libera/##covid-19/ Saturday, 2022-01-08

BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Vaccinated hospital patients outpace the unvaccinated, but it doesn't mean the shots don't work: experts → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryk66a/vaccinated_hospital_patients_outpace_the/00:01
de-factowell those distancing rules only apply for spitting into each others faces, not so much for accumulating aerosol, i think noone would assume a cigarette is not smell-able from 2m away00:02
de-factohence imho such studies quantifying the *relative* protection (in form of an upper boundary) for different scenarios (masks, airtight fits, exposure times etc) make most sence to me, because they allow for quantitative statements such as X-fold reduction by this and that00:04
LjLBrainstorm: New from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Canadian passengers partied maskless on a charter flight to Mexico. Airlines are refusing to fly them home. → https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryj075/canadian_passengers_partied_maskless_on_a_charter/00:04
de-factoi wont even start to rant about airtravel passengers again: its quite simple, people are WAY too stupid to be trusted with something like intercontinental traveling, therefore it must be ended without quarantine terminally.00:10
BrainstormNew from Ars Technica: Science: CDC head talks screwups, 4th doses, omicron’s wave in long-awaited briefing → https://arstechnica.com/00:10
BrainstormUpdates for Spain: +242440 cases (now 7.2 million), +97 deaths (now 89934) since 2 days ago — Brazil: +54900 cases (now 22.5 million), +92 deaths (now 619822) since 22 hours ago — Ethiopia: +2163 cases (now 442187), +7 deaths (now 7012), +7654 tests (now 4.2 million, 28.3% positive today) since a day ago — Guatemala: +1839 cases (now 635613), +1 deaths (now 16118) since 9 hours ago00:15
LjLMilan's public transport company has sent us an email saying they have to cut rides because 650 of their personnel are quarantined00:25
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Quebec’s cannabis, liquor stores to require coronavirus vaccination proof → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rykqf8/quebecs_cannabis_liquor_stores_to_require/00:30
de-factothere it starts, this is only the very begin of the Omicron crisis00:30
de-factopublic transport is infrastructure but maybe not as essential as hospital, firefighters, police etc00:32
LjLI know00:35
LjLBut also it means people taking public transport will be in even more crowded spaces00:35
LjLI've heard in some places (not in italy elsewhere) nurses who are covid positive are already working anyway00:36
de-factothat is a big problem, especially because in hospitals there are vulnerable people already in need for medical attention even without covid00:44
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Long COVID could become Finland's largest chronic disease, warns minister → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryl76o/long_covid_could_become_finlands_largest_chronic/00:49
BrainstormUpdates for Argentina: +110533 cases (now 6.1 million), +42 deaths (now 117428), +191811 tests (now 29.0 million, 57.6% positive today) since a day ago — Colombia: +26190 cases (now 5.3 million), +59 deaths (now 130250), +122242 tests (now 30.2 million, 21.4% positive today) since a day ago — Bulgaria: +5524 cases (now 775525), +96 deaths (now 31471) since 22 hours ago [... want %more?]01:05
LjLEven Finland is doing so bad with Omicron01:07
LjLI hope the long covid fears get to people01:07
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: 3 sent on leave in suspected vaccine sabotage → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rylnuu/3_sent_on_leave_in_suspected_vaccine_sabotage/01:08
LjLIt's awful to hope people get terrified but... they should be?01:08
LjLAlthough I don't know why we put all cards on these vaccines, since they help, sure, but if they just reduce long covid by half, and Omicron infects everyone, that's still going to be unimaginable01:09
de-factothe vaccines work to prevent severe progressions, but i dont think they can replace quarantine in terms of preventing new infections01:12
de-factoso a decision to cancel quarantine for vaccinated is a decision that leads to a lockdown for everyone01:13
de-factobecause it decides against concentrating containment on the identified carriers (those that tested positive or were in contact with them)01:13
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Florida reports one of its highest totals for coronavirus cases in a single day → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryly8u/florida_reports_one_of_its_highest_totals_for/01:17
de-factowhy would we even test people if it does not lead to preventing them from infecting others?01:24
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Omicron Symptoms: Kids Who Get COVID at Higher Diabetes Risk → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rym3ln/omicron_symptoms_kids_who_get_covid_at_higher/01:27
Tuvixde-facto: Nice find on the article on masks & distancing. And sure, both positivei cases and their known near-contacts need to be taking more action, but I've seen firsthand how that just doesn't happen. It's "inconvenient" and "asks too much" of people, or whatever the claim is to not require it against medical advice :\01:36
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Florida sets new 1-day record for COVID-19 cases as hospitalizations of young children soar in US → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rym7sg/florida_sets_new_1day_record_for_covid19_cases_as/01:36
finely[m]<de-facto> "why would we even test people if..." <- So we can forecast when our hospital systems collapse :(01:37
finely[m]NSW positivity rate now 38.6%01:37
TuvixJHU's latest update on US daily hospital admissions (actually a 7-day avearge of those) has now hit an all-pandemic high. https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases_newhospitaladmissions01:44
de-factosorry i am a bit frustrated today, its just because its going to be rough for a while now01:45
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: South African hospital sees less serious disease, coming end of Omicron surge. → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rymj93/south_african_hospital_sees_less_serious_disease/01:46
de-factoand that is perfectly predictable as Omicron seems to stay on trajectory with mathematical precision01:46
critryou guys have my sympathies and respect, de-facto01:46
TuvixSCOTUS may be poised to reject a ruling on the White House vaccination requriement on big business. As I undersatnd it, that's almost going against the prior caselaw set in Jacobson v Mass.01:46
lastshellhow bad is going to be the next 3 weeks in US ?01:46
xxbad01:47
xxextrapolating from current numbers, assuming all/most of that is omicron, and taking into account the new year's mess, it will get much much worse soon01:47
lastshellI guess next 3 weeks I will bunker down01:48
TuvixJust the fact that the hospital rate (the speed at which hospitals are admitting new pateints nation-wide in the US) has now *exceeded* that before we had vaccines, is scary.01:48
de-factoheh nice graph Tuvix :) with two y-axes :D01:48
TuvixNow, _maybe_ we get lucky and it's just really bad for a few (3? 6?) weeks, but what's to stop this from happening again if we don't work to stop it?01:48
Tuvixde-facto: heh, yea, that's one of my reference graphs now just since it can show cases and some other more "useful" metric. Cases aren't the whole story, but those hospital admits are coming from somewhere of course.01:49
de-factobut yeah looks similar to the graph from UK, where hospitalizations seem to follow closely the daily new infections with about 10 days delay01:49
critri suspect things will get increasingly worse and worse for the foreseeable future.01:49
lastshellyikes, I assume after omicron things will get better01:50
de-factodidnt we assume similar about Delta?01:50
TuvixRight, but I also point out that we never really "recovered" from delta. That same graph shows (and it shows it for the 7-day death incidence too if you change that metric) that we never got back to pre-delta levels, "after the delta surge"01:50
critryes, just like things would get better after 2020.01:50
lastshellhow we socialize or have life in the future ?01:50
lastshellthis can be a big social/mental problem in the long term01:51
de-factothis is a big problem, hospitalizations following cases closely, its what i feared and why i refused to believe "Omicron is mild"01:51
Tuvixlastshell: Heh, see my prior statement, but check out that CDC graph I linked, then switch the right-axis display to "7-day deaths per 100k" and see how we never really "got bettter" as you put it. We just got slightly less bad.01:51
de-factoit obviously is able to put very significant load on hospitalizations01:51
lastshellthis is sad01:51
finely[m]The silver lining of rapid Omicron spread is the peak should be soon.01:51
TuvixAnd if Omicron was "so mild" (it's not, especially in the unvaccinated) and if Delta had "peaked and was in decline" you wouldn't see that flat rate of death after, not to mention the lack of decline of death.01:52
TuvixConsider this as well: after the initial wave back a year ago (the Dec-Feb surge) we saw death fall off sharply, going to 50% of peak, and then 25% of peak, each within 1 month.01:52
TuvixIt's taken twice that time for deaths after the US mid-summer Delta peak to fall, and then never fell _back_ to pre-delta levels.01:52
de-factohopefully Pfizers Paxlovid can take some load off hospitalizations by letting people stay at home for treatment, at least some of them01:53
TuvixAny bit helps, but I don't think any one of these things by itself is going to be enough.01:53
lastshellI assume 2022 will be a good year, but now I'm not very optimistic01:53
de-factoits not a game changer of course01:53
de-factothe summer probably will be good01:54
de-factothis wave will get rough though01:54
finely[m]Delta would still be circulating in many places too.01:54
TuvixAnd with SCOTUS poised to effectively reverse a prior ruling and say "despite the emergency we have, governemtn isn't allowed to require basic levels of public health for the common good" I don't know how much more we can get in meaningful requirements. We'll be left with more "guidance" and what you "should" do.01:54
lastshellso right now we are still with some delta and more omicron cases in US right ?01:54
TuvixWell, summer started in 2021 fine too, but then Omicron came.01:54
TuvixOmicron hit around Aug, and the curve on death ticked up and never really flattened out.01:55
TuvixSorry, Delta around Aug.01:55
lastshellyeah deaths are flat but not going down01:55
Tuvixlastshell: Yes, as of last week, my state (WI) was still seeing about half its cases Delta.01:55
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana: DECRETO-LEGGE 7 gennaio 2022, n.1 (Raccolta 2022): Misure urgenti per fronteggiare l'emergenza COVID-19, in  particolarenei luoghi di lavoro, nelle scuole e negli istituti della  formazionesuperiore. (22G00002) → http://www.gazzettaufficiale.it/eli/id/2022/01/07/22G00002/SG01:56
lastshellI guess i need to step up my ppe equipment just incase01:56
TuvixOur hospitals are not doing fantastic here, especially in my region. Here we just accepted some (I don't know how many offhand) aid from the national governemtn for healthcare worker support.01:57
