libera/##covid-19/ Monday, 2021-05-31

BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: South Africa faces third COVID wave, returns to stricter lockdown → https://is.gd/ZiGBnd00:14
BrainstormUpdates for Canada: +1872 cases (now 1.4 million), +27 deaths (now 25491) since 22 hours ago00:36
BrainstormUpdates for Sudan: +206 cases (now 35495), +30 deaths (now 2630) since 5 days ago02:03
BrainstormUpdates for Netherlands: +2208 cases (now 1.7 million), +5 deaths (now 17755) since 22 hours ago — United Kingdom: +2366 cases (now 4.5 million), +5 deaths (now 127908) since 22 hours ago02:40
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Wuhan Lab Leak Called Viable Possible Cause for COVID-19 Pandemic → https://is.gd/nbZIYL02:41
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Vietnam detects new COVID-19 variant, hybrid of India, U.K. strains → https://is.gd/Mmukpf03:45
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Mass vaccination creates healthy oasis in Brazilian city → https://is.gd/DBxH3t04:06
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: British intelligence believes COVID-19 lab leak theory ‘feasible’: Report → https://is.gd/m8ckug04:49
BrainstormUpdates for Belgium: +1437 cases (now 1.1 million), +19 deaths (now 24940) since 23 hours ago — Guinea-Bissau: +5 cases (now 3766) since a day ago05:34
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: As COVID rampages across Nepal, workers pay the price → https://is.gd/HPW8TQ06:03
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Australia's Victoria COVID-19 cluster swells to 51, next few days 'critical' → https://is.gd/VEA4GS06:14
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: COVID-19 sent Australia’s carbon emissions plummeting in 2020 to lowest levels in 30 years → https://is.gd/maVSC606:46
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: ‘Like a dream’: Latin Americans head to US for COVID shots → https://is.gd/4LenOW06:57
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Taiwan approves $15.2 bln in new spending to deal with COVID-19 impact → https://is.gd/7JC2SS07:08
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Covid-19 has no credible natural ancestor: Study → https://is.gd/B1oYvI07:30
BrainstormUpdates for Santander, Colombia: +1391 cases (now 132938), +42 deaths (now 4534) since a day ago — Buryatia, Russia: +83 cases (now 38417), +1 deaths (now 895) since a day ago — Arkhangel'sk, Russia: +70 cases (now 72954), +4 deaths (now 1190) since a day ago — Tambov, Russia: +56 cases (now 32797), +2 deaths (now 534) since a day ago07:33
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Covid2019: COVID-19 cases and deaths are down but rate of infection is the same as it was in December for unvaccinated → https://is.gd/f32OE207:40
BrainstormUpdates for India: +152734 cases (now 28.0 million), +3124 deaths (now 328066) since 15 hours ago08:41
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Brazil tops 400,000 COVID-19 deaths as coronavirus pandemic soars → https://is.gd/jF2Kcf08:54
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Daily Discussion Thread | May 31, 2021: Please refer to our Wiki for more information on COVID-19 and our sub. You can find answers to frequently asked questions in our FAQ , where there is valuable information such as our: → https://is.gd/tLsE2M09:05
BrainstormNew from Science-Based Medicine: The origin of SARS-CoV-2, revisited: Since early in the pandemic, scientists have overwhelmingly concluded that the evidence makes a natural origin for SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, a far more likely explanation for the pandemic than a laboratory origin. Over the last three weeks or so, however, [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/Y9txYG09:16
BrainstormNew from BBC Health: Covid-19: UK in early stages of third wave - scientist: Prof Ravi Gupta says there has been exponential growth in the number of new coronavirus cases. → https://is.gd/iI3scf09:48
BrainstormUpdates for Taiwan: +351 cases (now 8511), +14 deaths (now 124) since 23 hours ago10:02
jacklswdamn, there's still waves of covid :(10:08
zuttunfortunately, yeah10:08
-RSSBot[LjLmatrix- Feed: Il Presidente Draghi incontra il Primo Ministro libico Dabaiba ( https://www.governo.it/it/articolo/il-presidente-draghi-incontra-il-primo-ministro-libico-dabaiba/16959 )10:09
