jacklswmalaysia is not too bad. at least the new cases don't rise exponentially09:52
IronYcrocheting my dude, it may as well be green gables lol09:52
jacklswstill linear increase though09:52
mefistofeles!corona Malaysia09:52
CoronaBotMalaysia: Global rank: #25, cases: 2,766, fatalities: 43, active cases: 2,186, total recovered: 537, in a serious condition: 94. Mortality: 1.55%, case fatality rate: 7.41%, cases/1M: 85.0, deaths/1M: 1.0. Case rate: 140/day, death rate: 6/day, 1st case: Jan 24.09:52
twomoondo you feel that malaysia's hot and humid weather helps reduce the spread?09:52
mefistofelesjacklsw: surely not testing enough09:52
IronY!corona canada09:52
CoronaBotCanada: Global rank: #15, cases: 8,612, fatalities: 101, active cases: 7,269, total recovered: 1,242, in a serious condition: 120. Mortality: 1.17%, case fatality rate: 7.52%, cases/1M: 228.0, deaths/1M: 3.0. Case rate: 1,164/day, death rate: 12/day, 1st case: Jan 24.09:52
mefistofeles43 fatalities should be around 4k cases09:52
IronYwe need to invert the #09:53
jacklswtwomoon: probably09:53
IronYgenerally in most metrics being first is best, so if we invert the Rank, #1 is the country with the least infections09:53
twomoonmefistofeles: did it not occur to you yet that asians are likely more immune to coronaviruses?09:53
IronYlol09:53
ketasi've opted to not wear mask or respirator and not desinfect my hands with alcohol solution when it's -7'c outside... also things like sneeze or cough targets are difficult to obey and also not touching face09:53
mefistofelestwomoon: april's fool?09:53
mefistofeles;)09:53
twomoonthe numbers, at least to me, so far, scream that asians are less susceptible to covid09:54
mefistofelesheh09:54
IronYtwomoon: the numbers scream the numbers are wrong09:54
IronYit is china09:54
IronYthe numbers are always wrong09:54
twomooni guess numbers don't scream out to mefistofeles much09:54
IronYchina has never once given reliable numbers in the history of china and have been caught red handed every time09:55
mefistofelesthe numbers scream that Asia has had many outbreaks of these type of diseases and are way more prepared for them09:55
mefistofelesspecially considering non-China ones09:55
IronYyou would almost need to be insane to accept chinese numbers at face value09:55
twomoonyou can't infer preparedness directly from numbers09:55
mefistofelesIronY: we don't know09:55
mefistofelesand so far, they seem reasonable09:55
IronYmefistofeles: I mean, they lied openly and were caught openly on sars 109:55
IronYSO ur right I do not know09:56
mefistofelestwomoon: it's known they have been preparing for these type of events for decades09:56
IronYbut based on all previous information09:56
IronYIt is more than likely09:56
twomoonnot all asian countries have mefistofeles09:56
mefistofelestwomoon: nobody said all09:56
mefistofelesjust the trend09:56
twomoonwell your statement doesn't refute outright my conjecture09:57
IronYcalling it now09:57
twomoonso nothing i need to do here =)09:57
mefistofelesalso, Japan heh spiking up right after olympics get postponed xD09:57
IronYsomeone in isolation ends up figuring out time travel09:57
IronYthey travel back to china hundreds of years ago09:57
IronYthey build a wall around it09:57
IronY;)09:57
mefistofelestwomoon: just read the science, if you find a mutation in asian strains (either humans or virus) that makes them more immune, and you say that it is evident, publish that and win many awards09:58
twomoonjapan: oldest population in the world, nowhere near italy's mortality rate. enuff said =)09:58
mefistofeleswe have not seen that, it's not evident, at all, so no, the numbers don't scream that09:58
twomoonagain, not looking at the science. i just said what the numbers are screaming to me. i don't refute the science at all. not my aim09:59
AlbrightWe should build bridges, not walls. So I'm told.09:59
mefistofelestwomoon: they are not testing nearly enough, also having the oldest population doesn't mean the old are getting sick as frequent as in Italy09:59
IronYtwomoon: that would more likely mean italians are more susceptible, not that asians are less09:59
twomoongood point irony09:59
IronYtwomoon: unless the entire world goes to > 10%, then ur probably right10:00
mefistofelesand somehow italians are a new kind of caucasian/european race?10:00
IronYTo be fair to japan, they have been preparing for this since Sars 110:00
mefistofelesyou cannot make those false conclusions just from localized outbreaks10:01
twomoonnobody ever said that mefistofeles. you're making a bad inference10:01
mefistofelestwomoon: sure, I'm reducing it to absurdum10:01
mefistofelesItaly's main problem was that majority of cases were from elderly and concentrated in a high density region, that made the ICUs collapse fast and all hell broke loose10:03
mefistofelesand many other unknown things10:03
IronYwhere has japan has basically been waiting for this to happen10:03
IronYand was prepared10:03
mefistofelesyes and no10:03
twomoonmefistofeles: just wait till italy starts counting second-order deaths related covid (people unable to be treated for other diseases due to the hospitals being overwhelmed and low on supplies)10:03
mefistofelesagain, they were not testing at first, now they are spiking up10:03
twomoonwe'd see 15% mortality10:03
stevev916[m]japan underreported to save the olympics10:04
mefistofelesstevev916[m]: that may be one of the reasons10:04
IronYmefistofeles: I am more talking about ICU capacity / The population already wearing masks out of fear of pollution and viruses10:04
IronYthe population was better prepared, despite the failings of their government10:04
mefistofelesIronY: true10:04
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +512 cases (now 861254), +7 deaths (now 42364), +95 recoveries (now 178536) — Austria: +68 cases (now 10366) — Kuwait: +7 recoveries (now 80)10:05
twomoonis the wearing of masks equal to preparedness?10:05
IronYany preparedness is equal to preparedness10:05
mefistofelestwomoon: making your population wear them and have enough for most of the population is, I guess10:05
twomoonthey wear masks anyways, maybe due to air pollution10:05
mefistofeleswhich is not the case in western countries, by far10:05
twomoonthat's not preparedness if they do it regardless10:05
twomoonpreparedness means doing something they don't normally do10:06
IronYJapan Citizen = Things could go bad, we should have a plan (even at a family level)10:06
IronYWEstern Citizen = Nothing can ever happen here10:06
twomooni doubt japanese citizens think like that. but i doubt they hoard stuff because they generally have more respect for their fellow citizens afaik10:07
mefistofelesyes, you can even see that in some europeans countries10:07
twomoona lot of people have a plan here in the US. it's just a poor plan10:07
twomoondid the japanese government stockpile ppe pretty well?10:08
mefistofelesthe best plan is to stick to the recommendations and if you can, make them more strict individually10:08
IronYhelpful tip for everyone10:09
twomoonthe WHO should tell people to think for themselves a bit more in that case10:09
IronYif ur on the googles trying to find information about stuff that was established prior to Covid1910:09
IronYuse the search tools to filter out the last few months10:09
IronYtwomoon:  https://www.statista.com/statistics/856804/share-of-global-sheet-face-masks-producers-by-leading-country/10:10
IronYthe more PPE you domestically produce, the less u have to worry about stockpiling PPE10:11
IronYyou do not find yourself in the current situation of most countries of having a 2 week lag time due to retooling of domestic operations10:12
twomoonso, what's the point? you could wind up selling all your produced masks to other countries10:12
IronY?10:12
twomoonit doesn't tell you how many are retained10:12
IronYWhy would japan be selling its masks right now10:12
IronYlol10:12
twomoonwho knows10:12
IronYThen why even ask10:12
twomoonok sorry10:12
IronYAssume that is also probably illegal10:12
twomooni assume most masks made in the US wind up in other countries10:13
IronYif you go open up a factory for masks in the states right now and you try to export those beyond the country, i assure you, you will not have a good time10:13
IronYmeanwhile we keep asking why korea is doing so good10:13
twomooni bet i could export them if i want. the US lets private companies do almost whatever10:13
IronY41%10:13
IronYthey make 41%10:13
mefistofelestbh, I don't really get why are people making such a big deal of what the WHO says, people don't even bother to read the WHO recommendations or watch the press conferences, is massive media (and crappy media) who are informing people10:13
twomoon41% of what?10:13
IronYppe10:13
twomoon41% of the global supply of ppe10:14
twomoonmy god i'm getting into this business10:14
IronYbtw, War measure act means u cannot ell ur masks to a foreign entity10:14
IronYin fact trump could call u right now and say your not allowed to do anything but masks and ventilators and hand santiizer10:14
IronYthats what that act gives him power to do10:14
IronYit is normally used in war to produce ammo, and tanks, and war effort materials10:15
IronYtrump currently has the power to nationalize any company he deems fit if they do not comply10:15
mefistofelesdo you know of other companies in the US buying ventilators from other countries? That is, other than Tesla10:15
aradeshi'm not sure how effective this home-made mask is: http://i.4pcdn.org/tv/1584304232182.jpg10:16
IronYloool10:16
mefistofelespretty effective10:16
mefistofelesxD10:16
IronYlook at the very left of the pic10:16
IronYdude is buying a shit ton of vodka lol10:17
mefistofelesas we all should10:17
twomoondo you know what that mask represents?10:17
mefistofelesspecially if really strong vodka, with +60% ethanol10:17
twomoondon't show that here10:17
IronYtwomoon: I assume it is a plauge doctor parody10:17
twomoonit could be that but it could mean something else10:17
twomoonlet's not get into it10:17
mefistofelesyeah, don't10:18
twomoonalso don't forget trump has refused to use the powers granted to him by the Defense Production Act10:18
twomoonhe's very reluctant to nationalize companies10:18
mefistofelesUS economy is fragile10:19
mefistofeleswonder how many years will take them to recover from this one10:19
twomoonyea right10:19
mefistofeleslast one was like a decade10:19
twomoonit's potent still10:19
twomoonit's more fragile than before yes10:19
IronYrefused to use != has the ability to use10:20
twomoonbut you gotta compare it to other economies10:20
IronYhe is hoping companies step up and do the right thing10:20
aradeshmefistofeles: you think it's effective?10:20
IronYwhich is great of him10:20
IronYbut if they dont10:20
mefistofelesaradesh: nah, just joking10:20
IronYhe will, and he should10:20
twomoonirony: he ain't gonna use his powers bro10:20
aradeshvodka is a good disinfectant10:20
IronYtwomoon: I know more about your political system then you seem to and I am not a resident of your country so excuse me if I do not take your opinions10:20
aradeshprobably the shop was out of cleaning products10:20
twomoonirony he isn't just hoping. he is making absolutely sure that solution for this disaster comes from 'the free market'10:20
IronY60% of your population did not even know how your electoral system worked until 4 years ago10:21
mefistofelesvodka is around 40%, so it's not effective, aradesh10:21
mefistofelesfeel free to leave the individual politics discussion out of this10:21
twomoonyou brought it up mefistofeles =/ "US economy is fragile"10:22
aradeshmefistofeles: not effective at all in the absense of anything else?10:22
mefistofelestwomoon: that's not individual10:22
mefistofelesbut the fact of IronY claiming to know more than you and all that, is not welcome10:23
twomooni don't know what makes something individual or general10:23
twomoonok10:23
IronYmefistofeles: he did not know what the war measures act was far10:23
IronYthat is not a claim10:23
mefistofelesok10:23
IronYthat is now an established fact10:23
aradeshwhat's this? US government and trump?10:23
mefistofelesyeah, who cares? xD10:23
IronY"Trump is not going to use that yoh" is a claim ;)10:23
mefistofelesthere's ##politics fwiw10:23
IronYmefistofeles: this is a covid discussion10:23
IronYyou cannot have a global scale discussion where the people calling the shots are government officials without mentioning politics10:24
IronYbut i get it10:24
Albrighthttps://xkcd.com/2287/10:24
twomoonyou know redirecting ppl to other channels never works mefistofeles =)10:24
mefistofelestwomoon: it has worked for me many times in the past, tbh10:24
aradeshbut this is corona politics10:24
IronY^10:24
mefistofelesAlbright: hah nice one10:25
IronYI mean, the bot literally pipes political stories into the channel every 10 mins10:25
IronYso it is a non debate10:25
twomoonlol10:25
mefistofelesyeah, I have complained about that as well10:25
IronYmefistofeles: the people who own the channel own the bot10:26
mefistofelespartially10:26
IronYat that point I would almost suggest ur best option is to start ur own channel and hope someone follows u to it where they can talk about a single topic without mentioning any other topic10:26
mefistofelesactually, just LjL owns the bot10:26
IronYi warn u now10:26
IronYull be lonely10:26
mefistofelesheh, the IronY :)10:27
IronY;)10:27
twomooncan i chat you up for web programing advice irony ?10:27
Zalyssaif you have the right equipment you can just distil vodka10:27
IronYtwomoon: hustle I need to crash10:27
mefistofelesZalyssa: that's true10:27
ZalyssaI know it's true10:27
IronYZalyssa: I may of considered buying a moonshine still10:28
Zalyssayou need not tell me that10:28
mefistofelesZalyssa: bah10:28
twomoonirony: ok, let u sleep. maybe tmrw10:28
mefistofelesZalyssa: relax10:28
mefistofelesZalyssa: you don't need to study chemistry for that xD10:28
IronYtwomoon: appreciated, feel free to priv message, i catch up when I get back10:28
Zalyssaegal10:28
twomoonok irony take it easy10:28
IronYif I do not come back, I built my own still, blew up, and am dead10:28
twomoonlol10:28
Zalyssabut yeah, just make up near 90%+ ethanol and you're good. you can just dilute it down to 70% so you have more to use too10:30
Zalyssaideally one would determine the concentration but it seems like a lot of effort just to make cleaning products when you likely don't need them10:30
twomoonis ethanol edible?10:31
Zalyssayes, it's drinking alcohol, but you really shouldn't drink highly concentrated solutions of it10:32
sYN4P515anything is edible if you're brave enough10:32
Zalyssaethanol is what's in every alcoholic drink10:32
twomoonthey add ethanol to petro now10:33
twomoonkinda wasteful isn't it10:33
mefistofelesor get tratatea purple or gray10:34
mefistofeles:P10:34
mefistofelestatratea*10:34
twomoontatratea is something i've wanted to try10:35
mefistofelesI've tried the black and the purple, not the strongest one, though10:35
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 08:30 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: China reports 36 new cases, 7 deaths: Starting Wednesday, China's National Health Commission will report data on asymptomatic cases under medical observation. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/o9WPuY10:35