lastshellwhere I am they added more covid test we have a wave of cases (NV/Vegas)01:57
lastshellI don't like how things are looking01:58
lastshellbesides the pfizer/merk pill do we have somethign new that help covid patients ?01:59
TuvixVaccines, which are "new" to those who haven't taken them.01:59
lastshelldo we have now the omicron vaccine ?02:00
TuvixRegulations, which the high court seems ready to reject.02:00
de-factoOmicron specific vaccnes probably will become available in March/April, so MUCH too late for this gigantic wave02:01
lastshellwhat about the nasal spray02:02
de-factomost countries see a almost vertical line (in comparison to their previous increases)02:02
Raf[m]So after getting boosters we need to start getting omicron vaccines?02:02
lastshellI recall was some work on that02:02
Raf[m]de-facto: Agreed02:02
de-factoeven AU https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/02:03
lastshellyikes02:03
TuvixRaf[m]: The major vaccines (at least Pfizer/Moderna here in the US) seem to still provide good protection, especially from severe disease in Omicron. Yes, breakthrough cases are more common, and yes, an Omicron specific retooling seems likely if this remains an ongoing threat.02:03
de-factogigantic mistake for them to open up traveling02:04
lastshellthe issue is people are also fed up of lockdowns and restrictions they assume the goverment want to control them02:04
TuvixTravel is one of the (many :( ) reasons I'm avoiding this sports club. People come from sometimes 300-400 km away (most a bit closer, probably within 100-150 km) and stay in a small clubhouse, often overnight.02:05
TuvixEven though that's just _regional_ travel, the amount of air you're sharing, and a number of unvaccinated club members, makes it a risky situation if you don't like the exposure odds.02:05
BrainstormUpdates for Mayotte: +3463 cases (now 28134) since 2 days ago — Norway: +6160 cases (now 434896) since 23 hours ago — Uruguay: +6104 cases (now 437062), +2 deaths (now 6188), +23867 tests (now 4.5 million, 25.6% positive today) since 23 hours ago — Costa Rica: +3153 cases (now 584547), +2 deaths (now 7372) since 23 hours ago02:07
lastshellI'm just watching again the bill gates the next outbreak we're not ready02:11
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Hospitalizations skyrocket in kids too young for COVID shots → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryn4jj/hospitalizations_skyrocket_in_kids_too_young_for/02:15
xxI was ready02:18
TuvixI'd be more interested to keep an eye on the rate of severe illness and death in the young, and how full the pediatric care and ICU beds are vs. just cases alone.02:19
de-factoin UK its the young that get hospitalized02:19
TuvixThis CDC data-set is good to do that if you set up a visualization to target the deaths of age groups of interest: https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku02:20
de-facto.title https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/hospitals02:20
Brainstormde-facto: From www.ons.gov.uk: Coronavirus (COVID-19) latest insights - Office for National Statistics02:20
de-factofor stats on Omicron related deaths its probably still too early02:20
TuvixYea, our oldest 2 age groups are getting less impacted by death, is one of the take-aways here as well; it's trending younger, presumably as the mostly-working-age folks and younger get "back to normal" including letting down their guard for mitigations.02:21
TuvixYes, this is really not Omicron-specific, but does suggest that comparing Delta and pre-Delta, that vaccinations have helped.02:21
de-factoits a capital mistake to not take Omicron serious02:21
TuvixYup, despite 3 doses of Pfizer I still do my best to avoid unnecessary gatherings (epecially the more risky ones, without masks and with mixed-vaccination people and without pre-testing.)02:24
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Provinces in Canada could make vaccination mandatory, says federal health minister → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rynauo/provinces_in_canada_could_make_vaccination/02:24
TuvixI should take tons of photos next time I go shopping; not even half the people here wear masks, despite local guidance suggesting it.02:24
TuvixThe 3 age-groups for 30-39, 40-49, and 50-64 (so, working age, or maybe a bit of the recently-retired) are a notably larger percentage of the death cases in the last 3 months than they were in Oct-Dec 1 year ago, in winter 2020-21.02:26
Tuvix(US-specific)02:26
LjLi don't suppose anyone would mind if i remove the totals from Brainstorm's updates?02:31
LjLat this point in the pandemic i don't care how many total cases we've had, i care about the daily additions02:31
spybertTuvix: Which state is that?  Here in California you can't go anywhere without a mask02:32
LjLand it would make the message a bit more lightweight which i think some here would appreciate02:32
Tuvixspybert: Wisconsin, which has weak guidance at the state and (most) local levels; it's all "guidance" and "recommendations" and what you "should" do.02:32
TuvixI forgot that 31-Dec was the new-year holday for many workers and went shopping early afternoon. It was _packed_ and I'd say 20% (maybe fewer) had masks on.02:33
spybertTuvix: Darn, they need to do better than that.  Here a lot of places check vax cards at the door.02:33
TuvixOh, I could go to any of 4 indoor bars in walking distance of me to drink for as many hours as I wanted, and no vaccination, masks, or anything would be requested of me.02:33
TuvixI'd probably get weird looks if I went in wearing a mask (I obviously don't go to bars currently)02:34
TuvixMask wearing declined here quite notably in mid-summer when this state followed the CDC's ill-presented guidance that the vaccinated could go maskless, but the unvaccinated should still wear them. The unvaccinated realized they could just stop and no one would question it.02:35
critror just stay home and soak a mask with everclear. kill two birds with one stone.02:35
spybertWhat's really interesting though is tha the covid death toll per 100,000 people is the some for our states :))02:35
TuvixSure, but they're not really at the bar for the liquor; it's the social aspect.02:35
spyberthttps://offloop.net/covid19/?default=California;Wisconsin&byPopulation=yes&legacy=no02:36
spybertyou might need toclick "alternate data source" to get that to work.02:37
TuvixWorked well initially; interesting change in the infection rates recently anyway. Both states ticked up in the death-incidence, but WI has a more pronounced uptick than CA, which is very mild around the Jul/Aug mark when Delta hit.02:39
TuvixNation-wide that bend in uptick is quite notable, but in CA it's more subtle.02:40
spybertI guess all that masking and vaxxing is doing some good after all.02:41
TuvixSmaller showing of ICU patients in for COVID as well: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/hospitalization-7-day-trend/california02:41
spybertluckily omicron is less lethal than the delta variant.02:42
Tuvixit's really too early to say about that, in particular in the unvaccinated and at-risk populations. And if we're talking total number of deaths, Omicron could well be worse in the short-term (next 4-8 weeks) given the surge in cases.02:43
spybertsure, it's very good at finding the unvaxxed02:44
TuvixVaccinated too given the case-incidence, but they're far less likely to have serious outcomes, and even less likely to need ICU care for it.02:45
critrcali guy here. i don't go out that much, but when i do i see almost everyone wearing a mask.02:45
TuvixYea, that's just the socially responsible thing to do. I got my booster mid-Nov, and (besides 3 others I saw waiting for boosters) no one in line at the pharmacy desk was vaccinated.02:46
TuvixI had my high-quality TPU-fitting 98%+ 0.1 micron mask on, but it's still weird to go to a pharmacy (or that part of the store anyway, this was a Walgreens) and see so many maskless.02:47
critri think most places won't even let you in without a mask here.02:48
TuvixThat's rare around here, even in stores that have "masks required" signs. Usually that just means, in practice, "we require all of our employees to have masks and wouldn't you please possibly consider maybe putting yours own?"02:49
spybertEven before covid I was tempted to wear an N95 mask when going to the pharmacy.  After all, most of the people there are sick02:49
Tuvixon*02:49
spybertcritr: In CA its the law02:50
critrback in 2020 the cali governor was the first prominent politician in the country to jump hard on covid. at least that i remember.02:51
spybertOne thing my wife noticed is that there are a lot of vaccinated people getting positive test results while asymptomatic.02:52
critrcould be false positives or something worse.02:52
TuvixRight, break-through is far more common with Omicron than prior varients. For the antigen tests (especially the "rapid tests" including at-home ones) false-negatives are more common, but false-positives are rare.02:53
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Italy extends COVID vaccine mandate to everyone over 50 → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rynzn0/italy_extends_covid_vaccine_mandate_to_everyone/02:53
spybertThey aren't getting sick.  So the vaccines definitely help with that.02:53
TuvixIn other words, if it tests positive on an antigen test, you're very likely congagious, but that also means that more effective guidance and rules around socializing are needed02:53
TuvixYes, absolutely, vaccines remain very good at preventing one to need medical care or suffering more serious short-term effects. Some studies are showing a potential measurable reduction in effects weeks/months after infection too.02:54
LjL<Brainstorm> New from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Omicron reinfections ‘rising rapidly’ in over 30s → https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rynykk/omicron_reinfections_rising_rapidly_in_over_30s/03:21
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Melatonin drugs inhibit SARS-CoV-2 entry into the brain and virus-induced damage of cerebral small vessels → https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/ryohmp/melatonin_drugs_inhibit_sarscov2_entry_into_the/03:22
BrainstormUpdates for Australia: +112464 cases, +19 deaths since 23 hours ago — South Korea: +3507 cases, +54 deaths since 23 hours ago — Gabon: +1299 cases, +5 deaths since 2 days ago — St. Kitts and Nevis: +238 cases since a day ago03:23
TuvixLjL: I know people personally who still cling to the falsehood that being infected with a prior varient (likely the original or Alpha given his infection time) continues to confer a higher protection than vaccination, and he refuses to get it. I suspect he's also got some fear of doctors & needles playing a role in that too, which doesn't help in this particular case :\03:41
TuvixMaybe the virus will just not re-infect Americans, since we're so "Exceptional" … /s03:42
LjLTuvix, it's only a half falsehood because being infected *and* having a vaccine does seem to confer better protection, which also makes sense to me based on the data on broader antibodies obtained by different spike proteins... but, it does take a vaccine, and doesn't seem like a great idea03:42