BrainstormUpdates for Manipur, India: +1032 cases (now 49882), +17 deaths (now 793) since a day ago10:40
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Around 2,000 foreigners, including U.S. soldiers in South Korea hold no-mask parties on Busan beach amid pandemic → https://is.gd/v67AfG11:34
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: North Korea still claiming it’s COVID-free in latest WHO report → https://is.gd/O3bbLt12:51
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express (Health): Health: A vaccine side effect leaves women wondering: why isn’t the pill safer? → https://is.gd/cuL8XQ13:35
de-facto.title https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/13/6/104314:19
Brainstormde-facto: From www.mdpi.com: Viruses | Free Full-Text | Evaluation of Production Lots of a Rapid Point-of-Care Lateral Flow Serological Test Intended for Identification of IgM and IgG against the N-Terminal Part of the Spike [...]14:19
BrainstormNew from ECDC: Data on the daily number of new reported COVID-19 cases and deaths by EU/EEA country: The downloadable data file is updated daily and contains the latest available public data on COVID-19. Each row/entry contains the number of new cases and deaths reported per day and per country in the EU/EEA. → https://is.gd/tBASDi14:39
yutade-facto: The Indian mutant strain accounts for 6.7% of those infected in Tokyo.15:32
de-factooh ok well thats better than the graphs we talked about last time, those indicated a lot more indian strain15:43
de-factois that representative (e.g. randomly taken from all positive tests in Tokyo)?15:44
yutade-facto: no , worse.15:45
yutade-facto: we talked about UK mutant. not indian.15:45
yutareplaced :P15:46
-RSSBot[LjLmatrix- Feed: Il Presidente Draghi in visita in Emilia Romagna ( https://www.governo.it/it/articolo/il-presidente-draghi-visita-emilia-romagna/16962 )15:49
de-factono we talked about B.1.617.2 from https://covariants.org/per-country the big green increase being https://covariants.org/variants/21A.S.478K hence B.1.617.2 (Indian mutant version 2 also on the rise on other countries unfortunately)15:51
de-factoUK variant is B.1.1.7 from  https://covariants.org/per-country the big red peak that is  https://covariants.org/variants/S.501Y.V1 (UK Variant B.1.1.7)15:53
de-factoso acutally we talked about both then :)15:54
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Singapore to start vaccinating 12-18 year-olds as PM outlines reopening plans → https://is.gd/cqPZNv15:55
yutahold on de-facto15:58
yutawe don't know. really . that parcentage of india mutant.a15:59
yutasad15:59
de-factothis is another example from Germany, the Indian Mutant B.1.617.2 also on the rise (the brown in the plot)16:01
ArsaneritDoes B.1.617.2 escape the mRNA vaccines to a worrisome level?16:01
de-facto.title https://imgur.com/a/qD8nxBd  https://i.imgur.com/qaqCmix.png source: https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/DESH/Bericht_VOC_2021-05-26.pdf?__blob=publicationFile16:01
Brainstormde-facto: From imgur.com: COVID Germany: SARS-CoV-2-VoCs prevalence evolution - Album on Imgur16:01
de-factoArsanerit, i dont think so16:01
de-factobtw that is somewhat representative, they took random samples afaik16:02
yutabrown is indian mutant?16:02
yutagreen is another indian mutant ?16:02
yutade-facto:16:02
ArsaneritI don't see from the covariants.org data if the B.1.617.2 variant is on the rise, seems to be still at 1%, which may indicate insufficient sampling16:02
ArsaneritBut at 1% it seems to be too low to know for sure if there is community transmission?16:02
ArsaneritWhy are there so few overall samples in the week starting 2021-05-17 for Germany?16:03
de-facto.title https://covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw?show=B.1.617.2&lineage=B.1.617.2&colorBy=p <-- this here the Indian Mutant B.1.617.2 on the rise in UK16:03
Brainstormde-facto: From covid19.sanger.ac.uk: COVID-19 Genomic Surveillance – Wellcome Sanger Institute16:03
ArsaneritI can see that B.1.617.2 is on the rise in the UK, and it's a shame it got imported in Germany, but I haven't seen data showing it's on the rise in Germany.16:04
BrainstormNew from Scientific American: Health: As the Pandemic Wanes, Sexually Transmitted Infections Are Likely to Rise → https://is.gd/C16EqR16:06