mefistofelesnice, CHina really getting over it, :o10:36
twomoonalways imagined it would be like drinking a lighter version of bitters10:36
twomooni can't tell if you're being ironic or indicative10:37
mefistofelestwomoon: well, I'm surprised, they really slowed this thing there10:38
mefistofeleslike, fast... that's surprising10:38
twomoonit is surprising yeah10:38
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Hungary's emergency law 'incompatible with being in EU', say MEPs group - Hungary’s emergency law that enables the prime minister, Viktor Orbán, to rule by decree without time limits is incompatible with being in the EU, the European parliament’s liberal group said on Tuesday. (5012 votes)10:42
CoronaBothttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/31/hungary-emergency-law-incompatible-with-being-in-eu-say-meps-group-viktor-orban | https://redd.it/fseb7x10:42
sucaikingcan you tell me whether Trump said something new?10:45
aradeshthis person is well-prepared http://i.4pcdn.org/tv/1584348480142.png10:51
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 08:53 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: China reports 36 new cases, 7 deaths: Starting Wednesday, China's National Health Commission will report data on asymptomatic cases under medical observation. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/o9WPuY10:57
Mikaelahttps://fevermap.net/ has started being the first open source tracker that I am aware of10:58
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 09:14 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Renzi : La gestione dell'emergenza non può essere affidato solo ai virologi. La riapertura deve essere graduale e prudente ma deve essere strategica. — from r/WorldNews at 09:14: Not long ago, Trump said that the coronavirus was just a flu. Now he's calling it a plague that will kill up to 240,000 Americans. → https://is.gd/Wzizxt11:17
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 09:24 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Emma Bonino : Verificare 'con i tamponi tutti le persone anche asintomatiche che in queti giorni lavorano per rendere la nostra vita possibile' — from r/WorldNews at 09:24: Anger is growing at China over COVID-19 and its apparent cover-up attempt → https://is.gd/PbdkiK11:28
darsieIf I'm reading this correctly - transmission by breathing, talking, singing. Maybe up to 8 m by coughing, sneezing: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/31/health/coronavirus-asymptomatic-transmission.html11:34
darsieby symptomless people11:34
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 09:33 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live news: death toll rises to 21 as ex-health professionals urged to rejoin workforce – latest update — from r/WorldNews at 09:33: Dozens of persons in Japan’s sex industry infected with coronavirus → https://is.gd/YLSAoC11:39
woistdiesonne[m]hey everyone...as there seems to be a shortage of masks i'd like to share this really nice howto diy-mask in spanish, english and german www.coronapartys.net/diy_masks.shtml11:59
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +3486 cases (now 873032), +146 deaths (now 43281), +1966 recoveries (now 184481) — Switzerland: +1144 recoveries (now 2967) — Iran: +2988 cases (now 47593), +138 deaths (now 3036), +817 recoveries (now 15473)12:09
Biep[m]tinwhiskers: You probably know [this one](https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/geographical-distribution-2019-ncov-cases), but as I just found it, I mention it to you.12:10
romareis there a decent mobile app to follow this thing?12:15
woistdiesonne[m]you mean riot.im?12:15
BobCati suggest a web srowser12:15
romarewoistdiesonne[m], no. an app to see the statistics12:16
BobCatoh my s sutton is btuck12:16
romarehi SosCat12:16
romarewell srowsers are a bit slow on my phone12:17
BobCatblow or slow?12:17
romareb/slow/blow12:17
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 10:15 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Indonesia set to open emergency hospital on uninhabited island: Indonesia will by next week open a new coronavirus emergency hospital on the uninhabited island of Galang, Reuters reported Wednesday — from r/WorldNews at 10:15: Dozens of persons in Japan’s sex industry infected with coronavirus → https://is.gd/o9WPuY12:20
skullomaniaterrible movie12:25
woistdiesonne[m]<woistdiesonne[m] "hey everyone...as there seems to"> forgot, they advise to use torbrowser to visit the site :)12:29
woistdiesonne[m]they also have this really beautyfull poem on their startpage :) www.coronapartys.net12:30
pwr22<Biep[m] "tinwhiskers: You probably know ["> Looks interesting12:35
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 10:35 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Indonesia set to open emergency hospital on uninhabited island: Indonesia will by next week open a new coronavirus emergency hospital on the uninhabited island of Galang, Reuters reported Wednesday [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/o9WPuY12:40
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Russia's top coronavirus doctor, who shook hands with Putin, tests positive (5000 votes)12:42
CoronaBothttps://www.timesofisrael.com/russias-top-coronavirus-doctor-who-shook-hands-with-putin-tests-positive/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter | https://redd.it/fsfwf112:42
Dan[m]1%data Washington13:02
BrainstormDan[m]1: In Washington, US, there are 5482 cases, 225 deaths (4.1% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.13:02
python476o/13:03
mefistofeleswoah, Seattle really having a bad time13:04
sYN4P515!corona king, wa13:06
CoronaBotKing, Washington: Confirmed cases: 2,332, fatalities: 152, mortality: 6.52%.13:06
mefistofelessYN4P515: oh, King having the worse part?13:08
sYN4P515i'm not sure about geography, but i think seatlle is located in king county?13:08
python476i stil don't fully get it but humidity and temp are again said to be a good thing https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=355176713:09
python476which would be an obvious good news13:10
python476even though Campbell said there were reports that it would not be the case13:10
python476oh btw, happy fools day13:11
python476I hope you're all very fool13:11
Birosso%cases egypt13:28
BrainstormBirosso: In all areas, Egypt, there are 710 cases, 46 deaths (6.5% of cases), 157 recoveries as of April 01, 11:16Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Egypt for time series data.13:28
Birosso%cases germany13:28
BrainstormBirosso: In all areas, Germany, there are 72383 cases, 788 deaths (1.1% of cases), 16100 recoveries as of April 01, 11:16Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Germany for time series data. Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.4% (assuming deaths/cases with ⅔ of cases undetected), and less than 4.7% (considering only deaths and recoveries).13:28
BlankspaceIn Germany 788 deaths?13:29
BlankspaceI heard it's only 1913:29
BlankspaceYesterday13:30
generawere 600something yesterday i think13:30
sYN4P515!corona de13:30
CoronaBotGermany: Global rank: #5, cases: 72,914 (+1,106), fatalities: 793 (+18), active cases: 56,021, total recovered: 16,100, in a serious condition: 2,675. Mortality: 1.09%, case fatality rate: 4.69%, cases/1M: 870.0, deaths/1M: 9.0. Case rate: 4,923/day, death rate: 130/day, 1st case: Jan 26.13:30
CoronaBotDelaware: State rank: #40, cases: 319, fatalities: 10, active cases: 287, mortality: 3.13%.13:30
eaxomar775 according to graph13:30
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 11:26 UTC: White House predicts 100,000 to 240,000 will die in US from coronavirus: President Donald Trump prepared Americans for a surge in coronavirus cases, saying the U.S. is facing a "very, very painful two weeks." [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/4sYOgj13:31
sYN4P515793 according to worldometers13:31
generahttps://ncov2019.live/ hints at 18 deaths in the past 24h13:40
generahttps://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Fallzahlen.html hints at 732 total13:44
xrogaanwhat do they mean by "today"13:48
xrogaanwhat is "today"?13:48
xrogaanIs it referring to UTC timezone, or local time?13:48
xrogaanI understand "last 24h", I don't understand "today".13:48
sYN4P515worldometers resets daily stats at 4am GMT i think13:49
sYN4P515(that's the source CoronaBot uses)13:49
ubLIXdon't know what time Germany normally completes its report13:50
sYN4P515so when it says +18 fatalities, that means there has been 18 fatalities since 4am gmt today13:50
generathe rki disusses that too. diagnosis is one date, report to Gesundheitsamt is a date, report to rki another13:50
ubLIXit is 11:50 GMT right now13:51
xrogaanI meant for ncov2019.live. Their tracker show "today"13:52
xrogaannot "last 24h"13:53
sYN4P515who knows then13:53
xrogaanSo today can mean "last 1 hours, since it's a new day"13:53
sYN4P515better use CoronaBot :p13:53
jiffeI am a high schooler in Washington State, USA.13:53
jiffeprobably based on pacific time13:54
ubLIXhow is Washington right now?13:54
ubLIXtinwhiskers: offloop's recovered numbers for Washington State look odd; ie the same as the case numbers13:59
sYN4P515!corona washington14:00
CoronaBotWashington: State rank: #8, cases: 5,482, fatalities: 225, active cases: 4,767, mortality: 4.10%.14:00
sYN4P515i'm not sure there is a source for #recovered14:00
sucaiking!corona new york14:00
CoronaBotNew York: State rank: #1, cases: 75,983, fatalities: 1,714, active cases: 69,294, mortality: 2.26%.14:00
ubLIXactually, tinwhiskers, this recovered/cases equality seems to be true for all the US states (or at least the half dozen i tried)14:02
aradeshiceland are doing well. 2 fatalities, 1135 positive tests14:03
jiffeso how is china stopping the import of new coronavirus cases since it sounds like they were relaxing their restrictions.. all it takes is one case to slip by their hands..14:03
jiffeyeah I haven't seen any US recovery data beyond country granularity14:07
jiffeI think I did a couple weeks ago, at least when JHU was showing by state rather than county14:07
sYN4P515CoronaBot supports county data14:07
sYN4P515!corona new york city, ny14:08
CoronaBotNew York City, New York: Confirmed cases: 38,087, fatalities: 914, mortality: 2.40%.14:08
jiffeoh covidly does show by state14:08
jiffewell some states14:08
sucaikingjiffe:they just quarantine everyone for 14 days...?14:09
aradeshwell not many people are travelling globally right now14:09
aradeshi would imagine the number of people arriving into china every day is very low at the moment?14:09
AlbrightSargon makes another good vid, this one about the WHO's toadying up to the CCP: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1BnPMRPqz414:11
sucaikingaradesh: at present? around 4000 per day(entering from Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou)14:11
jiffewhat about land travel14:12
ketaswhat about time travel14:13
sucaikingland travel:idk14:14
sucaikingtime travel: sancheck before counting :p14:14
jiffejust seems like its an incredibly difficult thing to control14:14
jiffeeven for china14:15
sYN4P515offtop: really good series about time travel: DarK14:15
sYN4P515it's on netflix14:15
aradeshjiffe: hmm14:15
ketashmm14:15
ketassYN4P515: looks... good14:16
sYN4P515it is VERY good14:16
sYN4P515i really hope s03 won't be delayed for long14:17
ubLIXAlbright: that channel seems not even to pretend dispassion. Perhaps no more such links here please.14:17
sucaikingfrom our local website: 2934 confirmed, 3321 death (at present) in China14:17
AlbrightIf by "dispassion" you mean "unbias," yes. Since when is opinion banned here?14:17
ubLIXwhat use is opinion to humanity? take a view, by all means, but opinion? what use is it?14:19
AlbrightWow, are you a robot?14:19
ubLIXpetition LjL for your unquiet14:20
sucaikingAlbright: if you're asking me, then I'm a human and I just made a search14:20
xrogaan<sucaiking> jiffe:they just quarantine everyone for 14 days...?14:21
xrogaanThat means *everyone*.14:21
xrogaanAnd quarantine is no "muf freedoms!" quarantine. It's you stay the fuck home, we being you food.14:22
xrogaanThat's how the CCP did put a stop to the outbreak. Anybody coming back into China is in forced quarantine, at their own expense.14:23
xrogaanWhen you read "relaxing their restrictions" that means that instead of being able to go out once per week, you then go out once every 3 days. Only one member per household though.14:25
xrogaanThey also track everybody through a smartphone app thingy with QR code, and temperature scan everybody going in shops to buy stuff.14:27
sucaikingin small communities with no local infected individual, we can go out freely with a mask and a 'healthy code'.14:28
sucaikingin big cities temperature check is more often14:28
xrogaanYeah, more people in big cities too. It's a function of the density of population.14:29
xrogaanThey also have a credit score and rehabilitation camps, my guess is those helps too.14:32
xrogaans/credit/social credit/14:32
ubLIXxrogaan: what about social credit systems and rehabilitation camps are helpful?14:36
ubLIXif i'm reading you right, this is the first time i've encountered a private individual who thinks social credit is a good idea. i hope by rehabilitation camp that you mean medical convalescence.14:40
oribahighest testing rate per capita is done be iceland.14:42
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 12:40 UTC: Coronavirus could be final straw for EU, European experts warn: Leaders warned that if division prevails, the pandemic will be more destructive than the Brexit, migration and bailout crises — from r/WorldNews at 12:40: Trump warns of 'painful two weeks' as officials predict up to 240,000 US coronavirus deaths → https://is.gd/DHQYWQ14:44
rajrajrajFather sneezing14:53
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 12:52 UTC: (news): US companies cut 27,000 jobs before the worst of the coronavirus shutdown hit, ADP report shows [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/hn3sXS14:56
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +703 cases (now 878295), +28 deaths (now 43581), +2 recoveries (now 185066) — Switzerland: +532 cases (now 17137), +28 deaths (now 461) — Bosnia and Herzegovina: +4 cases (now 455), +2 recoveries (now 19)15:07
xrogaandid ubLIX left? Never said those things were helpful, just that they were a tool used by the local gov.15:14
xrogaanWell, if "helps" the government.15:15
xrogaanWe have to use penal threat in Belgium, for those of us who just don't want to stay inside.15:15
xrogaanI don't see the CCP way as a good way in any way, wouldn't want to live there.15:16
rajrajrajI m getting worried15:38
rajrajrajMy parents have cold15:38
python476rajrajraj: fever ? stomach pain ?15:39
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 13:34 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Virus hits spring home sellers, Spain suffers highest death toll yet [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn15:40