LjLabout that melatonin thing above, reddit comment: "10mg and 50mg of melatonin are super high doses. It would be nice if they also chose a high but more reasonable about of something like 3mg for effect." so boo, i had some terrible nightmares with just 1mg of melatonin03:43
LjLbut still, if true, during the acute phase, i guess...03:43
LjLapparently melatonin also binds to ACE2?03:43
TuvixFor some of these people who refuse vaccines for one reason or another, it's just excuse-BINGO. Even *if* you can concince a slightly open-minded individual that the main reason they have isn't correct, or at least that we've learned new science that casts serious doubt on it, they'll just fall back on some other reason not to.03:44
LjLMelatonin is considered to prolong the time of survival of infected patients, since it indirectly targets several vital points of human corona virus, like ACE2, BCL2L1, JUN and inhibition of nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) kinase subunit beta [109]. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7347488/03:45
LjLTuvix, yeah i guess. to be honest, as a vaccinated person who'll take the 4th dose if/when that becomes a thing here, i'm rather disappointed with the current vaccines, so i wouldn't expect someone who's anti-vax in the first place to start rejoicing about them03:45
TuvixThe gradual loss of effectiveness over both time and the emerging varients isn't great, but hopefully we can re-tool and improve what we have, and/or find additional options. It's amazing what we've done, but so is the serious impact and outcomes in what I'll broadly state as "too many" people.03:47
TuvixI'm a bit annoyed the data from CDC on fatal outcomes by vaccination status is so laggy, because that's a pretty stark indication that, regardless of age, vaccination has helped dramatically.03:47
LjLi would also like some better data on long COVID in the vaccinated03:48
TuvixI get reporting can be delayed, and so can putting together information, but we have had 2 years to get some of the reporting process smoothed out. I guess if it's inherent in the systems you can't fix that overnight.03:48
LjLi think we still just have "roughly 50% protection" from that UK study and that's it03:48
LjLTuvix, it does make me mad a lot of the things that haven't been done in 2 years03:48
LjLmost countries have found themselves short of rapid tests during the christmas surge03:49
LjLthat's ridiculous, they'd have *known* they were going to have a surge that would be coinciding with the holiday period03:49
LjLif they didn't then they're just dumb because i did03:49
TuvixI wonder what the real-world delay is between knowing and being able to put tests in the hands of shop-keepers and medical staff to hand out.03:49
LjLand if they did but could do nothing about it because there was just too much of a shortage of rapid test, well, 1) we've had two years to make it not so, and/or 2) maybe let's stop relying on China to make everything for us03:50
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: A Surge in Hospitalized Young Children Infected With the Coronavirus → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryp41j/a_surge_in_hospitalized_young_children_infected/03:50
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: COVID roundup: active case numbers at 100,000 for first time since August| 07JAN22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/ryplo8/covid_roundup_active_case_numbers_at_100000_for/04:00
TuvixThe other piece of the puzzle is that at-home tests don't have any reporting requirements (not that you'd really know if they weren't in the first place.) It's entierly possible for positive-cases to not only not report that, but not take any mitigations.04:00
TuvixIn many places in the US, you don't _have_ to take any action anyway.04:00
TuvixWant to go to work, dine in, shop, and mingle, all without a mask? You shouldn't, but there's no legal mechanism to stop it all.04:01
TuvixFrom that NYT article, "But the data do not show a similar steep rise in coronavirus infections among hospitalized children of other ages, and federal health officials were considering the possibility that Omicron may not be as mild in young children as it is older children."04:05
BrainstormUpdates for Mexico: +28023 cases, +131 deaths since 22 hours ago — Thailand: +8263 cases, +14 deaths since 22 hours ago — Panama: +5043 cases, +4 deaths, +24475 tests (20.6% pos. today) since 23 hours ago — Curacao: +964 cases, +1 deaths, +3768 tests (25.6% pos. today) since 23 hours ago04:06
LjLTuvix, well, "The increase was observed in children who were 4 and younger, who are not eligible for vaccination"... i don't know about the CDC, but if you look at the data from Italy that i showed you the other day, the vaccines *are* effective at preventing infection (or at least "have been", since the data are not Omicron specific). not 100% effective, not even 50% effective maybe, but effective enough that with something as infectious as Omicron, you'd notice04:08
LjLthe difference in age groups with vs without04:08
TuvixSure, although our 5 to 11's here are only 16% vaccinationed nationally, so I'm not sure that would have a strong impact.04:09
LjLoh :(04:09
TuvixThere's a _lot_ of resistance to vaccinating the younger age-groups here. Some of it is "wait and see" people, but there's also a not-insignificant showing of "I'll never do it" people.04:10
TuvixThat's part of the reason I'm very eager to see death-by-vaccination stats from the CDC, but so far the most up to date data I have (through the end of Dec anyway) is just the raw deaths broken down by ages: https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku04:10
TuvixObviously we won't really see the impact of Omicron until the Jan, or more realistically Feb-Mar aggregates anyway.04:11
LjLanyway, everyone has been hammering on the point that the vaccines protect against severe cases and deaths, which is fine, however, say an 80% protection from death is just what it says on the tin: you have 1/5 the chance of dying you'd have had otherwise. but an 80% protection from infection, or even a much smaller %, "propagates" down the chain of infections and results in the exponential rising slower04:11
LjLso on the one hand i'm pretty disappointed at the low protection from infection that the vaccines confer, but on the other, the fact they confer *some* protection from infection is probably being downplayed, because it can have an effect even if it's small04:12
TuvixExactly, and that's why I for one am very concerned what our high court here just this week has hinted about they're approach to federal regulation of vaccinations or restrisctions based on vaccination status.04:12
LjL(the protection being small, not the effect being small)04:12
LjLTuvix, what approach is that?04:12
TuvixWe had a 1905 court case at the high court that dealt with this exact issue, where the court ruled that individual rights to freedom can, in cases where it impacted the health of the general public, be limited.04:12
LjLi know04:13
TuvixWell, they're possibly going to rule the other way this time, with regard to vaccination requirements for our "large" employers.04:13
LjLas in, not even allowing employers to require it?04:14
TuvixWell, now there's the big question, but a lot of employers can't or won't if they're not obligated to.04:14
LjLit's law now in italy: everyone over 50 must get vaccinated by February or face a... *drumrolls* €100 fine04:14
TuvixThis sports club I'm avoiding is a great example. The owners are vaccinated, but they refuse to have any rules. They'd do it if they were required though.04:14
TuvixBut that's just one of countless.04:14
TuvixSay you're a bar owner; you want your staff & guests vaccinated, but if you put a rule in place, many of your staff leave for places that don't, and a good portion of your customers vanish.04:15
LjLto be fair, it seems from the Italian data here https://lab24.ilsole24ore.com/numeri-vaccini-italia-mondo/#effetto-dei-vaccini that protection from *infection* is only decent for higher age groups, the lower listed which is 12-39 isn't all that protected04:16
TuvixI wonder what the impact on amount of socialization has on that too.04:16
LjLi'm also very concerned at the graph below that, which shows protection in time, seeing vaccinated skyrocket :(04:17
LjL(and unvaccinated too, but that goes without saying)04:17
BrainstormNew from ##covid-19 Zotero group: A Booster mRNA Vaccine Required to Protect Against Omicron Variant: Type Web Page URL https://www.contagionlive.com/view/a-booster-mrna-vaccine-required-to-protect-against-omicron-variant Accessed 2022-01-08 03:31:36 Abstract New data suggests an additional “booster” dose of an [... want %more?] → https://www.zotero.org/groups/covid_links/items/SE2EJ3N204:39
BrainstormNew from StatNews: A tiny Florida company got more of a scarce Covid therapy than some big hospitals, raising equity questions: The Covid-19 treatments came as a surprise, care of the Florida Department of Health: six big, mysterious boxes that showed up at Nicholas Suite’s [... want %more?] → https://www.statnews.com/2022/01/07/tiny-florida-company-gets-more-evusheld-than-major-hospitals/04:49
-Bridgestorm- 🏠 Sismo! Earthquake! 5.9 M tremor, registered by CI,US,quakenotices, occurred 38 minutes ago (03:24:08 UTC), duing a crescent moon night, Off Coast Of Northern Chile (-26.7, -71.21), ↓10 km likely felt 250 km away (in Copiapó…) by 158300 people → https://t.co/Ox2qRVAulz (service.scedc.caltech.edu)05:02
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Grocers pressured to bring back 'hero pay' amid Omicron surge → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryqm92/grocers_pressured_to_bring_back_hero_pay_amid/05:08
BrainstormUpdates for Honduras: +371 cases, +2 deaths, +2612 tests (14.2% pos. today) since 23 hours ago05:08
TuvixThis seems very relevant to in-person settings during spread, such as business or schools (from the PNAS 'exposure to infectious human respiratory particles":05:27
Tuvix"If only the susceptible wears a face mask with infectious speaking at a distance of 1.5 m, the upper bound drops very significantly; that is, with a surgical mask, the upper bound reaches 90% after 30 min, and, with an FFP2 mask, it remains at about 20% even after 1 h. […] but, when both wear a well-fitting FFP2 mask, it is 0.4%."05:27
LjLde-facto posted that earlier, we discussed it a bit05:29
TuvixAh, neat, I'll scroll up for that then. It just caught my attention how _much_ that changes with 2x good masks worn.05:30
LjLTuvix, i didn't read it but from their wording it felt... i wouldn't quite say a back-of-the-envelope calculation, but since it's really tricky (usually bordering on unethical) to actually study this, they found ways to guesstimate a bound. which is all good, but to me it doesn't really change what i already thought, i.e. that emphasizing a stupidly small number of meters of "social distancing" is silly and makes people wear masks less because they think they're05:32
LjLalready not within the risk thresholds (they aren't thresholds, but they think they are)05:32
TuvixRight, I saw that from the discussion earlier when I went back. Yea, people are taking the "wrong" message from that. There's no masking anymore since mid-summer at the indoor facility I avoid, and they've updated posted guidance to only require masks "when distancing is not "possible" -- that's exactly the wrong message on masks.05:34
TuvixIt doesn't help that the owner of that particular venue has also told me directly that she's "not convinced masks help"05:34