de-factoArsanerit, have you looked at my link above?16:07
de-factothe brown area is increasing hence its on the rise16:07
de-factounfortunately16:07
Arsaneritde-facto: The covariants.org one?  I thought B.1.617.2 was the green area.16:08
ArsaneritYou've posted 6 links in the past 15 minutes so I'm not entirely sure which one you mean.16:08
de-factothe imgur one16:09
de-factoanother example would be the place where it was seen first; India itself16:09
de-facto.title https://imgur.com/a/AtgaZKQ https://i.imgur.com/7GVCuFj.png source: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/Emergence-of-SARS-CoV-2-B.1.617-variants-in-India-and-situation-in-the-EUEEA.pdf16:09
* de-facto pokes Brainstorm16:10
* Brainstorm starts to nauseate de-facto with some high-risk motormouth 16:10
de-factolol post the title Brainstorm16:10
de-facto"COVID India: evolution of SARS-CoV-2 linages over time"16:10
de-factoso it pretty much is on the rise everywhere16:11
yutade-facto: brown = africa mutant. green = india mutant.16:12
ArsaneritI'm looking at the Bericht from RKI.  I see it in Table 2 now.  So it's the B.1.617.2 that's increasing, but B.1.617.1 apparently no longer observed recently16:12
de-factohmm ECDC moved their link its now here: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/threat-assessment-emergence-sars-cov-2-b1617-variants16:13
ArsaneritNot sure if 1.9% to 2.2% is a statistically significant increase at those sample sizes16:13
de-factoyeah B.1.617.2 is the worrisome16:13
de-factoits the first indication of possibility for a trend16:13
ArsaneritThe increase from 0.1% to 1.9% is worrisome indeed.16:14
de-factoyuta South African Mutant is B.1.351, UK Mutant it B.1.1.7 and Indian Mutant is B.1.617.2 (and .1 and .3 which are irrelevant)16:14
ArsaneritI guess they're getting less samples when total infection rates are going down.16:16
de-factoyes hence proportions16:17
de-factoto be fair its not clear how much is breakthrough and how much happening in social bubbles that are not vaccinated yet (e.g. in UK)16:18
de-factoafaik tests showed vaccines work against it16:18
de-factoso most likely B.1.617.2 is even more reproductive than B.1.1.7 (as it dominates it in countries where immunity is not a major selective factor yet) and vaccine efficacy is a bit reduced (but maybe not as much as with B.1.351)16:20
de-factoin the end only time will tell (and maybe neutralization assays)16:21
Arsaneriteven adenovirus vaccines?16:21
ArsaneritI thought adenivirus vaccine was only ~10% effective against it16:21
Arsaneritbbl16:21
de-factohard to compare because all vaccines would have to be compared to the same Mutant at same time with same cohorts etc16:24
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: UK may be in third wave of Covid: Experts warn govt ahead of ease in restrictions → https://is.gd/j4A18M16:50
jacklswalmost everywhere in the world has covid third wave16:50
dTalduh we're in a third wave look at the case graph16:56
dTalthe last thing we want to be doing is opening back up16:56
dTalparadoxically I don't think the good weather is helping - I think it's pushing people into gatherings16:57
Jigsy%cases UK17:01
BrainstormDBRunRecoveryError: (-30973, 'BDB0087 DB_RUNRECOVERY: Fatal error, run database recovery -- BDB0060 PANIC: fatal region error detected; run recovery') (file "/usr/lib/python2.7/bsddb/__init__.py", line 270, in <lambda>)17:01
Jigsy...17:01
finely[m]<Arsanerit "Does B.1.617.2 escape the mRNA v"> Anecdote of it infecting two Singaporean patients that had both Pfizer jabs in the recent airport cluster.17:12
yutadTal> paradoxically I don't think the good weather is helping - I think it's pushing people into gatherings17:15
yutadTal> paradoxically I don't think the good weather is helping - I think it's pushing people into gatherings17:15
yutaagree .17:15
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Monday 31 May 2021 Update: submitted by /u/HippolasCage to r/CoronavirusUK → https://is.gd/fsBoKs17:22
BrainstormNew from Emma Hodcroft: @mvankerkhove: RT by @firefoxx66: Today, @WHO announces new, easy-to-say labels for #SARSCoV2 Variants of Concern (VOCs) & Interest (VOIs)They will not replace existing scientific names, but are aimed to help in public discussion of VOI/VOCRead more here (will be live soon): [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/ZWwA2Y17:44