pokiehlI thought I was already afraid, but now that my partner said he's been coughing since yesterday night has me worried.15:40
rajrajrajpython476: fever they had but they took medicine to control it15:41
rajrajrajFrom today its cold15:42
pokiehlCold as in sneezes and runny nose?15:42
rajrajrajpokiehl: yes15:44
xrogaanI had a cold like feeling cold. Next day I was feeling hot.15:44
xrogaanthat was one or two weeks ago.15:44
rajrajrajxrogaan: and then?15:44
pokiehlHow often does corona cause rhinorrhea?15:45
xrogaanThroat thingy, runny nose, cough (due to the throat thingy). Wake up in the middle of the night covered in sweat. Then it went away.15:45
xrogaanGot a case of bad flu I guess.15:45
rajrajrajpokiehl: I don't know15:46
dunnphttps://covid19.healthdata.org/projections?fbclid=IwAR1v7F2C2XSOqP6akWaMD61zwOn0fLzBaD_Y3oGoiJNhAoYkMy91Yi7u0Co15:46
xrogaanYou need to be worried if your symptoms get worse.15:46
xrogaanOtherwise, you'll fine.15:47
xrogaanDon't expose others though, keep inside and all.15:47
pokiehlYeah, it could be a mild infection, or not be covid at all15:47
pokiehlI hope they get better soon rajrajraj15:47
rajrajrajpokiehl: thanks15:48
rajrajraj xrogaan ok15:48
xrogaanhave your parents contact their GP15:49
izthe other thing i heard was covid19 will feel like it's coming more from your chest and lungs vs your head/sinuses..  esp when trying to figure out if it's just allergies or something else15:51
izsomething dr fauci said on desus and mero15:52
xrogaanpokiehl: if your partner began to cough and it is covid19, you probably have it too by now. No panic needed, just be aware of your own condition and your partner's. If it's only a cough, it's probably not covid15:52
izyeah, fauci also said covid19 will also tend to have body aches and be more than just a cough15:53
xrogaaniz: doesn't it start on the upper end, then go down as the disease progress? Goes pretty fast, a week or so.15:53
pokiehlxrogaan: we were together for two whole weeks and I haven't presented symptoms.15:54
pokiehlThis monday he had to leave my place and go back to his because of work15:54
xrogaanonce you get the disease, it can take up to two weeks for it to incubate.15:54
izidk, i'm just repeating what he said about the difference between covid19 infection and allergies.. he also said it's more similar to the common cold, but will tend to have body ache symptoms and feel like it's coming more from chest15:54
xrogaanIt feels like influenza, joint ache and all, then gets worse after a week as it progress in your organs, lungs included.15:56
izxrogaan: 12:13 < Delf> My lack of comprehension for it only defines my ability to comprehend, not the universe itself, does it?15:56
izwhoops15:56
izxrogaan: https://youtu.be/jE3GT9gR1mQ?t=17715:57
pokiehlI think I might have had coronavirus on january15:57
pokiehlMild case, but it went through my rspiratory and digestive15:58
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 13:57 UTC: Comcast CEO Brian Roberts pledges $500 million for employees whose jobs are impacted by coronavirus: Comcast pledged $500 million to employees whose jobs have been affected by coronavirus. CEO Brian Roberts and other senior leaders are donating their annual salaries to coronavirus-related charities. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/LE6Fs316:01
xrogaanpokiehl: difficulties to breath? As in difficult to catch your breath after moving around?16:03
IronYxrogaan: difficulty breathing is at the very end of the mild spectrum16:04
IronYlast infograph I saw said 73% of patients who made it into a hospital reported it16:04
xrogaanok16:05
xrogaandunnp: "The model assumes continued social distancing until the end of May 2020." < as I understand what happens in the US, the graph isn't correlated with reality.16:06
xrogaanI would love for them to do a graph without social distancing.16:07
dunnpxrogaan: what do you mean? most places are on lock down16:14
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +806 cases (now 885547), +31 deaths (now 44212), +16 recoveries (now 185195) — US: +780 cases (now 189661), +31 deaths (now 4097), +16 recoveries (now 7267) — Austria: +19 cases (now 10501)16:20
LjLIronY, mefistofeles: you're almost out of my backscroll so i miss some context right now, but since i was highlighted: politics around and about COVID-19 are fine here, and that's a conscious decision i've made despite politics inevitably getting touchy, because i like to experience pain, i think... but also because i think politics is very important to the reactions to COVID-19 and shouldn't be ignored. at the same time, i can't have back and forths like 16:23
LjLthe one about Trump the other days... i didn't even need to read the details to know that didn't belong here. IronY stopped when i asked for the third time, fructose unfortunately didn't, so now we have one less person who can share their thought, which is not really something i love. the bot, the bot spouts out news from many sources, and while i'd have no idea how to create a "no-political-output feature" for it, i also have no *intention* to. having a 16:23
LjLchannel like this have a policy of "no politics" is something i consider personally legitimate, but i have also a rationale for pursuing something different.16:23
IronY+116:38
IronYmorning16:38
LjLyeah, afternoon, but i woke up a bit too late. just a bit. which might explain my cold sore.16:39
python476o/16:40
IronYI somehow did a sleep from 1pm to 8pm, awake from 8pm to 4am, sleep from 4am to 9am16:41
IronYI have not messed up and reverted a sleeping schedule so much in my life16:41
LjLyeah how about we all try to sleep at reasonable hours16:41
LjLi'll start16:41
LjLi'll... try to start16:41
IronYlol16:41
bin_bashi go to sleep at midnight and sleep until 8am16:41
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:38 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: TSA screenings drop to 10-year low, Spain suffers highest death toll yet — from r/WorldNews at 14:38: More Than 350,000 People Fined For Breaking Lockdown Rules In France. → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn16:42
IndoAnonLjL: dude, have you try siesta or other multi-phasic sleep?16:43
aradeshoof. 563 recorded deaths in the last 24 hours here in the UK16:43
IndoAnonit's better than being monophasic16:43
LjLIndoAnon, i've tried sleeping in the afternoon on days when i've really been meh... but then when i wake up my body no longers even knows whether it's day or night16:43
IndoAnonLoL... sleep for multiple of 90 minutes. Also, set alarm16:44
LjLugh alarms. why 90? does it give me time to get out of REM or something?16:45
LjLbut also i'd need something that knows when i'm falling asleep to have an alarm after exactly 90 minutes! i don't fall asleep easily16:45
LjLi sort of do have something like that though16:45
LjLexcept it doesn't have that feature of "wake me n minutes after falling asleep". i'd like to have it. i may do something crazy and submit a PR :P16:46
IndoAnonyeah, the rem and stuff... I fell less groggy when sleeping in multiples of 90 minutes16:46
pwr22<IndoAnon "LjL: dude, have you try siesta o"> I seem to sleep biphasically now16:46
pwr22<LjL "ugh alarms. why 90? does it give"> Me either :(16:46
pwr22I prefer to not use alarms and wake naturally16:46
pwr22Much less unpleasant16:46
LjLultimately the thing is that i'm an idiot16:47
LjLi had this cold sore yesterday already16:47
LjLi could easily have gone to sleep a *little* earlier than usual16:47
LjLbut instead i managed to stare at the computer until past 5am anyway16:47
IndoAnonthat's like me in my college days16:48
IndoAnonlecture is 08XX, looking at web to much, and it's already 2900. Resort to 90 minutes sleep16:49
IndoAnon*too16:49
pwr22Hmm, looks like we might get to 1M cases in the next 24h?16:56
suaefar[m]I would like to see more predictions on what to expect the next days.17:01
suaefar[m]That is why I extrapolate the number of deceased for the JHU data each day.17:01
suaefar[m]https://github.com/suaefar/covid-19-deceased-prediction17:01
suaefar[m]US and UK going strong17:01
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 15:00 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Ryan McCarthy su Twitter: "On Mar. 13, Trump trotted out the CEOS of Walmart, Target and CVS in a press conference and promised a public-private partnership would deliver mass drive-thru testing for the public. Only 5 locations have opened and *zero* are open to the public https://t.co/InPQ9Z91Qu" [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/7M3fPz17:03
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:10 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: TSA screenings drop to 10-year low, Spain suffers highest death toll yet — from r/WorldNews at 15:10: Iceland lab's testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases have no symptoms → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn17:14
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Taiwan to donate 10 million masks to virus-affected countries (5119 votes)17:22
CoronaBothttps://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202004010006 | https://redd.it/fsryv017:22
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:21 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Over 1,000 NYC police contract COVID-19, TSA screenings at 10-year low — from r/WorldNews at 15:21: Iceland lab's testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases have no symptoms → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn17:24
IronYmy trip outdoors today saw a lot less people17:31
IronYwas able to pick up propane and a large bulk order of prepared meals with interaction at a distance of a total of two humanz17:31
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Taiwan and Australia have reached an agreement in which the two countries will exchange raw materials desperately needed to battle the coronavirus. Australia will provide 1 million liters of alcohol for disinfectant, Taiwan to send 3 metric tons of mask fabric (5103 votes)17:34
CoronaBothttps://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3907578 | https://redd.it/fsyo1617:34
LjL%title https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/01/europe/iceland-testing-coronavirus-intl/index.html17:34
BrainstormLjL: From edition.cnn.com: Iceland lab testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases are asymptomatic - CNN17:34
LjLi can agree with Iceland's approach and statements there17:35
LjLbut... how actually close to randomized do you think that testing was?17:35
LjLin my book telling people they *can* come to get tested even if they are asymptomatic is not quite the same as taking a random sample of people and testing them all17:35
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:32 UTC: (news): Wimbledon 2020 tennis championships canceled due to coronavirus — from r/WorldNews at 15:32: 28 College Students Who Chartered A Spring Break Plane To Mexico Now Have Coronavirus → https://is.gd/0Gakk317:36
jacklswno more tennis to watch :(17:37
term99thank god17:38
jacklswwait for 2021 season to come17:38
term99i have tried to watch it a few times but its just boring as hell17:39
bin_bashlolol17:39
term99kinda like bowling, i would rather watch kids play than adults, put the bumper bars up and have at it17:41
jacklswone man's meat is another man's poison17:41
term99so true jacklsw17:41
jacklswi won't enjoy NFL and NBA17:41
term99same, im glad they canceled march madness bs17:42
jacklswbtw, term99 and bin_bash are you guys related? :p17:43
bin_bashno17:43
jacklswterminal: /bin/bash17:43
jacklswlol17:43
bin_bashim only the shells :D17:43
term99i love cli17:44
term99if [ ! -z $covid ]; then echo w00t ; else echo damn ; fi17:46
term99i think thats right17:46
pynajust [ "$covid" ] is fine17:46
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:43 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Over 1,000 NYC police contract COVID-19, TSA screenings at 10-year low — from r/WorldNews at 15:43: 28 College Students Who Chartered A Spring Break Plane To Mexico Now Have Coronavirus → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn17:46
IronYi just had theater tickets rescheduled from may to nov17:47
IronYI guess there optimistic lol17:47
IronYBrainstorm: that last headline though17:49
IronYI can see it now "We are not supposed to get viurses, we are rich enough to charter planes, this is so unfair"17:49
IndoAnonlol17:50
Jigsy>British American Tobacco working on plant-based coronavirus vaccine17:50
blkshpthe irony17:51
JigsyI'm assuming this is an April Fools' Prank. If not, well, it wouldn't surprise me that their solution would be to increase their profits.17:51
IronYNada blkshp, got some propane and a shit ton of M&M meat shop boxes today to fill the new freezer17:51
IronYu17:51
LjLyesterday someone was saying there is some hints that tobacco smoke may be *protective*. that seems very unlikely to me based on other findings, but it just goes to say... it seems like anything that is found to be good for COVID is also found to be bad, and vice versa. i guess it's like this for most new things (and some old)17:52
IronYLjL: Kinda makes sense in a weird way17:52
bin_bashlol that used to be the story17:52
bin_bashsmoking protects your lungs17:52
bin_bash(it doesnt)17:52
JigsyI'd rather catch COVID-19 than develop Lung Cancer.17:52
IronYbin_bash: Nope, but it does coat ur lungs and produces its own productive expectorant17:52
blkshpIronY: i actually went as far as to type your name wondering why! it took to the n to realise :)17:53
LjLwell, there is evidence that if you're an ex-smoker, your chances are worse than an active smoker's. that's not the same as smoke itself being protective though17:53
IronYOh no people who have never smoked are still winning17:53
LjL(the mechanism of action being you have more ACE2 receptors than non-smokers and fewer of them are already taken up, unlike active smokers)17:53
IronYLjL: I just like thinking there is an off chance that a droplet would be collected in the sticky goup we already caught up17:54
LjLpress conference time soooon17:55
IronY"Starting noon Wednesday, the general public is banned from travelling into western Quebec."17:55
IronYoh snap17:55
IronYour first domestic ban17:55
IronYhttps://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-gatineau-bridge-border-1.551724017:56
LjLmy left speaker is buzzing without emitting actual audio :|17:56
IronYour local health unit confirmed social distancing is working17:57
IronYwe keep going up like , 4, 5 confirmations a day17:57
IronYrather then doubling every 317:57
IronY(city wide)17:57
LjL%cases Ontario17:57
BrainstormLjL: In Ontario, Canada, there are 1966 cases, 33 deaths (1.7% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Ontario for time series data.17:57
LjL%cases Quebec17:57
BrainstormLjL: In Quebec, Canada, there are 4162 cases, 31 deaths (0.7% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Quebec for time series data.17:57
oxalisCan we make WFH and social distancing the "new normal..."  PLEASE?17:57
IronYLjL: 70% of that 1966 is Toronto17:57
IronYToronto == Canadas NYC17:58
LjLIronY, yeah it's often different in big cities17:58