TuvixHere again, if you're convinced of a position and only accept information that agrees with you, no amount of science will sway that opinion.05:34
LjLTuvix, honestly, i'm not *convinced* masks help, because really doing studies on them is surprisingly difficult05:36
LjLbut between wearing them and not wearing them, i know where i stand05:36
BrainstormNew from ##covid-19 Zotero group: An upper bound on one-to-one exposure to infectious human respiratory particles: Type Journal Article Author Gholamhossein Bagheri Author Birte Thiede Author Bardia Hejazi Author Oliver Schlenczek Author Eberhard Bodenschatz URL https://www.pnas.org/content/118/49/e2110117118 Rights [... want %more?] → https://www.zotero.org/groups/covid_links/items/KAARWM2N05:36
TuvixRight, and as you point out, it's hard to study this in a proper A/B comparison with control groups. It's also hard to find social environments where KN95 or better masks are used consistently vs. not.05:37
TuvixThat flow physics paper seems to suggest that mask wearing, while somewhat helpful for short encounters with only 1 person wearing them, really require everyone in an environment be wearing quality masks for it to have a huge effect.05:38
TuvixFrom the significance in the introduction, "We find a very low risk of infection when *everyone* wears a face mask, even if it doesn’t fit perfectly on the face." (emphasis mine.)05:40
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Covid2019: Why We Need to Upgrade Our Face Masks--and Where to Get Them → https://old.reddit.com/r/Covid2019/comments/ryrjfs/why_we_need_to_upgrade_our_face_masksand_where_to/05:46
Tuvix3rd paragraph on the section starting on p2 of that study makes it quite clear that this is a hard problem to study in the abstract.05:47
TuvixAlthough the phrase "spatiotemporal exhalation/inhalation dynamics" is neat. :P05:50
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV: New Potential Covid Virus Variants Of Concern: It is too early to know if the B.1.640 variants pose a significant threat. Their significance lies mostly in their existence. ...We are amply forewarned to isolate, [... want %more?] → https://old.reddit.com/r/CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV/comments/ryrrfs/new_potential_covid_virus_variants_of_concern_it/05:55
BrainstormNew from This Week In Virology: TWiV 850: COVID-19 clinical update #96 with Dr. Daniel Griffin: In COVID-19 clinical update #96, Daniel Griffin reviews Omicron in South Africa, rapid antigen tests, viral confections, isolation and quarantine, saliva preferred for Omicron, risk factors for severe disease in vaccinated, Paxlovid dosing, [... want %more?] → https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-850/06:14
BrainstormUpdates for Belgium: +24694 cases, +13 deaths, +96261 tests (25.7% pos. today) since a day ago — Peru: +12833 cases, +47 deaths, +87126 tests (14.7% pos. today) since 23 hours ago — Japan: +1623 cases, +2 deaths, +100817 tests (1.6% pos. today) since 11 hours ago — Pakistan: +1345 cases, +1 deaths, +46537 tests (2.9% pos. today) since a day ago06:17
JuerdI was just listening to TWiV 849 and I get so incredibly annoyed at them repeating that "vaccines don't prevent infection" when it's obviously proven that they do. It just doesn't last forever, but for flattening curves even that relatively short period with high VEI is brilliant.06:18
JuerdAlso that they keep referring to preventing severe disease as "what the vaccines were designed for" - as if vaccine development isn't about guesswork and hoping for the best. Statistical endpoints in trials are not design goals per se.06:20
TuvixVaccines don't prevent 100% of anything, although it's not misleading to talk about waning effectiveness over time or the reduced impact on Delta and now Omicron vs. earlier strains. Vaccines are still *very* good at reducing severe outcomes, but the high transmission rate of Omicron in particular is certainly notable.06:22
JuerdYep.06:22
TuvixThe same has been true for instance of seasonal flu vaccinations for years, and yet those are still recommended for msot people, and especially recommended for older populations more at risk from them.06:22
JuerdIt is more than misleading, and in fact just plain wrong, to say that they don't prevent infection, because they do. Many many infections have been prevented.06:23
TuvixThe difference with COVID vaccinations, especially the major mRNA ones available, is that they really are so much more effective, at least with a full series, and now boosting given the impact time and Omicron have had.06:23
TuvixWell, you have to be careful, because "prevent" and "reduce" are often interpreted differently. One would usually use a qualification with the former.06:24
JuerdMany individual would-be-infections were prevented.06:24
Tuvixif I don't smoke or expose myself to 2nd hand smoke, I prevent effectively all negative effects of that. If I cut my smoking by 75%, I reduce my odds of bad outcomes. I don't prevent it.06:24
Tuvix(well, my smoking is personally zero, but speaking from the point of someone who did…)06:24
JuerdIt would have been great if they just said that "vaccines don't prevent infections forever", or "for very long", etc.06:25
TuvixThe real issue, to me, is the bad messaging early on. Here in the US, the CDC and similar agencies pushed hard that it practically removed all risk for the vaccinated of getting inefected. We know that now not to be true, but it was frankly guesswork and unrealistic expectations back then.06:26
JuerdI think the bad messaging is a pervasive issue that still exists today.06:26
TuvixThen in the early summer, guidance changed again to effectively tell the vaccinated to stop wearing masks and largely stop taking prevention measures. That was just before the huge Delta surge…06:26
JuerdI agree that was bad, but it's hardly the only part where messaging has gone wrong06:27
TuvixSure, it's been mistake after mistake. It doesn't help that there are effectively no teeth to any of this guidance, so it's all suggestions and what you "should" do -- many people or businesses just don't.06:28
TuvixThat's been bothering me for months, and it's cost me some socialization I used to have because they're now rather risky places or people to be around.06:28
JuerdIn every major topic of the public health part of the pandemic, the public has been misinformed by major authorities.06:28
TuvixPlaces that could do a better job with masks indoors in poorly-ventilated areas for example, but that refuse to even look at emerging or changing science.06:28
TuvixI forget the quote attribution offhand, but there's a great quote about science that is roughly: "We use science to become right, not to prove that we were right."06:29
JuerdI still find it kinda weird that many of this is considered emerging or changing science :). So much was kinda clear to many early on, and it's insane how many supposed experts held dogmatic beliefs to the contrary. And perhaps even more insane how many still do.06:30
JuerdNice quote06:30
TuvixI linked this char earlier today on a slightly different discussion, but if one of our metrics is severe outcomes, we never got back to a "pre-delta" level of relatively low death at the point after vaccinations were widely available: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycases_7daydeathsper100k06:30
TuvixIn the post-Delta surge, deaths both didn't fall as quickly, and never really got "low" -- they only got slightly less bad than the peak, and were fairly steady until just recently.06:31
Tuvix(US specific data, of coruse, being the CDC)06:31
TuvixJuerd: Here's the other thing about public health messaging though: it's not only about the science, but about politics and what you can actually expect people to do. You could have the best and firm guidance possible, but if fewer people follow it, that's also ineffective.06:32
TuvixLike with the CDC not (yet…) pushing for better quality masks: the CDC Directory has publicly said that this was intentional, becuase they're begging those in high-transmission areas of the country (ie: all of them) to wear a mask, *any* mask, who currently do not.06:33
TuvixNow, is this a good approach? Perhaps not if one reviews the science, but it's a tricky balancing act when you are trying to raise the bare-minimum people are willing to do.06:33
JuerdRegarding risky places and people, that's the thing I'm depressed about most at a personal level. Fights over whether people with fragile health (including myself) are even worth protecting. I still can't really believe so many people had no problem really going there.06:34
TuvixAt this point I don't think much will change without meaningful regulation and enforcement, but I have little hope of that in the short term here in the US.06:34
JuerdAbout what people are willing to follow - I'm convinced (but can't prove it) that transparent and consistent messaging would have gotten us much higher compliance.06:35
JuerdMuch of the unwillingness stems from distrust, and they keep proving themselves untrustworthy :(06:35
JuerdBut it's 6:35 AM here (.nl) and I shouldn't be awake this late.06:36
TuvixI think it's less about lack of trust, but more about poor messaging. Although I do have one notable exception with the CDC's messaging, since it seems some of the lack of more testing recommendation was, at least in part, driven by lack of tests.06:36
JuerdThanks for the chat; ciao06:36
TuvixSure, see ya!06:36
BrainstormUpdates for England, United Kingdom: +149405 cases, +193 deaths since 23 hours ago — Florida, United States: +120213 cases since 23 hours ago — California, United States: +108423 cases, +205 deaths since 23 hours ago — New York, United States: +85079 cases since 23 hours ago07:03
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Covid Case Predictor predicts covid cases won’t reach highest levels in California till second week of February → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rysvon/covid_case_predictor_predicts_covid_cases_wont/07:20
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BrainstormUpdates for Czechia: +6696 cases, +51 deaths since a day ago — Uzbekistan: +214 cases, +4 deaths since a day ago — Turks and Caicos: +125 cases since a day ago — Cambodia: +27 cases since a day ago08:06
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BrainstormUpdates for Taiwan: +44 cases, +46328 tests (0.1% positive) since 23 hours ago — United Kingdom: +179470 cases since 20 hours ago09:08
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Montreal woman blames Asian couple for spread of COVID-19 in racist rant in grocery store [Video] → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryuozq/montreal_woman_blames_asian_couple_for_spread_of/09:13
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BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Australia’s Daily Covid Cases Surpass 100,000 for First Time → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryv32v/australias_daily_covid_cases_surpass_100000_for/09:41
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BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Omicron Variant (B.1.1.529): Infectivity, Vaccine Breakthrough, and Antibody Resistance → https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/ryweq3/omicron_variant_b11529_infectivity_vaccine/11:06