BrainstormNew from EMA: What's new: Herbal: Herbal medicinal product: Vaccinii macrocarpi fructus, Vaccinii macrocarpi fructus, P: Draft published → https://is.gd/gQwuNi17:55
charade"15,000 people will die per month and 175,000 in one year"  in the US ; in '18/'19 est deaths from Flu were 35k/year18:07
Arsaneritjacklsw: Isn't 4th wave more common than 3rd wave by now?18:42
Arsaneritfinely[m]: Not sure what anecdotes are worth.18:43
Spec_no, we're still in the 3rd wave coffee movement, 4th wave is later18:44
BrainstormNew from EuroNews: (news): Fully vaccinated travellers should be exempted from restrictions, says Brussels → https://is.gd/1hgitk18:49
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express (Health): Destination of the week: Egypt bets on ancient finds to pull tourism out of pandemic → https://is.gd/veAXTD19:11
finely[m]<Arsanerit "finely: Not sure what anecdotes "> That's all we have at the moment until we get studies. Breakthrough could happen with any vaccine, but two happening at the same time for a variant is concerning.19:13
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: WHO announces Greek Alphabet labelling system for Covid-19 variants to remove stigma → https://is.gd/0PpVEn20:14
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: WHO announces new naming system for variants of Covid-19, using Greek letters: "We're not saying replace B.1.1.7, but really just to try to help some of the dialogue with the average person," Maria Van Kerkhove says → https://is.gd/0p7yae20:35
LjLoh lord20:37
LjLmore naming systems, that's what we need!20:38
BrainstormNew from Medical Xpress: WHO switches to Greek alphabet for virus variant names: COVID-19 variants are to be known by letters of the Greek alphabet to avoid stigmatizing nations where they were first detected, the World Health Organization announced Monday. → https://is.gd/KaUuZ920:46
whytek<Brainstorm> DBRunRecoveryError: (-30973, 'BDB0087 DB_RUNRECOVERY: Fatal error, run database recovery -- BDB0060 PANIC: fatal region error detected; run recovery') (file "/usr/lib/python2.7/bsddb/__init__.py", line 270, in <lambda>)20:59
whytekGood to see Brainstorm taking a welcome break from the usual :)21:00
whytek"fatal region error detected" hehe21:00
whytekThat would be...21:00
whytekGaza?21:01
ArsaneritLjL: https://xkcd.com/927/21:24
LjLHehe kind of yeah21:24
IndoAnonLjL: really, WHO is led by retards22:10
IndoAnonnow everyone have to learn how to write Greek letter like American sorority girls22:12
LjLUh, well, that could easily be avoided by writing down *names* of Greek letters (which most literate people know) without the letters themselves, but even if it entailed learning the Greek alphabet, I don't think that would be the biggest tragedy22:20
IndoAnonsoon, CJK characters22:29
IndoAnonhttps://web.archive.org/web/20210531203609/https://meaww.com/amp/scientist-danielle-anderson-facebook-factchecker-covid-19-leak-theory-worked-in-wuhan-lab22:37
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana: MINISTERO DELLA SALUTE - ORDINANZA 30 maggio 2021: Ulteriori misure  urgenti  in  materia  di  contenimento  e  gestionedell'emergenza epidemiologica da COVID-19. (21A03430) → https://is.gd/ZaE3pL22:58
LjLIndoAnon, CJK characters *are* formally used by the WHO for things like disease naming. they promulgate them in English, French, Arabic, and Chinese, IIRC.23:12
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana: LEGGE 28 maggio 2021, n.76: Conversione in legge, con modificazioni, del decreto-legge 1°  aprile2021, n. 44, recante misure urgenti per il contenimento dell'epidemiada COVID-19, in materia di vaccinazioni anti SARS-CoV-2, di giustiziae di concorsi pubblici. (21G00086) → https://is.gd/DZI1jo23:19
de-factoαlpha variants are the new βeta blockers? :D23:28
IndoAnonLjL: Well, I mean assigning one CJK character for one particular strain23:39
BrainstormNew from NPR: The 'Time Has Come' For A Global Pandemic Treaty, WHO's Tedros Says: Pathogens can blossom from an outbreak into a pandemic because they "exploit our interconnectedness and expose our inequities and divisions," the World Health Organization's leader says. → https://is.gd/Y8sLsY23:40

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