IronYoxalis: I have made that the new normal for years17:58
IronYoxalis: but now everyones normal is my normal for the first time in history17:58
LjLIronY, check this Germany map https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/478220a4c454480e823b17327b2bf1d4 a couple of cities like Berlin and Hamburg are free cities, meaning they are their own state, so data are separate from the surrounding state17:59
LjLand the difference is stark17:59
IronYberlin is a city state!?17:59
IronYtil17:59
oxalisThink about how much less pollution and traffic there is!17:59
IronYwow (re map)17:59
LjLoxalis, the whole "it's pollution's fault" thing though is... uhm... has there ever been any evidence of that apart from doctors that made the supposition?18:00
LjLLombardy has 394 deaths today (apparently somewhat constant with yesterday's)18:02
LjL6800 tests done, 1655 positive (in Lombardy i assume, the national total should be much higher)18:03
IronYhttps://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/solo-sailor-at-sea-for-178-days-has-isolation-advice-for-us-all-during-covid-19-crisis-1.551302218:03
LjLhe says it's less positives than yesterday, percentually18:03
IronYimagine accidentally being out to sea and missing a pandemic18:03
IronYlol18:04
LjLimagine being on the ISS18:04
IronYThat would be both reassuring and scary as f18:04
LjLVeneto is security a "rapid" antibody test for IgG and IgM18:04
LjL(this is not from the press conference yet, it hasn't begun, just the news)18:05
LjLVeneto is doing good18:05
LjLlots of testing, lots of effective containment18:05
LjLLombardy... well.18:05
LjLugh, two buildings collapsed due to a gas leak18:06
LjLthis happens a bit too often in Italy18:06
LjL(and it's not even being talked about in the news, i just saw it in the small text at the bottom)18:07
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1076 cases (now 888114), +27 deaths (now 44286), +306 recoveries (now 185584) — US: +663 cases (now 190919), +18 deaths (now 4131), +103 recoveries (now 7377) — Georgia (US), US: +521 cases (now 4638), +14 deaths (now 139)18:07
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 16:05 UTC: (news): Wimbledon 2020 tennis championships canceled due to coronavirus — from r/WorldNews at 16:05: One million PC owners combine their GPU power to fight COVID-19 → https://is.gd/0Gakk318:08
yuriwholooks like CDC and Fauci may start recommending for people to wear masks. So make your own if you can.18:11
LjLyuriwho, i'll be curious to hear how the phrase it to make it seem sensible that they recommended against it before18:12
LjLpress conference starting18:12
BobCathe said it was a good idea already18:12
BobCathe just didn't say it officially18:12
LjLfeaturing a pediatrician today18:12
LjLtotal positive: 80572, +293718:12
BobCatI have been wearing gloves and mask since March 718:12
LjL4035 in ICU, 28403 in hospital, 48134 (60%) at home18:12
yuriwhoLjL: I guess the IgG testing in Veneto is to assess community penetration when it spreads freely?18:13
IronYi still have a N95, wore it today, last time I wore it was over 2 weeks ago18:13
BobCatI have dozens of n95 aand a hundred gloves left18:13
LjL+727 fatalities18:13
LjL16847 recoveries total, +111818:13
IronYBobCat: Maybe dont let people know that18:13
LjL103 patients moved from lombardy, +718:13
BobCatI also am known for my lethal home defense...18:13
LjLyuriwho, i think so, Veneto has gone strongly in that direction18:13
LjLsome patients transfered to Germany but i missed the number18:14
IronYBobCat: That will work for looters, not for the government who may want your stock pile of n95 masks18:14
LjL12986 volunteers are available total18:14
LjL786 pre-triage tents, 151 in prisons18:14
python476"In the last 2 weeks, the Coronavirus emergency room in Parma (Italy) had over 50 patients. Today, for the first time since it was set up, the room is empty"18:15
python476https://parma.repubblica.it/cronaca/2020/03/31/foto/coronavirus_dopo_settimane_il_pronto_soccorso_covid_e_vuoto_-_foto-252755699/1/18:15
IronYI am super excited for the first BBQ of the season this evening18:16
IronYit is nice to have something to look forward to18:16
IronYit feels like it has been a long time...18:16
LjLpython476, yeah i keep hearing about "less pressure" on ICUs are ERs, including from direct reports by people i know18:16
LjLi hope it's true18:16
IronYLjL: I assume u guys burned through a lot of the at risk population :/18:17
LjLIronY, next year's median age won't be the same as this year's "second highest in the world" median age, i can strongly suspect that18:17
BobCatIronY I stocked up on corned beef to bbq when it was on sale, all the panic buyers bought all the chicken even though the cb was $1.59/lb18:19
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 16:17 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Nate Silver su Twitter: "Three European countries that took a laissez-faire, "herd immunity' approach to coronavirus early on, the UK, the Netherlands and Sweden, are paying the price for it. They reported, respectively, 563, 134 and 59 deaths today. https://t.co/9fFIJJjqhz" [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/Edv3vI18:19
LjLquestion: the scientific committee is considering giving children one hour outside each day. isn't that... going counter the advice to stay home?18:19
BobCatI smoke the corned beef and then boil it18:19
LjLanswer: what the ministry actually said refers to currently existing restrictions, so those aren't being changed, they're just pointing out what you can do18:19
BobCatSurvive in style18:20
LjLthe scientific committee haven't deliberated anything, but it's okay to start considering a number of possible situations for the future, and listen to the complaints from various associations18:20
IronYso you have reached proactive vs reactive state18:21
IronYthat is good news!18:21
LjLtoday unless i've somehow missed (but i don't think i have) they have not stated the delta of positives at all, even in their usual tricky way that subtracts recoveries and deaths18:21
LjLquestion: we've talked about reaching the peak since about two days, but can we really talk about a peak? i say this because for instance in Sicily, they're starting to prepare for Easter communally, while authorities say to stay home or we'll start counting deaths in Sicily too18:23
Drac[m]my employer just went through furlough today. half the staff are home, the rest of us are pushing (medical) spare parts out the door as quick as the trucks can turn up. definitely a beer o'clock moment.18:23
LjLanswer: you all (journalists) can help us tell people that nothing changed since the last emergency home: stay home, it must be clear to everyone. we can wish that something will change in the future, but when that happens there will be a new law.18:24
LjL"are we at the peak or not?" is an argument that does not interest me. the situation is, although it's not reassuring to say it, of an emergency, like a war, and we must strictly respect the restriction18:25
LjLwe have a constitution that says we must protect health as a primary good18:25
pwr22<Drac[m] "my employer just went through fu"> What sort of company do you work for?18:25
pwr22I wish I could be furloughed atm (going through mental health stuff) but alas as a software engineer I'm basically expected to work remote18:25
LjLquestion: there's little more than 200 new hospitalized today, same with ICU. is the situation objectively improving, or is it more that strategies for hospitalization are changing? is it now the time to make regions with less difficulties help the regions in trouble?18:26
IronYpwr22: I somehow ended up keeping both my jobs (wfh) and I would also rather just be laid off18:26
Drac[m]<pwr22 "What sort of company do you work"> electro-mechanical engineering. medical, aerospace, custom etc. the medical side has been ramped up but quite frankly we're up to our eyeballs in parts, we just need to get them out the door18:26
LjLanswer: these data can be interpreted as affirming the route taken is good. it confirms we must continue in that direction. they are signals that are evaluated carefully, and which represent what we wished for, but we must not relax anything.18:27
LjLquestion: you said ffp2 masks that were delivered today were for regular people, not doctors... why? the population doesn't need ffp2, do they?18:27
LjLalso question: why are tests not being made on certain people who are ill? are they just considered "certainly covid patients" without even testing?18:27
LjLanswer: about the masks, it said on the packaging "FFP2, KN95" but in reality they were not FFP2 masks, so in reality they are okay for the general population but not for doctors. this is why we apologized to the Union of Medical Doctors, and we will deliver actual FFP2 masks in the coming days.18:28
LjLanswer about tests: they are done only when there are apparent symptoms, shortness of breath, and under this view, there can be mildly symptomatic people who don't get tests.18:29
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 16:24 UTC: /u/slakmehl: McClatchyDC su Twitter: "Coronavirus is now the third leading cause of death in the US, doctor says https://t.co/imiXgAQcs9" — from r/WorldNews at 16:24: Disney Parks Donate 100,000 N95 Masks to Hospitals Amid Pandemic → https://is.gd/sEKQGv18:29
LjLdoctor says: yes, we can reassure that tests are definitely done for people who need it. if you are denied a test, it means you don't need it.18:29
LjLdoctor says in response to question: having just fever is not enough to qualify for getting tested. there are phone numbers to call, and you can call your GP, and if the GP sees conditions justifying testing (like shortness of breath), they can decide on testing18:30
BobCatfrankly, getting a test changes nothing, you're sick, there's no cure18:30
LjLBobCat, getting a test if you're asymptomatic would mean that you are quarantined and your contacts are traced18:30
LjLthat seemed to work very well for Korea, Veneto and other places18:31
LjLso i'm not feeling great about what they just said18:31
BobCatyes but we are way past tracing contacts18:31
BobCatthat works for small outbreaks18:31
LjLquestion: doctors say "we must decide who to save", so i'm afraid that the smaller number of people in ICUs may not be positive, but simply show we're out of bed. does it?18:31
LjLBobCat, not true, Korea had 7000 positives18:31
LjLthat's not small18:32
BobCat7000 is very small18:32
LjLi mean, they have more now, but that's roughly when their curve started flattening18:32
LjLnonsense18:32
LjLwhen we had 7000 in italy, it was considered huge18:32
LjLit's a lot hugER now because that's how exponential things go18:32
balaa[m]Tracing still needs to happen18:32
LjLwhere they tested a lot, it became less huge18:32
LjLjust compare the amount of testing in Lombardy vs Veneto18:32
LjLand the outcome in number of patients there18:33
BobCatit's too late to stop it by tracing18:33
LjLIl Sole 24 Ore has these numbers, in the topic18:33
balaa[m]We are just lazy18:33
LjLanswer: i have no information saying that people who needed ICU have been unable to get it18:33
balaa[m]If we are lucky this will become a small outbreak again18:33
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Malaysia’s government has apologised after its advice for women to wear makeup and not nag their husbands during the coronavirus lockdown (5017 votes)18:34
CoronaBothttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/31/malaysian-government-apologises-over-coronavirus-lockdown-tips-for-women | https://redd.it/fso5dy18:34
LjLadd-on question: ICU beds are not needed for just a couple of days for COVID patients, they need these beds for 2-4 weeks, so it's very important to keep the restrictions or ICUs can become a problem again18:34
LjLadd-on answer, i mean18:34
LjL--- end18:34
Drac[m]the problem we're seeing is that a lot of our suppliers for materials are not considered "essential" so they've closed their doors, so we're running out of options to get medical parts made. it seems to be a tier system. Front line medical suppliers, then their suppliers who make parts (like me), then raw material supplies. it's making some things quite difficult though we have a selection of sources and we have a18:37
Drac[m]considerable stockpile to play with. we're doing ok, but getting parts out in a timely manner is starting to become an issue and i can't see that helping anyone18:37
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +8688 cases (now 903266), +259 deaths (now 45321), +1169 recoveries (now 190638) — US: +8232 cases (now 199425), +245 deaths (now 4383), +1167 recoveries (now 8698) — New York, US: +7729 cases (now 83712), +227 deaths (now 1941)18:38
yuriwhoDrac[m]: supply chain problems will only get worse18:40
Drac[m]they will. we've no problem in finding steel/plastic/rubber etc., business as usual, but that means nothing if we can't throw parts into a box and hold it down with tape which we can't buy at the moment.18:41
Drac[m]thankfully we stockpile on a 6-month basis, so that's ... not crucial at the moment18:42
Birosso"Malaysia’s government has apologised after its advice for women to wear makeup and not nag their husbands"18:42
BirossoSounds reasonable to me. Why apologise?18:43
Drac[m]the good news is that since we don't want to spread uncessary germs, we're not allowed to throw in free Haribo to our favourite customers. My kids are getting sweets by the (sealed) boxload for the forseeable18:44
IndoAnonBirosso: because women did not think it's problematic18:48
LjLPM Conte will speak at 20:20 CEST tonight. I assume he's mainly going to say that the emergency laws will be extended to at least April 12, which is expected.18:50
mefistofeleshttps://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/25/science.abb4218.full18:50
mefistofelesreally interesting, for accountability of China measures18:51
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1104 cases (now 904370), +26 deaths (now 45347), +45 recoveries (now 190683) — US: +864 cases (now 200289), +11 deaths (now 4394), +9 recoveries (now 8707) — Pennsylvania, US: +844 cases (now 5805), +11 deaths (now 74)18:51
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 16:51 UTC: (news): New York Gov. Cuomo to close NYC playgrounds as coronavirus death rate starts to climb — from r/WorldNews at 16:51: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/TZ0mDl18:58
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:01 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases hit 885,000 as China's numbers reportedly come under fire by US intelligence — from r/WorldNews at 17:01: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn19:04
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +6533 cases (now 910903), +163 deaths (now 45510), +217 recoveries (now 190900) — US: +3559 cases (now 203848), +88 deaths (now 4482), +38 recoveries (now 8745) — Turkey: +2148 cases (now 15679), +63 deaths (now 277), +90 recoveries (now 333)19:06
mefistofelesthat's a report of a report of a report19:07
python476r3port19:07
mefistofeleslol19:07