BrainstormUpdates for Philippines: +26211 cases, +264 deaths since a day ago — Russia: +16568 cases, +796 deaths, +300000 tests (5.5% positive) since a day ago — Lithuania: +3366 cases, +20 deaths, +22531 tests (14.9% positive) since a day ago — Estonia: +1647 cases, +3 deaths, +8290 tests (19.9% positive) since a day ago11:07
aradeshfull clip of that vaccine hesitant doctor in the UK the other day: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlEYcd1nyI11:27
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Covid2019: Covid Spilled From Animals to Humans. Now It’s Spilling Back → https://old.reddit.com/r/Covid2019/comments/rywt35/covid_spilled_from_animals_to_humans_now_its/11:34
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Get Novak vaxxed! :D → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryx353/get_novak_vaxxed_d/12:03
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BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: New York will require health care workers to get boosters. → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ryxbjz/new_york_will_require_health_care_workers_to_get/12:12
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: World passes 300 million Covid cases as Omicron breaks records → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryxjfk/world_passes_300_million_covid_cases_as_omicron/12:22
oerheks303,968,671 .. hit F5 ... 303,974,70712:35
aradeshlikely much higher than 300 million in reality12:38
aradeshmost countries around the world have really poor testing capabilities12:38
oerhekscertainly dying numbers, when not tested, one did not suffer covid12:39
aradeshyes both12:40
oerheksi bet the number of infected x512:40
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: COVID-19 risk calculator, by Leumit Research Institute → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/ryxtiy/covid19_risk_calculator_by_leumit_research/12:41
BrainstormUpdates for Slovenia: +4510 cases, +6 deaths, +11233 tests (40.1% positive) since 23 hours ago — Saudi Arabia: +3068 cases, +2 deaths since 23 hours ago — Latvia: +1815 cases, +8 deaths, +10798 tests (16.8% positive) since 22 hours ago12:59
sdfgsdfgwhat if the numbers still remain high, higher than what the endemic numbers should be13:09
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Risk for Newly Diagnosed Diabetes >30 Days After SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Persons Aged <18 years → https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/ryxzdx/risk_for_newly_diagnosed_diabetes_30_days_after/13:09
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BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: I’m covid positive with multiple sclerosis and immune compromised due to meds. The ms symptoms are worse and flared up due to covid. We were safe but family who visited are convinced covid not real have gotten me unwell. Still don’t believe [... want %more?] → https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/ryywtb/im_covid_positive_with_multiple_sclerosis_and/13:56
BrainstormUpdates for Vietnam: +16553 cases, +240 deaths, +93088 tests (17.8% positive) since 23 hours ago — Romania: +6036 cases, +26 deaths, +64708 tests (9.3% positive) since 23 hours ago — Zambia: +3300 cases, +8 deaths, +12368 tests (26.7% positive) since 23 hours ago — UAE: +2655 cases, +3 deaths, +388572 tests (0.7% positive) since a day ago14:02
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sdfgsdfgstill not sick since day 1, another day ends15:05
BrainstormUpdates for Croatia: +8817 cases, +36 deaths since a day ago — Germany: +53795 cases since 22 hours ago — Iran: +701 cases, +26 deaths since a day ago — United Kingdom: +179447 cases since 23 hours ago15:10
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: Anti-vaccine French lawmaker dies after contracting COVID-19 → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rz0j5c/antivaccine_french_lawmaker_dies_after/15:22
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BrainstormUpdates for Ireland: +26122 cases since 19 hours ago — Iraq: +316 cases, +2 deaths, +7923 tests (4.0% positive) since 23 hours ago — Kyrgyzstan: +193 cases, +2 deaths since a day ago — Brunei: +20 cases, +1583 tests (1.3% positive) since 11 hours ago16:00
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: First-dose vaccinations quadruple in Quebec ahead of restrictions at liquor and cannabis stores → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rz1zla/firstdose_vaccinations_quadruple_in_quebec_ahead/16:28
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Overwhelmed by COVID, Quebec hospitals face tough choices in scaling back surgeries → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz26i4/overwhelmed_by_covid_quebec_hospitals_face_tough/16:38
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Record level of children under five are being hospitalized amid COVID surge → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz2989/record_level_of_children_under_five_are_being/16:48
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: First-dose vaccinations quadruple in Quebec ahead of restrictions at liquor and cannabis stores → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz2h9b/firstdose_vaccinations_quadruple_in_quebec_ahead/16:57
BrainstormUpdates for Chile: +4346 cases, +19 deaths, +77829 tests (5.6% positive) since 23 hours ago17:03
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BrainstormNew from r/Science: science: New study finds people who are obsessed with celebrities to be less intelligent. According to the findings, "there is a clear correlation between celebrity worship and poorer performance on cognitive tests" evaluating both reading and numeracy. → https://old.reddit.com/r/science/comments/rz3dp1/new_study_finds_people_who_are_obsessed_with/17:35
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BrainstormUpdates for Netherlands: +30448 cases, +9 deaths since 23 hours ago — Serbia: +7652 cases, +23 deaths, +22947 tests (33.3% positive) since a day ago — Morocco: +7064 cases, +8 deaths, +37426 tests (18.9% positive) since 21 hours ago — Dominican Rep.: +6200 cases, +3 deaths, +16256 tests (38.1% positive) since 21 hours ago18:05
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BrainstormNew from Contagion Live: Vaccinated Mothers Pass COVID-19 Antibodies to Breastfeeding Infants: Breastfeeding babies safely receive COVID-19-neutralizing antibodies from their mRNA-vaccinated mothers. → https://www.contagionlive.com/view/vaccinated-mothers-pass-covid-19-antibodies-to-breastfeeding-infants18:42
AtqueDoes anyone reckon developing a sterile vaccine for covid-19 (which stops close to 100% of infection and transmission) is possible?18:42
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Busy Mexico’s Tourist Destinations Record Spike in COVID-19 Cases → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz4s37/busy_mexicos_tourist_destinations_record_spike_in/18:51
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: FACT FOCUS: Unfounded theory used to dismiss COVID measures → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz5cva/fact_focus_unfounded_theory_used_to_dismiss_covid/19:01
BrainstormUpdates for Italy: +197535 cases, +184 deaths, +1220266 tests (16.2% positive) since a day ago — Greece: +37670 cases, +65 deaths, +557361 tests (6.8% positive) since 23 hours ago — United Kingdom: +140566 cases since 23 hours ago — Malaysia: +3251 cases, +11 deaths since 23 hours ago19:01
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LjLuhm, Italy has fewer cases than yesterday (iirc) despite a lage number of tests? hopefully... but i always have the sensation that tests refer to a given day and cases to another.19:25
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Omicron explosion spurs nationwide breakdown of services → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz66pw/omicron_explosion_spurs_nationwide_breakdown_of/19:39
LjLugh19:43
BrainstormNew from r/Science: science: Women vaccinated against COVID-19 transfer SARS-CoV-2 antibodies to their breastfed infants, potentially giving their babies passive immunity against the coronavirus. The antibodies were detected in infants regardless of age – from 1.5 months old to 23 [... want %more?] → https://old.reddit.com/r/science/comments/rz6og4/women_vaccinated_against_covid19_transfer/19:58
BrainstormUpdates for Portugal: +35643 cases, +20 deaths since 23 hours ago — Israel: +19968 cases since 23 hours ago — Japan: +6679 cases since 13 hours ago — Jamaica: +1593 cases, +6 deaths since a day ago20:04
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Cyprus Finds Covid-19 Infections That Combine Delta and Omicron → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz6wbk/cyprus_finds_covid19_infections_that_combine/20:07
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lastshellhey guys is normal some days I feel no tired and others feel tired20:28
TuvixYou had a positive test result, right? So to put that in context, fatigue is indeed a possible symptom of the infection, as it is with many illnesses.20:31
lastshellbut is weird Tuvix like one day good other tired ?20:31
lastshelllike flip-flop20:32
lastshellsore troat is way better20:32
LjLmy aunt is at the ER for low potassium-caused cardiac stuff, her daughter is positive to antigen test, and they're giving my aunt an MRI after an x-ray to the chest and something to the head for a reason unclear to us :(20:32
LjLeverything is kinda precipitating20:32
lastshelloh shirt LjL20:32
lastshellsorry to read that LjL20:32
LjLfor someone else... do you know if there's any actual study or some hard data (some data at all, as opposed to anecdotes) over Omicron's reduced incidence of loss of smell/taste? is it *very* rare?20:34
lastshellLjL yesterday I had some loss smell20:35
lastshellbut was because the congestion20:35
lastshellI was scared20:35
LjLi understand, it sounds scary20:35
lastshellafter nasal clean and warm water in the troat20:36
lastshellhelped a lot to recover the smell20:36
LjLintermittent fatigue is sort of common i think, especially with Delta many people complained they felt bad (very fatigued), then good, but then bad again20:36
LjLmaybe a bit less so with Omicron but i don't know20:36
de-factoHey LjL, hope she is going to be fine there20:37
LjLde-facto, i hope my mom is not going to break down either... one of her sisters died of a heart attack in 2011, another died when she was much younger from a brain tumor, if something bad happens to this one too... ugh20:38
LjLmy mom is extremely, like... you know, the sort of person who bears the burden of everyone else's issues too20:38
lastshellsending good vibes from here20:39
de-factoyeah so in that regard its good they investigate early enough to maximize chances to prevent unwanted outcomes20:41
de-factoAfaik Omicron may have lost the ability to profit from TMPRSS2 on cell surfaces, so it would be interesting to investigate how that influences neurotropism20:42
lastshellone thing I also noticed I sweat at nights20:42
lastshellI don't know what covid I have delta/omicron20:43
de-factoyou tested positive?20:43
lastshellyes last tuesday20:43
lastshellbut I have 3 pfizer20:44
de-factoyeah then you most likely will be just fine, its a very good boosting and broadening of your immunity20:44
lastshellyes in general I think im better that I was before20:44
lastshellso far only one day headache20:45
de-factoiirc it was one of the symptoms reported with Omicron to be more common, tiredness, night sweat to a degree one would have to change sheets20:45
lastshellthe congestion in the nose is annoying20:46
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: U.S. Forces in South Korea Raise COVID-19 Alert Amid Record Infections → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz7t4b/us_forces_in_south_korea_raise_covid19_alert_amid/20:46
lastshellyou clean yourself and then after some time you need todo it again20:46
de-factodo you have eucalyptus essential oil? or onions? :D20:46
lastshellI have onions near by20:46
lastshellwhat is the trick ?20:46
de-factoidk i would just eat them raw :D (but thats me, not everyone likes that)20:47
de-factobasically blowing the nose is a good thing, it is a mechanism to clean off your mucus20:48
de-factowhen i have a stuffy nose i just drop some eucalyptus or peppermint essential oil in the mouth, it is very refreshing to a degree that one wants to jump in triangles for a moment :D20:50
de-factobut it may cause a cough, so maybe to the best idea when having a respiratory disease20:50
LjLde-facto, my cousin who just tested positive also had a piercing headache, so yeah headache does seem a constant20:50
de-factodoes he have a loss or change of smell and taste?20:51
LjLi mean the new cousin who tested positive, the one who tested positive before is well now...20:51
TuvixLjL: My condolences on the family in the hospital; hopefully the doctors can get to the bottom of what's going on. Best wishes to a speedy recovery.20:51
de-factonice to hear, at least that20:51
LjLi haven't heard of loss of smell and taste from anyone i know yet, except on IRC friend, and that's why i was asking how common it is with Omicron20:51
LjLif there are studies on that, since it's all just anecdotes that i have20:52
de-factoi think i read that too somewhere, but i dont remember where anymore20:52
de-factothat is may be less common with Omicron possibly (or anecdotally)20:52
LjLi wish PCR with SGTF was a lot more common20:53
LjLit's inexcusable that we don't even get to know if it's Omicron or not, when it's perfectly possible, and people in the UK do20:53
lastshellLjL I was wathing a video from a doctor in colombia and the lose of taste of smell is not common in omicron but few cases are reported20:53
de-factobtw RAT may have possibly less sensitivity for Omicron (at least some of them)20:53
LjLde-facto, my very subjective impression is that, well, if some of them are just not right for Omicron's antigens, then yeah they will work less well, but those that *do* work may actually be more sensitive with Omicron20:54
LjLde-facto, just compare the spike in PCR tests vs the spike in antigen tests here https://lab24.ilsole24ore.com/coronavirus/#box_6a (black line indicates the rate)20:55
LjLsure, both are spiking20:55
LjLbut antigen are spiking like an order of magnitude more20:55
critri read covid can affect the thalamus, which distributes sensory data. including olfactory.20:55
LjLthey reached 16% positive, whereas they were never more than 1% positive with Delta and before20:55
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: 96% patients on oxygen support in Mumbai hospitals are unvaccinated: BMC chief → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rz7xot/96_patients_on_oxygen_support_in_mumbai_hospitals/20:55
de-factoafaik RATs use N-protein antibodies to clamp onto samples,20:56
LjLPCR is at 29%, but it was already 10% before20:56
LjLso PCR increased 3-fold, but antigen increased 16-fold20:56
LjL(or more)20:57
Tuvixcritr: There was a preprint study from UK Biobank that used brain imaging scans pre/post COVID (taken before the pandemic) and found a possible marker in the pre-scans related to the thalamus. It's not enough to draw conclusions, but it suggests more research in the area may be beneficial.20:57
de-factochrome messes up that link20:57
ArsaneritI'm not sure how informative PCR positivity test rates are if many PCR tests are taken only because a self-test or rapid test is positive, where the number of those tests may not be reported.20:57
Tuvixcritr: If you're interested in the details, the full multi-page PDF is here: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.11.21258690v320:57
de-factofirefox too, that site does something weird to ids20:57
de-factogood point Arsanerit20:57
LjLArsanerit, well if anything they'd err towards being *more* positive (pre-screening), no?20:57
LjLbut instead they don't20:57
critrTuvix, thank you.20:58
ArsaneritLjL: Well, among German school-age children I read the PCR positivity rate is in the order of 35%, but if you consider all the self-tests they're doing three times a week the positivity rate is below 0.1%.20:59
LjLa practical question that someone asked yesterday and that i thought was interesting, but no idea if there's an answer, i thought i'd repost it: if someone is reusing FFP2 masks (which, honestly, most people are), is there a practical way to determine if the proper electrostatic charge is still there?21:00
TuvixThe problem is self-tests are often not reported, and at-home anitgen tests have a substantial false-negative rate (reports negative when you are positive and contagious)21:00
LjLArsanerit, well what i'm saying is that the *rapid tests* here (self-tests are not incredibly common) are the *majority* here, and they are now at 12-16% positive, which is way, way more than they've ever been before (1% at most, but more often 0.10% or so)21:00
de-factoLjL, one would have to measure filter efficiency (exposing them to a known rate of particles of a certain size and measure by how much they reduce it)21:01
LjLso as Tuvix says, you expect a higher false negative rate with antigen tests - and that was the case before - but now they've skyrocketed into positive territory21:01
TuvixI guess if it's compulsory testing that _may_ have a higher rate of correct reporting? And hopefully a decently high rate of being performed correctly, but some aren't going to be.21:01
de-factonot sure if that is practical for normal people without equipment21:01
LjLthey're still less positive than PCR tests, but the *comparison* between positive rate during Delta time and now shows more antigen tests are positive21:01
LjLde-facto, yeah that would not be practical. i was wondering if just detecting an electrostatic charge could be done as a proxy metric (not 100% meaning it's still able to filter, but at least some indication)21:02
ArsaneritLjL: But that only counts the rapid tests in official test centres?  I mean the self-tests that people do at home or schoolkids to at school.  I don't think anyone counts those?21:02
LjLde-facto, like you know, i was thinking if it would attract tiny bits of paper, things like that. i don't really know what the charge is supposed to be like21:02
LjLArsanerit, you're right, but those aren't very common here, because they're a lot more expensive than in Germany21:03
LjLand schoolkid tests are counted, if they have to do them officially21:03
de-factothat charge is a permanent induced *dipole* (on the scale of the fiber diameter)21:03
ArsaneritWhy are they more expensive than in Germany?21:03
LjLArsanerit, i don't know, i presume they're subsidized in Germany21:03
LjLas they are in the UK21:03
ArsaneritI found they cost much more in the pharmacy than in the supermarket or drug store, but they're also more likely to be sold out there.21:04
LjLthey're like €5 each if you buy a batch of more than one, here, i think21:04
LjL(in the supermarket)21:04
ArsaneritMy colleagues are saying they're always testing their kids at home before they get tested at school, due to the social and practical consequences of a positive test at school.21:04
de-factoso its only attracting particles in very very close proximity (probably only visible under the microscope), its not having a macroscopic (monopole) charge like a balloon or such that attracts paper pieces (that are charged differently relative to it)21:04
LjLde-facto, okay, i see21:04
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critrit only needs to attract particles within the distance to the next fiber.21:05
de-factothink of it like tiny dipole fields around each fiber (if you look at the cross section, it would look similar to a magnetic dipole field)21:05
de-factoso only nearfield not farfield21:05
critrhalf the distance actually.21:05
LjLi understand (roughly). too bad, it would be nice to have a rough indication if a mask is still in decent shape21:06
BrainstormUpdates for France: +196897 cases since 22 hours ago — South Africa: +7759 cases, +119 deaths, +40882 tests (19.0% positive) since a day ago — Cyprus: +3959 cases, +4 deaths since a day ago — Mozambique: +3117 cases, +2 deaths, +16091 tests (19.4% positive) since a day ago21:06
de-factoits done by exposing the fibers to an electric field during their production, (or by heating them) in order to arrange the molecules in a way that induce a permanent dipole in the material of the fibers (polypropylene afaik)21:07
de-factoit can be destroyed by heat or alcohol etc21:07
* de-facto freezes because the heater of the house is broken and the landlord is not reachable :/21:08
TuvixI don't think there's a great way to judge how effective a used mask is outside of the lab (or a new one for that matter if storage quality is in question)21:08
de-factonever spray a mask with alcohol or such, it destroys its filtering capability21:09
TuvixReally it boils down to some self-aware jugement of how used the mask is, how well it still can be fit to the face, and how much abuse it's had (longer wearing time, more use in heavy-breathing or physical exhertion situations, etc)21:09
TuvixRight, and don't store masks in airtight containers; you want them to air out after use if you plan to re-use them.21:09
de-factosome people tried to do that in good faith to sanitize it, its a bad idea though21:09
de-factoyes the outside surface is potentially contaminated, so dont put them in plastic bags (shedding contamination form outside to inside the mask)21:10
critreven after evaporation?21:10
TuvixI keep mine in a paper bag and make sure it's not fully closed when I store it; that's just so it won't collect dust (or my cat's fur…) when I'm not wearing it.21:10
de-factoyeah i would not do anything that could transport particles from the outside to the inside21:10
de-factoi never touch the outside and just hang them by tiny magnets on a metal bar of my furniture21:11
de-factolet them dry there21:11
de-facto(ok ok yes i know i should not reuse them, but i do)21:11
TuvixI mean, you basically have to unless you have a free supply of them, typically provided by an employer; even hospitals (the top use-case in most areas) have gone to multiple re-use procedures, though with a bit more protocol and oversight of that.21:12
de-factoi was shopping today, they control entry in every store with vaccination certificate and id, i did wear my FFP3 the whole time, even on the bicycle to home (because it was so convenient that it pre-heated the cold air), but now i have to dry it, because wearing them in the cold outdoors makes moisture condensing on it, also destroying its filter capacity (temporarily)21:14
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de-factoonly a dry mask does proper filtering, so i would not wear it on the bicycle on my way *to* a location where i would have to wear the mask, but on my way home (when i know i would take it off) i just let it stay out of convenience21:14