oxalisLjL: I wasn't suggesting that pollution has anything to do with the cause of the pandemic -- I was referring to the lower pollution levels that are resulting from all the work-at-home, and shelter-in-place orders19:08
LjLoxalis, ah19:08
BobCatGreta must be so pleased19:09
IronYcovid19 took her childhood19:09
IronYhow dare it19:09
BobCatHOW DARE YOU!!!19:09
BobCat:)19:09
mefistofelesthese arguments of seeing too many ash urns in funeral house don'tseem convincing to me19:10
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:07 UTC: (news): New York Gov. Cuomo to close NYC playgrounds as coronavirus death rate starts to climb — from r/WorldNews at 17:07: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/TZ0mDl19:10
python476COVI DAR-19U19:10
mefistofelesI mean, it's not like people are now exclusively dying of covid and that their relatives can go out to get their ashes19:11
BobCatthey reall should have named it corvid-19... crow joke...19:11
Drac[m]quote the raven ... never more (than 2m)19:14
IronYHere I sit all week, I'm weary, typing on this black screen, a dreary, with covid numbers unlike those before, sitting rocking anxious mainly, threats of death described so plainly, covid, covid knocking on my office door19:16
IronY;)19:16
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:12 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases hit 885,000 as China's numbers reportedly come under fire by US intelligence — from r/WorldNews at 17:12: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn19:16
Drac[m]<IronY "Here I sit all week, I'm weary, "> oh ok, that's just made my day :)19:19
BobCatnow you have to finish up the parody and tweet chain it19:20
BobCator I will... that's a threat19:20
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1197 cases (now 912100), +35 deaths (now 45545), +6 recoveries (now 190906) — US: +1187 cases (now 205035), +34 deaths (now 4516) — Louisiana, US: +1187 cases (now 6424), +34 deaths (now 273)19:21
LjL%cases italy19:21
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 110574 cases, 13155 deaths (11.9% of cases), 16847 recoveries as of April 01, 17:19Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.19:21
LjL%cases lombardy19:21
BrainstormLjL: In Lombardia, Italy, there are 44773 cases, 7593 deaths (17.0% of cases), 11415 recoveries as of April 01, 16:00Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Lombardia for time series data.19:21
LjLgah i know that death rate is "not real", but still every time i see it increase...19:22
BobCatIs there a pool to guess the millionth customer?19:22
IronYnot real or not 17%!?!19:22
IronY%cases ontario19:22
BrainstormIronY: In Ontario, Canada, there are 1966 cases, 33 deaths (1.7% of cases), 0 recoveries as of April 01, 00:05Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Ontario for time series data.19:22
bin_bashlol BobCat19:22
BobCatI could set up a website for a pool, will paypal allow wagering?19:23
mefistofelesLjL: true :(19:23
BobCatI have btc too19:23
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:20 UTC: (news): New York Gov. Cuomo to close NYC playgrounds as coronavirus death rate starts to climb — from r/WorldNews at 17:20: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/TZ0mDl19:23
IronYI am sure someone invented covidcoin at this point19:23
IronYI dont want to look because I dont want to be right19:23
LjLIronY, not... you know, the usual "it's because they're testing only people who are very serious" thing, who knows, it's probably that way, but it's a very bad sign anyway19:23
LjLit means they can't take care of people with troublesome but "not yet serious enough" symptoms19:23
BobCathttp://covidcoin.org/19:24
LjLwhich matches with the fact i hear stories of people who go to the hospital, get sent back home, then come again later when they're dying19:24
mefistofelesLjL: but you know, that probably just means less and less testing over time19:24
mefistofeles(the death rate increasing)19:24
mefistofelesand all the ffects of hospitals collapsing, of course19:24
LjLmefistofeles, which in turn means that even if i see new cases decrease, and the government says we're past the peak, it may not be true at all... also not good19:24
Drac[m]with the ways business is running, we'll all have BTC by the end of my.19:25
LjL(also, despite today's "good" results for italy, Lombardy is actually going up slightly compared to yesterday)19:25
mefistofelesLjL: sure, but that's why the visualization I linked several times works19:25
LjL(and that is... most of it probably milan)19:25
Drac[m]may*19:25
mefistofeleshttps://aatishb.com/covidtrends/ here it is again19:25
Drac[m]oh there we go ... someone made a viruscoin.19:25
mefistofelesbtw, I'm having Corona Pizza to day (not a joke)19:26
BobCat<IronY> Here I sit all week, I'm weary, typing on this black screen, a dreary, with covid numbers unlike those before, sitting rocking anxious mainly, threats of death described so plainly, covid, covid knocking on my office door19:26
LjLmefistofeles, it is in the resources page. so is covidly which python476 linked yesterday, it's actually the first tracker listed now, and it also has that visualization in its graphs tab. it's not like i'm ignoring it19:26
mefistofeles*today19:26
LjLbut no single graph tells the whole story19:26
mefistofelesLjL: ok19:26
IronYBobCat: Why do I have the feeling I am going to be a internet meme soon19:26
mefistofelesLjL: thise one tells more, fwiw19:26
mefistofelesyou have to also check the death data, which shows a different trend19:27
LjLyeah deaths are more or less linear, and i get reports from lombard hospitals that there is less "pressure" on them19:27
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Diarrhea, nausea or vomiting may be first coronavirus symptoms in some patients. Some people may have the "gastrointestinal version" of COVID-19. (5031 votes)19:28
CoronaBothttps://www.today.com/health/diarrhea-nausea-or-vomiting-may-be-first-coronavirus-symptoms-some-t177179 | https://redd.it/fswmhd19:28
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: A Chinese Millionaire and Prominent Gadfly of the Communist Party Has Vanished After Staging an Art Performance Criticizing Xi Jinping (5026 votes)19:28
CoronaBothttps://news.artnet.com/art-world/ren-zhiqiang-missing-chinese-critic-artist-1820964/amp-page | https://redd.it/fspzag19:28
LjLBobCat, covidcoin's claims are ridiculous19:29
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 17:24 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Governor of Florida, the last state with >5000 cases not currently under movement restrictions, finally signals willingness to adopt some measures. — from r/WorldNews at 17:24: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/AVpagA19:29
mefistofelesI should really try working a visualization out, tbh19:29
mefistofeleswill see if I can come up with something in 30 mins19:29
LjLmefistofeles, if i run "that" visualization over deaths in italy, it's actually going up slightly after a mini-dip19:31
LjLi can do that with covidly.com19:31
LjLalso lets you adjust new cases to make them different from "last week's cases"19:31
mefistofelesLjL: you mean the time window?19:33
LjLmefistofeles, yeah, although when i change it, i don't really see a visible difference19:33
IronYre that link dump from coronabot19:33
IronYhttps://www.today.com/health/diarrhea-nausea-or-vomiting-may-be-first-coronavirus-symptoms-some-t17717919:33
IronYinteresting read19:34
mefistofelesLjL: the graph is different, and it'snot the best one, imho19:34
IronY"These people may only later — or never — go on to develop respiratory issues and fever. They’re also diagnosed later than other patients, which means they may unknowingly spread the virus."19:34
mefistofelesthat is, the graph from covidly19:34
LjLhmm i thought it looked very similar19:34
LjLwell, without the animation19:34
mefistofelesLjL: ah nvm, I wasn't seeing the correct one19:34
mefistofelesyes it's the same I think19:34
LjLjust if i select 30 days then some countries just partly disappear, likely because it doesn't have all that data19:35
LjLbut overall the graph doesn't get "rougher" or "smoother"19:35
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 17:31 UTC: /u/The_Fadge: Hong Kong riporta un incremento giornaliero di 65 casi di Covid-19 , ecco perché si teme una seconda ondata e vengono implementate nuove misure restrittive in Cina. — from r/WorldNews at 17:31: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/hKYWoK19:35
LjL%cases hong kong19:36
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +549 cases (now 912649), +7 deaths (now 45552), +26 recoveries (now 190932) — Algeria: +1 cases (now 847), +15 recoveries (now 61) — Armenia: +1 deaths (now 4)19:36
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Hong Kong, there are 765 cases, 4 deaths (0.5% of cases), 147 recoveries as of April 01, 17:34Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Hong%20Kong for time series data. Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.2% (assuming deaths/cases with ⅔ of cases undetected), and less than 2.6% (considering only deaths and recoveries).19:36
mefistofelesLjL: less than 7 it gets a bit noisy, specially for those with less cases19:36
mefistofelesI will try to make something, just to see if it tells anything19:37
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:35 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases hit 885,000 as China's numbers reportedly come under fire by US intelligence — from r/WorldNews at 17:35: Dr Ai Fen, another Wuhan whistleblower doctor, disappeared after warning Chinese officials about coronavirus, 60 Minutes Australia reports → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn19:41
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +209 cases (now 912858), +1 deaths (now 45553), +893 recoveries (now 191825) — Denmark: +893 recoveries (now 894) — Algeria: +1 cases (now 847), +15 recoveries (now 61)19:51
IronYWe choose to go to the Grocery Store. We choose to go to the Grocery Store in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win, and the others, too.19:52
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 17:50 UTC: /u/The_Fadge: Economia — from r/WorldNews at 17:50: Dr Ai Fen, another Wuhan whistleblower doctor, disappeared after warning Chinese officials about coronavirus, 60 Minutes Australia reports → https://is.gd/T7V9nR19:54
LjLwhat is the medical plausibility of the slight fear that me getting a cold sore means that the immune system is busy fighting something else (like covid-19)?19:55
IronYare u prone to cold soars19:57
ynhttps://blog.ircpuzzles.org/2020/04/2020-april-fools-live/19:58
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 17:55 UTC: /u/The_Fadge: Alle 20.20 conferenza stampa di Giuseppe Conte in diretta da Palazzo Chigi . — from r/WorldNews at 17:55: As COVID-19 rages, evangelical pastor organization is planning to contact and convert isolated indigenous groups in remote Amazon tribes → https://is.gd/owmqPD20:00
LjL%tr Alle 20.20 conferenza stampa di Giuseppe Conte in diretta da Palazzo Chigi20:05
BrainstormLjL, Italian to English: At 20.20 press conference by Giuseppe Conte live from Palazzo Chigi (MyMemory, Google) — To the 20.20 conference #print of Giuseppe *Conte in direct of Palace *Chigi (Apertium)20:06
LjLi was missing an address to the nation, we haven't had one in two days or so20:06
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:59 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases hit 885,000 as China's numbers reportedly come under fire by US intelligence — from r/WorldNews at 17:59: As COVID-19 rages, evangelical pastor organization is planning to contact and convert isolated indigenous groups in remote Amazon tribes → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn20:07
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:07 UTC: (news): More than 1,000 New York City police officers have the coronavirus as 911 calls hit records — from r/WorldNews at 18:07: As COVID-19 rages, evangelical pastor organization is planning to contact and convert isolated indigenous groups in remote Amazon tribes → https://is.gd/x3Gkqa20:13
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:15 UTC: (news): Global coronavirus cases will hit 1 million and 50,000 deaths in a few days, WHO officials say — from r/WorldNews at 18:15: China hid extent of coronavirus outbreak, US intelligence reportedly says → https://is.gd/CowO0K20:19
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +5606 cases (now 918464), +521 deaths (now 46074), +1507 recoveries (now 193332) — France: +4861 cases (now 56989), +509 deaths (now 4032), +1490 recoveries (now 10934) — Algeria: +1 cases (now 847), +15 recoveries (now 61)20:21
LjLConte press conference now20:23
LjLsays we are not in a condition to release any restrictive measures20:23
LjLthey're in close contact with the scientific committee, who tell them they are starting to see positive effects20:24
LjLbut we are not in a condition to change things20:24
LjLso he signed the new emergency laws, which extends the current laws, until at least April 1320:24
LjLif we stopped respecting the rules all the efforts done until now would be in vain20:24
LjLsince that would be doublt terrible, we are all invited to respect the measures20:25
LjLand there is a small minority of people who do not respect the rules20:25
LjLwe have very heavy fines because we cannot allow irresponsibility of a minority to endanger everyone20:25
LjL67 doctors dead so far, we owe them to reduce the risk20:25
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 18:19 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: Italy records lowest daily increase in deaths in a week as known global cases pass 900,000 — from r/WorldNews at 18:19: Coronavirus can travel up to 8 metres from exhalation, linger in air for hours, MIT scientist says → https://is.gd/HcP57U20:26
LjLhe's sorry that this extension of the laws happens around Easter, which we all wish to share together20:26
LjLbut with much displeasure we'll have to keep these restrictions even during these holidays20:26
LjLthis further effort will let us start to evaluate future projections and to plan an easing of the restrictive measures, but he can't say "it'll be on april 14"20:27
LjLwe'll have to evaluate the curves20:27
LjL"phase 2" will entail living *with* the virus, adopting measures that slowly ease the restritions, and then eventually "phase 3" will allow restoring our normal activity, and rebuilding20:27
LjLthanks for the attention, questions?20:27
LjLquestion: you're continuing your activity of international "pressing", for what the EU should do, hopefully they do something... what we want is "Corona bonds", but are you ruling out the possibility that a state-rescuing fund may be available?20:28
LjLanswer: i've been very clear with my European colleagues. since debate and discussion was on the "MES", i think and i'll repeat that instrument is absolutely not suited for this emergency. it was created for different purposes.20:29
LjLso i told the european heads of state: do not propose this again, because it is no use for my country. that said, if it can be changed with very different rules, and become just one measure among various ones, and the funds will be accessible to all countries unconditionally, then it can be one tool20:30
LjLwe need something that will let us say "Europe is there, Europe is responding with one voice and showing it is a union of states that can get together against a common enemy."20:31
LjLquestion: the primacy of politics compared to science's request to continue with restrictive measures, this dual relationship that risks becoming a conflict, can you tell us something about this? can you also tell us about the rumors that this new emergency law restrict sports activities for professionals?20:32
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:26 UTC: (news): Global coronavirus cases will hit 1 million and 50,000 deaths in a few days, WHO officials say — from r/WorldNews at 18:26: Coronavirus can travel up to 8 metres from exhalation, linger in air for hours, MIT scientist says → https://is.gd/CowO0K20:32
LjLanswer: your question was cut off when you talked about athletes...? okay, you asked several questions... can you repeat the first one...? okay, clear. and then children.20:32
dzhohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Stability_Mechanism <-- MES in Italian, ESM in English20:33
LjLthe first: what is the relationship between politics and sciene? i think a political decision must be based on scientific evidence. that is the base. but politicians must take their own responsibility: we don't follow scientific committee evaluations to the letter: *based* on them, we create recommendations. politics is facing an invisible and unknown enemy that politics isn't used to face, but scientists themselves are facing the same, and they have 20:33
LjLdifficulties updating their own information and evaluations.20:33
LjLthat said, there are scientific recommendations, but then politics has a different viewpoint: why? because we must balance all interests. it's possible that a scientist will keep the epidemiological aspect exclusively; on the other hand, i must keep all aspects in mind, and constitutional principles.20:34
LjLthe constitution spells out fundamental rights of people, some of which are now in conflict with each other. the decider must interpret, based on scientific data, the community's needs.20:35
LjLwe chose to start from the basis that our constitution primarily focus on preserving health: so that is our primary goal, and then we also try to do good for economy etc.20:35
LjLas to the second question, there is a small change in our emergency law: we suspend training for professional athletes, in order to stop sporting societies to "demand" that athletes do work. it is no longer allowed to have training sessions in groups. athletes can still train individually.20:36
LjLas to the third question about children: we have not at all authorized a "strolling hour". we simply said that when there are minors, when a parent goes to buy groceries for example, children can go with their parents. but this doesn't mean you can have strolls.20:37
LjLquestion: do you think it will be possible to allow people who are recovered or asymptomatic to go back to work activities? under which timelines?20:37
bin_bashno20:38
LjLanswer: we still have the system we had before, and nothing is changing. we are evaluating the possibility of how to "recover" those who are recovered, in terms of actual work and social life, but for the time being nothing changes.20:38
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:35 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Global cases hit 885,000 as China's numbers reportedly come under fire by US intelligence — from r/WorldNews at 18:35: Coronavirus can travel up to 8 metres from exhalation, linger in air for hours, MIT scientist says → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn20:38
dzhojesus20:38
LjLThanks for listening, journalists and citizens.20:38
LjL--- end20:38
LjLdzho, thanks, i'll change it in the pastebin20:39
dzhoLjL: no worries and thank you so much for the live translation20:39
dzhoI didn't think about this as a transcript that would be shared or I might have held off that, added it only to provide context for those unfamiliar20:40
LjLRough transcription of Conte's press conference extending emergency laws in Italy from a few minutes ago: https://dpaste.org/p6Ej20:44
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:41 UTC: American Airlines apologizes for mistakenly offering dozens of pilots voluntary leave amid coronavirus: American Airlines apologizes to narrowbody pilots for offering voluntary leave beyond its capacity as the airline rushes to stem costs to fight coronavirus' impact on travel demand. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/hNjRsG20:44
LjLdzho, no it's fine, i always "prune" them later and provide a pastebin20:45
LjLthe channel can go on talking even through my wall of text :P20:45
LjLand you can suggest corrections, i just won't be able to respond until i'm done transcribing20:46
dzhogreat20:46
LjLanyway, nothing much sensational in this one... mostly just the expected extension20:48
LjLto bad i *definitely* cannot go for a short walk, apparently ;(20:48
LjLgets a little crazy when you're stuck inside for weeks20:48
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:46 UTC: Florida, Pennsylvania issue stay-at-home orders amid coronavirus outbreak: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf issued statewide orders Wednesday mandating all residents to stay at home during the coronavirus outbreak. — from r/WorldNews at 18:46: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says → https://is.gd/qDFQuh20:51
LjLhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/03/31/china-hints-that-its-coronavirus-data-doesnt-paint-full-picture/20:58
pwr22Why would CCP ever hint such a thing?20:59
bin_bashunintentionally21:01
bin_bash>Maybe our numbers aren’t entirely giving the full picture of the coronavirus, China health officials said on Tuesday.21:02
bin_bashlol21:02
ThomCat[m]I for one am shocked that someone would insinuate that the CCP wasn't reporting their real numbers.21:04
LjLi don't know, i'd like to see more sourced sources21:04
python476god damn nocebo21:05
python476every cough is a death sign21:05
LjL:(21:05
LjLpython476, have you had more of the shortness of breath?21:05
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +3089 cases (now 921553), +91 deaths (now 46165), +17 recoveries (now 193349) — US: +2097 cases (now 207535), +81 deaths (now 4609) — Michigan, US: +1719 cases (now 9334), +78 deaths (now 337)21:06
python476LjL: no, as always that thing was an afternoon21:06
python476can't wait for cheap tests to hit the market21:07
LjLpython476, well, just fyi i'm seeing https://www.amazon.fr/surveillance-saturation-fréquence-cardiaque-Oxysmart-03/dp/B085ZLBNGV/ on prime, although it's about twice the cost you'd normally spend for that sort of thing21:07
python476how is it going on your side ?21:07
LjLsays april 20 delivery for me, but hopefully faster for you21:07
LjLpython476, i am okay but i have a cold sore... not painful because i'm stuffing myself with acyclovir, but i hope it doesn't mean my immune system is on holiday21:08
python476next grocery trip I'm gonna ask pharmacies if they have some left21:08
LjLpython476, tbf pharmacies would probably ask you twice the price of amazon even at normal times21:08
python476yeah it's a matter of delay before need21:08
python476I can always resell it higher in my neighborhood right ? #wallstreet21:09
python4763$ per minute of finger user21:09
LjLpython476, there's also https://www.amazon.fr/Promisemed-Sports-laviation-Finger-unit-Oxymètre/dp/B08634SNG9/ although it looks very basic, screen-wise21:10
LjLi would normally expect that one to be like €1221:10
LjLalso i assume you have a couple of AAAs, they may come without21:10
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 19:03 UTC: US coronavirus live: Florida governor issues stay-home order after weeks of resistance: Ron DeSantis acts to restrict movement for 30 days Pence: ‘Italy may be most comparable to the US at this point Trump’s media assault rages in midst of coronavirus crisis [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/9kw2cV21:10
Drac[m]weird ... i'm on prescription meds that would level an aircraft carrier, but that does nothing for nasty viral bugs. it's amazing to see what people will shovel down their throats if it gives any kind of release21:12
python476thanks LjL21:14
python476only 4 in stock..21:14
LjLpython476, the other one is only 2 or so21:14
LjLi'd normally stay away with the segment-LED one, but in reality it may give a reading that's just as good for all i know21:15
LjLbut lack of graph... i dunno, i use the graph to be sure it's reading a stable pulse21:15
LjLpython476, fwiw, the same item (same as in "only 2 left" here too, so it's the same warehouse) is at €66 on amazon.it21:16
LjLridiculous21:16
LjLin normal time i would just get it from .fr or wherever in the EU it's cheapest, but now amazon takes considerably longer to ship abroad21:17
LjLpython476, groan :\ https://www.hagglezon.com/ ← i was about to try using this21:18
LjLhttps://it.camelcamelcamel.com/ is gone too21:18
LjLwell, i checked manually, .fr is the cheapest for that oxymeter currently21:19
LjL"cheapest"21:19
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:20 UTC: The coronavirus outbreak is a 'real threat to everyone on the planet,' WHO official says: "COVID-19 is a real threat. It is a real threat to everyone on the planet," said Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO's technical lead on the outbreak. — from r/WorldNews at 19:20: 'Shoot them dead': Duterte orders troops to kill quarantine violators → https://is.gd/CowO0K21:24
python476I always forget hagglezon ..21:26
python476seems like I'm not missing anything this time21:26
python476US over 200K21:27
Drac[m]CNBC just caught up? That's cute21:29
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Iceland lab's testing suggests 50% of coronavirus cases have no symptoms (5065 votes)21:29
CoronaBothttps://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/01/europe/iceland-testing-coronavirus-intl/index.html | https://redd.it/ft0bto21:29
aradeshpython476: sheesh21:31
python476?21:34
python476doctors are rising up https://old.reddit.com/r/medicine/comments/fsyf6u/if_we_doctors_want_to_band_together_it_starts_here/21:34
aradeshpython476: 200k21:35
aradeshi was sheeshing at that21:35
python476oh ok21:35
python476and sheesh is like shocked surprise ?21:36
aradeshsheesh it's a lot21:36
aradeshnot surprised i suppose but, yeah21:36
aradeshsurprised and not surprised21:36
Drac[m]testing .. i got disconnected. anyone home?21:36
aradeshsurprised because it's a big number, but i knew it was coming21:36
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1820 cases (now 923373), +130 deaths (now 46295), +55 recoveries (now 193404) — Germany: +1014 cases (now 77558), +33 deaths (now 891) — Afghanistan: +43 cases (now 239)21:36
aradeshamerica is going to end up with some very high numbers of cases once this is all over and done :/21:37
aradesh200k deaths is probably a low estimate for how many deaths the US is going to suffer21:37
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:31 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US cases top 200,000, energy CEOs to meet with Trump Friday — from r/WorldNews at 19:31: 'Shoot them dead': Duterte orders troops to kill quarantine violators → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn21:38
python476aradesh: ok I get it21:38
tinwhiskersubLIX: oh, yeah. There is no recovery info for US states any longer. That was meant to be all zeros - corrected now.21:38
python476numbers are boring now we all know there are error margins and lies..21:38
Drac[m]they will, and if their air traffic is anything to go by, they simply haven't learned ...21:38
tinwhiskerspython476: error margins tell us the range. they are not lies, per se.21:39
tinwhiskersno doubt there really are lies, but variation in data are not lies.21:39
python476you know my "and" didn't mean "as"21:40
python476the thing is data is ultra foggy21:40
python476feels like trading bitcoin21:41
tinwhiskersah. yes. well, some things are foggy21:41
tinwhiskersbut even with foggy they give us an idea21:41
Strantrickt[m]%data Turkey21:41
BrainstormStrantrickt[m]: In all areas, Turkey, there are 15679 cases, 277 deaths (1.8% of cases), 333 recoveries as of April 01, 19:33Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Turkey for time series data.21:41
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 19:41 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Ana Cabrera su Twitter: "NEW: The Abbott labs testing equipment arrived in Detroit today, making Detroit the first city to use the 15-minute testing which will be up and running in the next 24-hours, Mayor Mike Duggan says. #Coronavirus #COVID19" [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/zOtq4k21:44
mefistofelesfreaking data from JHU, honestly xD21:49
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 19:47 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: USA — from r/WorldNews at 19:47: Iran official says Trump sanctions are "medical terrorism" during coronavirus pandemic → https://is.gd/EWOP0z21:50
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1846 cases (now 925219), +85 deaths (now 46380), +27 recoveries (now 193431) — US: +1076 cases (now 209105), +43 deaths (now 4658), +27 recoveries (now 8805) — Switzerland: +631 cases (now 17768), +27 deaths (now 488)21:51
ThomCat[m]Motherf- are we really going to have a medical dick measuring contest between Iran and the USA in the middle of a fucking Pandemic?21:52
bin_bashlol21:54
tinwhiskersmefistofeles: if you're referring to lack of recovery data this time it's not JH fault really. Many states are no longer providing recovery data. The other sites I used for US state data are no longer reporting recoveries for the US either (worldometers, covidtracking.com).21:55
tinwhiskersjust another part of the poor response from the US I guess21:57
tinwhiskers</political jab>21:57
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:55 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US cases top 200,000, energy CEOs to meet with Trump Friday — from r/WorldNews at 19:55: Coronavirus: German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier calls for global alliance → https://is.gd/Hwnkrn22:03
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: More Than 350,000 People Fined For Breaking Lockdown Rules In France. (5041 votes)22:05
CoronaBothttps://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/coronavirus-france-fines-update-christophe-castaner-a9440146.html?utm_source=reddit.com | https://redd.it/fszl1t22:05
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +595 cases (now 925814), +35 deaths (now 46415) — Afghanistan: +43 cases (now 239) — Algeria: +1 cases (now 847), +15 recoveries (now 61)22:06
aradeshi wonder why iran got hit hard so early so quickly22:06
aradeshbecause, generally the countries that got hit hardest were ones where a lot of people travel to/from22:07