TuvixMy ≥98% 0.1µm mask got pretty heavy moisture in it, but they came out with a neat addition I added to my last filter replacement order that is basically a fitted sponge around the outside edge of the interior of the TPU mask form.21:15
TuvixIt's rather simple, but quite effective; it no longer has so much free moisture clinging to the TPU interior when I take it off after some physical activity.21:16
de-factowhat worries me a bit is that i still could smell smoke, *while* wearing an airtight FFP321:16
de-factoit smelled much differently though, so the mask definitely does some filtering, but obviously not all of it21:17
oerheksit keeps your couch inside21:17
critrthe smoke must have had some particles smaller than a virus.21:17
oerheksi see no other use21:18
TuvixHmm, a quick search tells me that smoke can contain particles of "PM2.5" which is to say all particles 2.5µm and _smaller_21:18
TuvixSo if your mask is only say 95% (or whatever, 97, 98%) effective at paricles down _to_ 0.1µm, you may be getting both some of that remaining percent bleed-through, and/or smaller particles that the mask isn't designed to effectively filter.21:18
LjLTuvix, but i've always heard FFP2/3 masks are actually *better than 95%* at *smaller* particles... the particle size they're tested with is the one they perform the worst at21:19
de-factoyes a filter is only a reduction of contamination, its never ever going to be 100%21:19
de-factoyes smaller particles are easier to filter because they diffuse onto the fibers21:19
de-factobigger particles are behaving more ballistically, smaller ones more like diffusion (bumping around by air molecules impacts)21:20
de-facto.title https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/what-is-pm0-3-why-important/21:22
Brainstormde-facto: From smartairfilters.com: What is PM0.3 Pollution and Why Is It Important? - Smart Air21:22
TuvixInteresting, although I wonder what the implication on mask effectiveness in indoor spaces is then, since perhaps it'll be easier for aerosols to pass a mask in close areas before evaporation has had a chance to reduce the effective size of the particles to be captured.21:26
de-facto.title https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/how-long-can-surgical-masks-be-used/21:26
Brainstormde-facto: From smartairfilters.com: How Long Do Face Masks Last? – Smart Air21:26
de-factoLjL, ^^21:26
TuvixAssuming of course that the contagious isn't wearing a fitted mask, which would go a long way to stopping at least a good part of that.21:26
de-facto.title https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/how-long-air-pollution-masks-last-lifespan-data/21:27
Brainstormde-facto: From smartairfilters.com: Data Shows N95 Masks Can Last Longer Than Once Thought - Smart Air21:27
LjLde-facto, hmm i knew that site, but didn't remember that page. i guess that means the main concern with a good N95 mask is to not get it wet (or alcohol of course), and to avoid mold21:28
de-factothe certification only applies for the (one time) usage though, but i do reuse mine anyways (against recommendations)21:29
TuvixI've seen the fit stressed a lot in medical summary of mask re-use; that makes some sense since a spoiled mask (wet, moldy, etc) is probably fairly easy to identify, but a compromised fit means the mask isn't actually filtering how it was designed/tested.21:30
LjLtoo bad those Venus masks don't seem to be available here, interesting that they have fabric straps21:30
TuvixThe TPU-molded mask shell I have has fabric straps, with a clasp to adjust the tension.21:30
de-factofabric straps may be more durable, but i think they would slip over the hairs, so may end up on the ears21:31
critrffp3 masks wouldn't filter the gaseous component of smoke.21:31
LjLTuvix, or in the case of most "FFP2" (really KN95 or at best KF94) masks we get here, they've never been filtering decently as they never had a decent fit because they were never designed for it :P21:31
de-factoyes indeed particle masks do not filter gases21:31
de-factoand it did smell quite differently21:31
TuvixThis was actually an upgrade on the original that had an elastic top-strap, and velcro for the lower-strap behind the neck. My velcro was getting worn, so I upgraded to the cloth covering that comes with a single fabric strap (similar to a shoelace) with a tesioner to keep it on the face once fitted.21:31
LjLi wish i could get known-good FFP2 masks that have around-the-ears strap... because while i know that around-the-head are better, i can't convince my parents, my mom especially, who has long hair21:31
oerheksa simple paperclip works fine21:32
oerheksfrom ear/ear to around your head21:32
de-factoi compared wearing FFP2 around ears and around head the whole day, honestly my ears did hurt where the strap goes around them (the place where also glasses would touch the ear)21:33
de-factoso for long term usage those rubber bands around the head are superior21:33
TuvixI've got one of these, and was lucky enough to be gifted one of the first batch when this company went into production: https://breathe99.com/pages/technology21:34
TuvixThey had the design pre-COVID, but pivoted a little bit to a non-vented design when the pandemic hit.21:34
de-factowow those are neat21:35
TuvixThe filter testing was done by a respected local state university engineering department, so it's at least better than the junk products that have come to market.21:35
TuvixYea, it's _really_ nice, and while I wouldn't say getting a reasonably airtight fit is "easy", it's also not all that hard. I just have to make sure the TPU around my nose fits well, othterwise if I'm sloppy I can feel it leak a bit. But if I roll the rubber-like ridge up a bit (one of their fit recommendations for this problem) and ensure enough strap tension, I can feel the air going in/out strictly21:36
de-factono valves may be good, but also lead to filters becoming wet21:36
Tuvixthrough the filters.21:36
TuvixYes, they have sponge inserts to help with that, an addition they added maybe 6 to 10 months ago.21:36
TuvixThis: https://help.breathe99.com/portal/en/kb/articles/instructions-for-the-b2-mask-liner21:37
TuvixAnd I have to say, as someone who had a bit of an issue with moisture buildup, it's a notable difference.21:37
de-factoso it may be usable in places that require valveless masks (to prevent contamination of the places) but also would lead to less filter efficacy sooner (by humidifying the filter fabric by exhaling through it, just as with most FFP2/3 (K)N95/99 too)21:37
TuvixYea, I don't think you solve the humidity problem without compromising the outflow filtering. They also have guidance for how often to replace the filters based on use-time, which may be related to faster loss of filter effectiveness in such situations.21:39
TuvixI'm a rather light user of mine, although I did wear it for up to 2 or 3 hours a couple times a week back when I was in the sport's club indoor areas.21:39
de-facto"The B2 Mask is the result of 4+ years of human-centered product development, originally geared towards protection from air pollution, smog and wildfires. The B2 design was adapted during the Covid-19 pandemic, with the removal of the exhalation valve to cater for the growing respiratory protection needs of global citizens.21:39
de-facto"21:39
TuvixSince I don't go there due to complete lack of policy or rules, I guess that problem solved itself :(21:39
TuvixYea, I think they quickly realized no one was going to want a filter with outflow valve for a while anyway.21:40
de-factooh btw dont wash TPU with IPA, it makes it less flexible21:41
de-facto(by proxy experience)21:41
de-factojust use warm water and soap21:41
de-factono alcohol21:41
TuvixYea, I just clean mine with water about every-other filter replacement, or whenever I feel it needs it.21:41
Raf[m]When I saw you talking about TPU I thought you meant TPU phone cases21:42
TuvixHeh, I have one of those too :P21:42
Tuvix(which does zero good at filtering out what I breathe, by the way ;)21:42
de-factoFacepiece: FDA-compliant TPU and Polypropylene | Filters: Meltblown and Electrostatically-charged polypropylene21:46
TuvixYea, and the filters come in 2 options: standard (best protection) and "lite" which is probably not very useful for the pandemic (but maybe still some, for larger particles people emit when speaking, etc) with more airflow.21:48
TuvixI don't know exactly why you'd want to use the lite ones in these times, but I guess it's an option for alternative use-cases.21:48
TuvixOh, I guess the standard they tested it under was _less_ strict as the NIOSH filtration. It just got independently tested to meet ASTM F2101.21:49
LjL<oerheks> a simple paperclip works fine <oerheks> from ear/ear to around your head ← that's the opposite of what i mean... i'd like a mask that uses ear strap (not behind-the-head strap) but that is *good*. most of them are no Auras at all, they're pretty bad21:50
xxplaces that are against proper masks with exhaust valves, yet allow people to wear any other mask under the nose, are the weirdest ones21:53
TuvixYou don't really want an outflow valve when the concern is both spread and infection. If you're the venue owner, you have your staff to think about, but yes, a surgical mask seems not to be nearly as effective, especially with Omicron's ability to spread more easily.21:55
TuvixSome of those places might accept say a surgical mask over the fitted one with an outflow, but it's really up to the venue if they have specific requirements.21:55
de-factowell infection risk is the *product* of contamination rate of the place and filter efficacy for inhaling from it21:56
TuvixThere was talk about "double masking" in the US, but I haven't really heard that talked about for a while. It's really moot with Omicron anyway since cloth or surgical masks are of limited value. Better than nothing probably, but not fantastic.21:56
de-factoso best would be to enforce everyone to wear a valveless airtight fit21:57
de-factoand do air exchange rate appropriate for contamination rate21:57
TuvixRight, you want to limit what you can at the source (the possibly contagious) to stop it from being in the air as much as possible, then as the wearer you want to reduce your odds that virus in the environment infects you.21:57
de-factoto reduce contamination level of the air, because contamination dose is the product of contamination rate and exposure time21:58
TuvixThat indoor club is such a disaster in all of those metrics :\21:58
TuvixRecirculating HVAC, the cheapest, most awful filters, no windows/doors open in winter for sure (and even summer when the aircon is on.) Maskless, and some unvaccinated people, and eating by day and eating+drinking after-hours.21:59
de-factojust cancel membership if they dont care about the health of their members22:01
de-factoand tell them why you do that22:01
TuvixI'm a lifetime member, and I've made my concerns very clear. They just blow it off or the owner tells me she "can't ask staff to [test]" (even after they were a known close-contact for 1 to 3 hours to a positive case this summer.)22:02
TuvixAt this point the only recourse would basically be to go public with my complaints.22:02
TuvixLike, see if I can get this picked up by a local news org or something; some of the emails are pretty… damming.22:02
ublxwhat club is this?22:02