aradeshwhich i'm guessing is why in general, countries with smaller economy are quite a long way behind most western nations in their infection journey22:08
aradeshbut iran is a bit of an anomoly22:08
aradeshi guess they actually have a pretty big economy from oil though...22:08
aradeshbut i somehow doubt they have a huge amount of comings and goings22:09
tinwhiskersIran thought some deity would protect them22:09
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 20:06 UTC: (news): Mt. Sinai Health launches coronavirus app to track outbreak across the New York City — from r/WorldNews at 20:06: Coronavirus: German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier calls for global alliance → https://is.gd/xjWaAP22:09
LjLaradesh, i think randomness plays a role more than most people think, really. a cluster can start from a superspreader, like we probably had in Codogno, although we had other clusters so it's not like Italy would have been "spared" otherwise, but we might not have been hit so hard so soon22:09
AimHereIran probably just got unlucky and had an early infection from China22:09
AimHereCoupled with whatever mismanagement led to where they are now22:10
tinwhiskersthere's a lot of luck involved, for sure22:10
LjLi'm told, from hearsay (I don't live in that area anymore), our Chinese in Chinatown have been getting masks from China now, or perhaps also producing them directly, i'm not sure, and putting small batches of masks into people's mailboxes in the area22:13
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 20:10 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: Italy records lowest daily increase in deaths in a week as known global cases pass 900,000 — from r/WorldNews at 20:10: Coronavirus: German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier calls for global alliance → https://is.gd/HcP57U22:16
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1362 cases (now 927176), +35 deaths (now 46450) — US: +1609 cases (now 210714), +39 deaths (now 4697) — Massachusetts, US: +1118 cases (now 7738), +33 deaths (now 122)22:21
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 20:25 UTC: Australia news: Australia coronavirus live update: childcare operators call for government lifelines as Australian cases top 4,800- latest news — from r/WorldNews at 20:25: Russia spreading propaganda during COVID-19 pandemic: Canadian study → https://is.gd/YVYphh22:28
tinwhiskersThis is a really good read about the problems with the models, and the stories and policies that arise from replying on them: https://medium.com/@wpegden/a-call-to-honesty-in-pandemic-modeling-5c156686a64b22:31
tinwhiskers*relying on them22:31
tinwhiskersthe TLDR, as many of us have been saying, is that suppression only delays the inevitable (some models have deliberately hidden this), and we have a hard choice to make between long term suppression while awaiting a treatment or vaccine, or a short-term hit in terms of lives. The best choice will probably lie somewhere between these extremes.22:34
LjLtinwhiskers, or PM tonight talked about a "phase 2" when the restrictions are "slowly" lifted and we "live together with the virus"22:35
LjL"phase 3" will be normality22:35
LjLor, rebuilding, but without restrictions22:35
LjLso i assume he's trying to get somewhere between those extremes22:36
LjLbut if the models that say "mitigation doesn't work and you have to suppress" are right, then a phase 2 that's basically mitigation also... won't work22:36
tinwhiskersyeah, and in my home country they are currently planning to have short durations of relaxing the restrictions, assuming the virus will bounce back as you do.22:36
LjLwe'll just delay the "real" spike, won't we22:36
LjLtinwhiskers, oh yeah the on-off method of the Imperial College paper22:36
tinwhiskersright22:36
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1361 cases (now 928537), +53 deaths (now 46503), +43 recoveries (now 193473) — Brazil: +920 cases (now 6836), +34 deaths (now 240) — Algeria: +1 cases (now 847), +15 recoveries (now 61)22:36
LjLtinwhiskers, i feel the strategies will be more varied here... with the initial thing, we had delusions like the UK wanting to do something different but at the end of the day we're all ending up doing the same (if too late)22:37
tinwhiskersI hope (and expectation) is that we will development treatments well before we get a vaccine that will allow us to treat most patients with a good outcome, and then we slowly ease out of the lockdown22:37
tinwhiskersI still believe the UK approach was a good approach but got bad publicity22:38
tinwhiskers*and expect22:38
tinwhiskersoh, man. I can't English again today22:39
lf94"uk approach was good"22:39
lf94lots of people are going to die22:39
lf94because of that approach22:39
aradeshyeah22:39
aradeshmaybe he means, maybe if they'd actually carried out with their plan rather than aborting it to copy other european countries a week later?22:39
tinwhiskersyeah, so it was poorly communicated.22:40
lf94if the goal is to save lives, 100% lockdown is the best approach22:40
aradeshyup22:40
tinwhiskersthe economic harm from doing so may cost more lives if it takes too long22:40
aradeshlf94: well, maybe as close to 100% as you can, while still actually getting food in22:40
tinwhiskersit's not that simple22:40
aradeshfood + medicine22:40
aradeshobviously without those, more die22:40
lf94yeah22:40
aradeshtinwhiskers: i don't buy that.22:40
lf94tinwhiskers: bullshit, we can feed everyone if it came down to it.22:41
aradeshbelarus has an economy about 10% per person than the USA, but their life expectancy is only 4 or 5 years less than theirs22:41
lf94people would work for food.22:41
lf94not money22:41
lf94and a roof over their heads22:41
tinwhiskersthe long term consequences could take many years (a decade or more) for things to recover. the long-term effects are far reaching.22:41
aradeshtaken to its extremes, big enough hit to the economy will cause deaths, of course22:41
aradeshand as we've seen, we've had the economic hit anyway22:42
tinwhiskersyes, very minor so far22:42
lf94if the goal is to save the economy, getting everyone infected as fast as possible is probably the best22:42
lf94it's all about goals22:42
aradeshlf94: maybe, maybe not... it could still lead to mass panic when the hospitals are absolutely overridden22:42
tinwhiskersof course putting the economy first is not the answer. But you have to balance overall long-term harm to people.22:42
aradeshwhich could then cause detrimental behaviour from the populace22:42
lf94lockdown with "sterile" workers is where we are headed22:43
aradeshi think a country like the UK could easily afford to do a very close to 100% lock down, and suffer very few lives due to economic harm22:43
lf94work force will go back with masks and gloves full time22:43
aradeshbecause we're like 10x richer than countries whose life expectancy isn't much less than ours22:43
aradeshand even without physical wealth, we have the skills in our people that you get from being a 1st world country for so long22:44
aradeshtemporary disruption could cause deaths though, if food and medical supplies are broken22:45
tinwhiskersif you could successfully lock down everyone over 50, by taking hotels etc, feed them safely, then you can relax the restrictions on younger people to a greater extent than you could otherwise do, allowing the economy to function more, reducing harm for the *same* level of deaths.22:45
aradeshone thing i've noticed in the UK is that the peolpe least likely to follow government guidelines are the people over 60 -.-22:46
aradeshi was in the pharmacy the other day, and an old man who looked about 80 hobbling around, practically following me around every time i tried to maintain distance from him22:46
aradeshand then when i got away from him some other oblivious old person came near me instead22:46
lf94lmfao22:46
aradeshthey shouldn't even be out22:47
aradeshit's like they want to get infected22:47
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 20:39 UTC: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: Italy records lowest daily increase in deaths in a week as known global cases pass 900,000 — from r/WorldNews at 20:39: China 'finds new coronavirus strain that lasts for 49 days' in infected patient → https://is.gd/HcP57U22:47
tinwhiskersyeah, so I think people just don't want to understand that approach. ah, well.22:47
lf94Out of 7 billion people what's the amounth that will be estimated to be infected?22:48
tinwhiskersthe on-off approach is good too22:48
lf94make the math easier: 5 billion22:48
tinwhiskersprobably at least 50%22:48
lf94reported cases are 900,000...22:48
lf94actual is probably what, > 3 million?22:48
tinwhiskerslf94: something like that22:50
BruntLIVENY 1 News is where its at, ground zero organizing22:51
BruntLIVEhotels converted to hospitals22:51
BruntLIVEin 12 hours22:51
tinwhiskerslf94: were you going somewhere with that vs. the world population?22:51
lf94not really22:52
tinwhiskersoh22:52
lf94but good point22:52
lf94we are not even close to starting22:52
tinwhiskersright22:52
IronY" if you could successfully lock down everyone over 50,"22:52
IronYyou kidding22:52
IronY60 year old + are the ones who don't give a fuck in my experience22:52
IronYwent to pick up some food today from a m&ms meatshop22:53
tinwhiskersyou don't need to ask them nicely22:53
IronYOf course I pre-orderd my food22:53
IronYso I just physically had to grab it, no lollygagging22:53
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 20:51 UTC: /u/slakmehl: ian bremmer su Twitter: "Italy starting to plateau. Lockdowns work.… " — from r/WorldNews at 20:51: China 'finds new coronavirus strain that lasts for 49 days' in infected patient → https://is.gd/cRkcYE22:53
IronYI seen 3 people on my trip, the cashiere, and two elderly ladies with zero ppo, thumbing through flyers22:53
lf94I guess when you're 60, you're kind of shaking your ass in death's face every day22:53
IronYI waited for 15 mins in my car for 1 of them to leave22:53
IronYthe other one had no plans on mozying on22:54
IronYmy last trip out, I saw a man in his 70s asking if they were still selling lottery tickets22:54
IronYlf94: exactly22:54
IronYThere not unaware, they just don't give a fuck22:54
IronYI would almost go ahead and guess that people over 60 have already come to terms with the concept of their own mortality22:55
IronYouch22:58
IronYEverybody be cool22:58
IronYdo the right thing22:58
Koshi.list22:59
IronYKoshi: now might be the time ur changing ur passwords on all ur accounts, not looking at lists22:59
BrainstormNew from The Guardian at 20:52 UTC: Australia news: Australia coronavirus live update: childcare operators call for government lifelines as Australian cases near 5,000 – latest news — from r/WorldNews at 20:52: China 'finds new coronavirus strain that lasts for 49 days' in infected patient → https://is.gd/YVYphh23:00
aradeshhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRbSdHQnVNY23:00
BruntLIVEi think China sent Covid-19 as a test, they will end it all with the next virus. Covid-2023:02
LjL%cases uk23:05
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, United Kingdom, there are 29474 cases, 2352 deaths (8.0% of cases), 135 recoveries as of April 01, 20:51Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=United%20Kingdom for time series data.23:05
LjL%wa 2352/(2352+135)23:06
BrainstormLjL, Wolfram|Alpha (2352/(2352 + 135)): Decimal approximation: 0.945717732207478890229191797346200241254523522316043425814... → https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2352%2F%282352%2B135%2923:06
LjLubLIX, ↑23:06
IronYwhats the 0.9423:08
LjLIronY, it would be the case fatality rate if the epidemic had ended and deaths+recoveries represented all cases23:08
LjLbut instead, it's a somewhat meaningless number23:08
LjLin some cases it can be used as a cautionary upper bound on what mortality *could* be23:08
LjLbut in the UK's case, where recoveries have practically not been recorded so far, it doesn't make much sense to say "it could have 94% fatality rate"23:09
LjLit came from a discussion i was having23:09
IronYwhoa whoa whoa, ur predicting a 94% fatality rate, did I miss something23:09
LjLyes23:10
LjLthe whole part where i said under what conditions this would make sense23:10
AimHereIt's the upper bound fatality rate23:10
LjLconditions which do not apply23:10
LjLnot currently, not for a long time23:10
IronYohhh23:10
AimHereThe fatality rate if coronavirus killed everyone we knew had it23:10
AimHereAs in Coronavirus is playing by Plague, Inc rules and underwent a spontaneous mutation among all sufferers23:11
Nokajiwhy is it an upper bound?23:11
IronYAimHere: that would be impressive23:11
IronYviral quantum entanglement lol23:12
AimHereNokaji, well it's an upper bound on the fatalities among known cases23:12
IronYthankfully thats not how that works23:12
LjLif you start recording deaths but do not record recoveries (because you don't, or because recoveries take a long time to happen), you may as well claim there's a 100% fatality rate using this formula, when maybe in the end it will be 1%. it's an example of a formula which is technically correct, but fails to meet the definition unless certain conditions are true (namely, "the epidemic has ended, and you have all the numbers")23:12
LjLit's a bit too easy for some people to forget about preconditions for a formula to fit a definition23:12
IronYif the virus mutated, we would essentially have a pandemic and an epidemic first, followed by two pandemics23:12
NokajiLjL: so you are saying recoveries take longer than deaths?23:12
IronYYou are normally critical after 7 days23:13
LjLNokaji, it is not even strictly an upper bound, especially not if recoveries take a *shorter* amount of time to occur than deaths, but realistically under most circumstances it's kind of the worst that can happen, unless we're being *really* bad with the numbers, to the point we may as well toss them all away23:13
LjLNokaji, yes, recoveries can take longer than deaths, and generally do, and also, countries tend to be much sloppier with recording recoveries, because it's not as pressing, and because of things like requiring two negative tests before you can record a recovery... and *if you have no tests available*, you always prioritize testing the sick, not testing the healed23:14
Nokajithe stats do show the corollary which they label as 'Recovered / Discharged'23:14
LjLafter an epidemic has ended, deaths/(deaths+recoveries) == deaths/cases23:14
LjLbut right now, those two values are different, and usually, deaths/cases is lower23:14
IronYLjL: Will probably make more sense to count the recovered via antibody tests23:15
LjLthat makes it obvious that the real fatality rate is neither of them23:15
NokajiLjL: fair point then ... ad the reason this is peculiar to the UK is because their testing methods are radically different to elsewhere? ... e,g, far less testing?23:15
LjLit's not peculiar to the UK23:16
LjLmost countries tend to have deaths/(recoveries+deaths) be a much larger number than deaths/cases23:16
LjL%cases italy23:16
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 110574 cases, 13155 deaths (11.9% of cases), 16847 recoveries as of April 01, 20:51Z. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.23:16
LjLnow italy has recorded a lot of recoveries23:17
LjLbut still23:17
NokajiUK's 95% lethality is among the highest of such numbers23:17
LjL%wa 13155/(13155+16847)23:17
BrainstormLjL, Wolfram|Alpha (13155/(13155 + 16847)): Decimal approximation: 0.438470768615425638290780614625691620558629424705019665355... → https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=13155%2F%2813155%2B16847%2923:17
LjLthis would mean 43% "lethality", to use your term23:17
LjLbut that term is just... wrong23:17
LjLyou have a number23:17
LjLthat you have calculated with a formula23:17
LjLwhich does NOT represent lethality23:17
LjLunless certain conditions are met23:17
LjLthose conditions are NOT met23:17
LjLnow, 43% is lower than 94%, but that matters little since both are RIDICULOUSLY high compared to any reasonable estimate of the actual CFR that COVID-19 may bring23:18
LjLin italy, deaths/cases is 11.9%, which is, wow, a lot, but certainly not 43%23:18
IronYThere are confirmed recovered cases in the their 80s23:18
IronYI would expect even at 43%, there would be no confirmed recovered cases in their 80s23:19
Nokajisure, it only represents the test method .. and test definitions23:19
IronYI am using the qualifier confirmed, so you can assume it is a clinical confirmation23:19
IronYunlike lets say my province23:19
IronYwhere you are good to go after 14 days23:20
IronYmakes it real easy to count I guess23:20
LjLIronY, good for them! but indeed, you have 13155 deaths and 16847 recoveries. if you sum those two, the sum is *much* less than 110574. and yet, there are 110574 cases. all the remaining cases will either die, or recover. if they haven't done that yet, then you're missing the majority of your data from the formula, and the formula doesn't mean a whole lot23:20
IronYjust put a timer on first symptoms, and boom, 14 days later you got yourself recovered++23:20
LjLNokaji, no, there is no definition that says the CFR is deaths/(deaths+recoveries) *before* an epidemic is over23:20
NokajiLjL: you make a lot of sense, I suspected some anomaly but couldn't figure out why and almost nobody else understands or cares to discuss it, thx23:21
LjLand even if it were arbitrarily defined as that for reasons that definitions are arbitrary in science like in other things, it makes no sense to translate it to a 94% or 43% "lethality"23:21
LjLwhich would mean: 94% or 43% of people who get it, die23:21
LjLwhich is very obviously not true23:21
IronYat 94% we would of had socitial breakdown a few months ago23:22
NokajiLjL: oh yeah, I'm aware it changes at end of play23:22
LjLNokaji, note also that there is another term, the Infection Fatality Rate, where the difference between "Case" and "Infection" is that cases are the ones you diagnose, while infections are, sadly, generally expected to be more. so the IFR is something one tries to determine, and it is more representative of the actual question "how many of those who get it die?", but it's very hard to be able to say "yes, this number is it"23:22
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says (5058 votes)23:23
CoronaBothttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-01/china-concealed-extent-of-virus-outbreak-u-s-intelligence-says | https://redd.it/ft2io123:23
NokajiI couldn't see a point for a running score in mortality, where it includes unresolved cases but then I pondered a little further and thought if you compare and contrast with CFR ... thoe numbers wold tend together at end of play, so you can gauge apporx where it is on the curve by the variance and trend over a little time23:26
LjLpython476,23:27
Nokaji... as they move further apart or closer together and the speed that happens23:27
LjL%fdroid Attestation Coronavirus23:27
BrainstormLjL, Attestation Coronavirus 0.0.3 (com.adrienpoupa.attestationcoronavirus) in https://f-droid.org/repo: Generates the PDF attestation file required by the French government to go out. - updated 2020-04-01, see https://github.com/AdrienPoupa/AttestationCoronavirus23:27
BrainstormLjL, Last time I checked, not all indexes could be downloaded!23:27
Nokajiby peculiar to UK, I meant up in the 90's%23:29
tinwhiskersNokaji: a per-capita fatality rate is somewhat useful, but the case fatality rate at this point is a little unreliable due to lag and testing biases.23:29
LjLNokaji, i think it's very difficult to compare the numbers from different country, but *that* formula in particular tends to be very meaningless, because the way recoveries are recorded is often even more haphazard and inconsistent than the way cases are recorded. just go to https://offloop.net/covid19/ and select a few countries and see how "rougher" the graph for recoveries seems to be. the others may look like a smooth exponential, yet recoveries be all 23:29
LjLmessed up. that's a sign the data is bad quality.23:29
ubLIXthen I owe you an apology, Nokaji, for contributing to some misunderstanding much earlier today (I shouldn't have hit enter repeatedly while operating on ~2 hours sleep)23:29
LjLNokaji, doing deaths/cases is also problematic because while deaths are (relatively!) reliable, the number of cases has a different meaning in different countries and regions, depending on testing and such... plus, deaths lag behind more than cases, so there will be a systematic bias. but still, it won't look as utterly random as the recoveries23:30
NokajiLjL: I accept the data is bad quality and often delivered late and that it isn't remotely consistent across differnet nations, even though it has been shoehorned into one giant statistic, as if it were23:31
tinwhiskersif for example, you look at per-capita death rate for New York vs. Italy, then New York is faring far worse than Italy.23:31
NokajiubLIX: That's decent of you, accepted and appreciated - thx23:31
LjLNokaji, the UK is further behind than other countries, meaning its epidemic started later, compared to Italy but also to other continental Europe countries... so that can be one reason why its recoveries are still so few. the fact 90% is so much higher than other countries is not something i'd give any weight to at this point.23:31
LjLtinwhiskers, and if you look at Louisiana...23:31
LjLKatrina was probably a joke in comparison ;(23:32
tinwhiskersLouisiana is a little better than Italy, but not by much23:32
LjLtinwhiskers, at least i can trust that if you take Lombardy specifically, we're pretty screwed23:32
tinwhiskersah, lets see23:33
LjLtinwhiskers, but Madrid may be close23:33
NokajiLjL: that's a relief then :)23:33
tinwhiskersActually New York and Lombardy are neck-in-neck23:33
LjLtinwhiskers, yep23:34
LjLexcept NY will overtake us... tomorrow?23:34
LjLi don't have a crystal ball but that graph is steeeeep23:34
tinwhiskersOh, crap. Sorry, I'm totally wrong. Was looking at cases, not deaths :-/23:34
LjLwait, the cases i meant here, not the deaths23:34
tinwhiskersLombaria is a LOT worse23:34
LjLlol, both of us then23:34
tinwhiskersthe per-capita *death* rate is far far worse in Lombardia23:35
LjL"lol" may not be representative of the actual thing i'm doing23:35
tinwhiskers:-/23:35
CoronaBot/r/worldnews: Philippine President Duterte tells military to shoot those who criticize the government's actions (5113 votes)23:35
CoronaBothttps://filipinotimes.net/news/2020/04/01/duterte-warns-people-causing-chaos-amid-covid-19-shoot-them-dead/ | https://redd.it/ft0i7q23:35
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +579 cases (now 929116), +26 deaths (now 46529), +276 recoveries (now 193749) — Afghanistan: +41 cases (now 237) — Alabama, US: +64 cases (now 1077)23:36
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live* at 21:33 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Ecco il vostro Recap per il 1 Aprile — from r/WorldNews at 21:33: In 2017, the US military identified a novel influenza disease as "the most likely and significant threat" which it anticipated would lead to a shortage of ventilators, face masks and hospital beds. → https://is.gd/gouOtW23:38
LjLNokaji, do what we're doing, go to https://offloop.net/covid19/ and click the "by population" box. then enable, well, these are what i've enabled: UK, Italy, Lombardia (in Italy), New York, Spain. the deaths graph you see will represent how many people are known to have died of COVID-19 compared to the population of the whole place. this *also* can suffer from bias (anything can), because, for example, maybe some people have died of COVID but doctors 23:38
LjLthought they died of something else, etc... plus, one should also look at trends, not just the current numbers. but still, the UK's graph will look better than all the others, for now.23:38
tinwhiskersit should be noted that the per-capita death rate in New York is still very early compared to Lombardia, and if you align the curves New York in climbing much more quickly.23:38
LjLthis is a more solid number, it tells you how much the average person in a given country or region risks death from COVID on a given day23:39
tinwhiskersoh, crud. I just did the same fucking thing again :-) They are very similar!23:39
LjLtinwhiskers, well, i can see that in the new case count. i don't expect the deaths to be magically lower forever, also since i don't believe there are *so* many more ICU beds than in lombardy23:39
tinwhiskersright23:39
NokajiLjL: I'll giv that a try ... ypu, they recommend test, test, test and even that depends how accurate the tests are23:40
LjLNokaji, even within Italy, you'll see an entirely different testing pattern (and hence, cases and deaths are very different) between Lombardy and Veneto, which are two regions next to each other in the north, both affected23:41
LjLbut the two governors did testing completely differently23:41
LjLthe governor of Veneto "tested tested tested" much more, comparatively, and managed to track and trace a lot of contacts23:41
LjLLombardy was swamped, and barely manages to test very sick people23:42
LjLthis will make the data look very different from "reality", whatever it is that we define as reality. in any case, not easily comparable23:42
pwr22!compare lombardia;veneto23:43
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews Live* at 21:42 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Daily update on United States data from the Covid Tracking Project reports the following one day % changes: [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/5JROIk23:44
LjLokay now what is *this* bot -.-23:45
LjLdhmf[m], are you a bot?23:46
LjLpwr22, the numbers there are missing the thing that differentiates the situation the most (not your fault, they are just not very accessible from international data): the amount of tests done, and the percentages of positives found23:46
dhmf[m]no23:46
dhmf[m]it's a bot hooked into me23:46
dhmf[m]ie ...23:47
dhmf[m]!room servers23:47
LjLdhmf[m], hrm, okay... can you disable that ! trigger for here? we already have a bot that responds to !commands23:47
LjLyikes23:48
Nokajiengland is testing maybe 70,000 per week whereas germany is at 500,000 per week - england is busy turning down test kits at the moment23:48
LjLshould i even look at what that caused on Matrix23:48
LjL-Matrixoh whew, it was a single message23:49
aradeshNokaji: turning them down?23:49
aradeshjournalist asked at the press conference today about why germany is able to test so many and we keep saying we can't get enough tasks, talking about getting 25,000 tests/day mid april23:49
aradeshtests*23:50
aradeshbut the guy didn't really answer it23:50
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:45 UTC: The coronavirus outbreak is a 'real threat to everyone on the planet,' WHO official says: "COVID-19 is a real threat. It is a real threat to everyone on the planet," said Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, the WHO's technical lead on the outbreak. [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/CowO0K23:50
aradeshi wonder why the UK has so much trouble getting tests23:50
dhmf[m]yeah it's like one line of code to change one sec23:51
dhmf[m]done23:51
dhmf[m]try now23:51
pwr22Yeah, and they were talking about ranking up to 20k tests post per day like three weeks back23:51
BrainstormNew bulletins for World: +1941 cases (now 931057), +257 deaths (now 46786) — Spain: +1939 cases (now 104118), +256 deaths (now 9387) — Afghanistan: +41 cases (now 237)23:51
Nokajiaradesh: ppl are bending over backwards to procure kits on UK's behalf, including at least one docotr who has offered to supply 10,000 out of his own pocket - UK gov doesn't even respond ... it get worse ...23:52
LjL!test23:52
CoronaBot,01[OK]23:52
LjLlol23:52
pwr22Something isn't right23:52
aradeshNokaji: maybe it's not a matter of money?23:53
Nokajiaradesh: UK claims they can;t make test kits bcz of a shortage of a certain chemical - the chemical industry asked which chemical, they couldn't answer. Chem ind then said "there is no shortage, what are you on about? - we are writing to you to say we can make any chemical that you want"23:53
aradeshlike maybe other countries already have all the materials needed to make the tests23:53
Nokajiaradesh: I could go on with the major problems but I'll stop there23:53
aradeshyeah, that was what one journalist asked in the press conference23:53
aradeshwhat is the chemical? and he barely answered23:53
aradeshwas just like, "it's a special chemical for the manufacturer"23:53
ketasit's called Bs23:54
aradeshlike, if they could just say something like, "germany and USA have lots of factories that are able to produce these things, we only have one or two"23:54
aradeshthen it'd be a reasonable answer23:54
ketasin it's natural for it's quite common on earth surface23:55
aradeshit probably comes down to the UK not jumping on the bang wagon of ordering tests early enough23:55
aradeshso they don't want to admit some failing23:55
Nokajiwe are even exporting test kits .. occado got hold of 10,000 test kits to test its own staff and said the NHS could have them instead if they wanted them23:55
aradeshwow23:55
aradeshyeah so we've probably already done stupid stuff like promise to sell them to other people23:56
aradeshwith 2 week ago boris johnson thinking we'd never need more than a few 10 thousand23:56
NokajiUK didn't want them so they got exported23:56
aradeshincompetant23:57
aradeshnot taking it seriously when we had at least a month of warning23:57
Nokajiperhaps they only accept test kits that have touched the hem of jesus23:57
aradeshand then messing it up even when it's on our doorstep23:58
aradeshannoying23:58
Nokaji1 in 4 docotrs are off sick or self-isolating bcz they cannot test23:58
IronY"• The median age of cases is 47 years, although cases have ranged from two years to 97 years."23:59
IronYottawa, that 2 year old is fucking up my median23:59
aradeshmedian is 47? wow23:59
aradeshthat's low...23:59
IronY127 cases with a 2 year old23:59
aradeshis that because there are more young people than old people in the countries infected, pulling it down?23:59
IronYyeah23:59
IronY2 year old is throwing the whole number off lol23:59
aradeshoh23:59

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