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Forcing children to wear masks is dystopian, says Gruffalo author Julia Donaldson → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rz9cov/forcing_children_to_wear_masks_is_dystopian_says/22:02
Tuvixprivate sports club, all-volunteer, and not subject to any rules. We don't have any effective regulation that would apply here in terms of national, state, or local restrictions.22:03
ublxhm22:03
TuvixThis place is absolutely going against all the medical guidance, but I've been told in-person that they don't "have" to do any of it.22:03
TuvixThe owner is literally afraid if she puts any requirements in place, all her key (and remember, volunteer) staff will refuse to show up.22:03
de-factosuch places should be closed permanently imho, sorry.22:04
ublxconsidering that only indifferent and careless people will go to such a club.. i'd steer well clear22:05
TuvixYea, I'm just pissed. One of the "more experienced" instructors (in terms of this operation) put out an email to all staff to "warn" our "newer instructors" about the dangers of customers passing out if we required a mask (just a basic cloth or surgical mask.) He even bolded in his email the concern that lack of oxygen would cause the customers we take to pass out.22:05
TuvixJust… so much false crap and stupidity, but I can't fight that much misinformation when the owners refuse to do anything about it.22:05
de-factothats nonsense, one can train with masks and also open windows22:06
de-factowhy else could i drive bicycle (fast) with an FFP3 without problems for many kilometers?22:06
TuvixExactly, and masks do not prevent O2 from getting to the blood, which is a awful myth continued to be spread by misinformation outlets pretending to be "news" here in the US.22:06
de-factoyeah22:07
de-factoits just a proxy argument for their "convenience" to refuse wearing masks22:07
TuvixNot that surgical masks are great for this, but again, better than nothing. This shows how even an N95 mask doesn't cause that, at all, even during high heart-reat exertion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7t2k2-xH5AU22:07
de-factoand i really am not a sporty person at all, i was a heavy chainsmoker till early 202022:08
TuvixYou are 100% correct, it's just excuse-BINGO.22:08
BrainstormUpdates for India: +148426 cases since 23 hours ago — United States: +916454 cases, +2197 deaths since 23 hours ago — Turkey: +64267 cases, +141 deaths, +418264 tests (15.4% positive) since 23 hours ago — Canada: +47513 cases, +30 deaths since 23 hours ago22:09
Arsaneritgas mask / elastomeric respirator?22:09
de-factooh yeah i have an SPO2 meter too, i used it to measure while biking with all kinds of masks, it always was even *better* saturation (98-99%) than when i was sitting at my desk at home (95%-97%)22:10
ublxan FFP3 while cycling hard? will you not be fairly well blowing the mask away from your face during exhalation?22:10
TuvixYea, the fresh air does more than indoors I'd imagine, but the irony of that being with a mask on you is not lost on me either.22:10
de-factosurgical mask, FFP2 (the classic N95 style), FFP3 (one with very thick fabric, the other 3M style)22:10
de-factonope not blowing it away22:11
Tuvixublx: I'd not use one if I'm outdoors (running, I don't really bike, but when it's not snow-covered I go jogging 1-2x weekly in a state park near me)22:11
TuvixWell, I'd still use one outdoors if it was a very crowded event, but I don't go to those :P22:11
BrainstormNew from r/WorldNews: worldnews: COVID-positive nurses say they're being pressured to work while sick, and they're petrified of infecting patients → https://old.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/rz9mru/covidpositive_nurses_say_theyre_being_pressured/22:12
TuvixUnless it's a really crowded area, the dispersion into normal air is very good. I'm not worried about the random person or 2 I might cross paths with on my 5 km jog. I'm far more concerned about the packed grocery store, standing in line next to countless unmasked, possibly unvaccinated individuals.22:12
Tuvixnormal, *outdoor* air, to be clear.22:13
de-factoif the mask does not have much "dead volume" (e.g. between face and mask filter) compared to average breathing volume it does not really mix much exhaled air with inhaled air on each breathing cycle22:14
de-factoand since particle masks do not filter gases (only particles) of course they do not lower oxygen update, as long as airflow rate through their surface allows for required breathing rates (e.g. when bicycling or such)22:15
ArsaneritDo gas masks (elastomeric respirators) lower oxygen intake?22:16
TuvixYea, and that's what the anti-mask believers don't understand. They've been lied to by con-men who may even know this is false and dangerous themselves, but tell it to the public to advance their agenda.22:16
de-factoall masks i have used so far do not require much pressure to force the air with sufficient rates through their filter fabrics, hence are suitable even for heavy body work22:16
Tuvix(that was in reply to de-facto, not the gas masks.) You don't want to wear a gas mask for COVID, so it's a bit of a non sequitur there.22:16
ArsaneritI have met anti-vaxxers but not anti-maskers22:17
ArsaneritTuvix: Would an elastomeric respirator offer worse protection than an FFP2/FFP3 mask?  I thought they added an extra layer of protection (just short of full PAPR)?22:18
Tuvixde-facto: Yea, this is another thing that pisses me off. The owner is pretty anti-mask too, and she sent out this email that basically lamented how hard masks are to wear when she's doing some rather light-to-mid physical work (moving equipment around, nothing over say 20 kg) and how "hard it was to breathe" and how it's just unnecessary when you're 10 m or more away.22:18
TuvixArsanerit: Probably, but again, they're not needed here, and if you think it's hard enough now to get people to wear *any* mask (even though they really should be using KN95 at minimum) you can't imagine how much dancing you'll need to do to get everyone going shopping to wear a gas mask…22:19
TuvixIt's not required, but I have no idea if there's a chance in the O2 intake. I'd imagine not for the quality equipment, since gas masks are a contingency plan for military and other "critical" users.22:19
ArsaneritTuvix: Oh, not everyone.  Just not-very-seriously been wondering about it for myself.22:19
Tuvixchange in*22:20
de-factoits a prejudice and a subjective feeling (most people are not used to breathing through a mask), even my parents were hard to convince to wear FFP3 instead of surgical, just because they assumed they "would not get enough air"22:20
de-factoits not a rational thinking, its a subjective feeling for many people i guess22:21
TuvixRight, and that's what the owner's email was in this case, an whining about the slight extra resistance to air intake. But it had the effect she wanted, of turning everyone there against the idea of bringing bask mask requirements indoors.22:21
BrainstormNew from r/Science: science: Dry oven heat can disinfect N95 COVID masks. method that uses dry ovens can disinfect N95 masks for reuse in settings where new masks may not be available, a new study shows. → https://old.reddit.com/r/science/comments/rz9zyq/dry_oven_heat_can_disinfect_n95_covid_masks/22:22
de-factohonestly i had that feeling too at the begin, i just thought, well ok lets try this out, i can take it off anytime, so why not just "make an experiment" and gain some experience with it22:22
TuvixShe _wanted_ to seed that so that everyone who was on the fence would refuse to wear them. And the claim now is that since we can "maintain distance" it's all okay indoors. It's basically one big room with closed windows/doors and no fresh air intake, maybe 12m x 20m in size.22:22
de-factohow else would i be able to experience the limits? (i have not found any so far, except for non-airtight fit blowing into my own eyes is quite annoying and wearing with straps behind the ears for extended amounts of time it hurts a bit after a while)22:22
de-factobut no limitations due to filter fabric so far i could find22:23
TuvixYup, the most I noticed with the TPU-form mask I have is that if I'm really bad/lazy about filter changes, they do seem to get a little bit less comfortable to breathe through, but that really means I'm overdue for a filter change.22:23
TuvixAnd sure, if the fit is bad I can feel some air leakage, but that just means I haven't fitted it properly to begin with.22:24
ArsaneritIs it really true that if my glasses fog up, it means the mask is not tight and therefore useless?  My glasses sometimes fog up without any mask...22:24
de-factodistance indoors does not prevent infection with aerosol, unless its a LOT of distance, 10s of meters and more22:24
de-facto2 meters distance does NOT prevent infection indoors22:24
de-factonot at all22:24
Arsaneritde-facto: depends on exposure time?22:24
de-factoyes22:24
TuvixYea, I know, and Omicron is really bad at this.22:25
TuvixWell, exposure time yes, but we're talking on the order of just a couple of minutes possibly if you're right next to someone and your're both not wearing masks.22:25
ArsaneritCorona-Warn-App only warns when it's longer than that, unless I've missed an update.22:25
TuvixIf just 1 of you has a _good_ mask (fitted, ie: not cloth or surgical) your protection goes up, but you really want BOTH people masked to improve the odds.22:25
TuvixWell, and only works if they have the app too, and their phone is with them and on.22:26
ArsaneritI've been warned twice by the Corona-Warn-App.22:26
ArsaneritOnce after a train journey, and another time after queuing in the drive-through for a PCR test.22:26
de-factoArsanerit, well if your glasses fog up it means you exhale air onto them, therefore your mask would not have an airtight fit around the edges (most likely left and right to the nose), so that means to a certain degree it will be less effective, and depending on how much leakage it got it may well be an *order* of magnitude less effective as it could be (with airtight fit)22:26
de-factoits still better than no mask of course thouhg22:26
TuvixIt is worth taking a short time to get a good fit on your mask, at least if you want the best protection for yourself and for those around you.22:27
de-facto.title https://www.pnas.org/content/118/49/e2110117118 " An upper bound on one-to-one exposure to infectious human respiratory particles | PNAS"22:27
de-factoArsanerit, ^^22:27
Brainstormde-facto: From www.pnas.org: An upper bound on one-to-one exposure to infectious human respiratory particles | PNAS22:27
ArsaneritI try, but I don't succeed in stopping my glasses from fogging up with a mask when it's cold outside.22:27
de-factoLjL, can we take that one into zotero?22:27
LjLI think it's in there, I put it in yesterday22:28
TuvixAt least as decent of a fit as you can. For non-reusable masks, they're going to loose fit over time, and eventually you should replace it. That'll depend on how much use you've given it, how abuse you were (did it get excessively wet a number of times, or dirty?), and how worn the straps become.22:28
de-factoArsanerit, there are some masks with foam around the nose fit, those are much better at airtight fits22:29
de-factoe.g. 3M ones etc22:29
Arsaneritde-facto: I wear 3M ones22:29
de-factonut also some (K)N95 style ones have those foams recently22:29
de-facto*but22:29
ArsaneritI use 3M Aura 9320+ FFP222:29
de-factovery good22:29
ArsaneritBut when it's cold outside I still get foggy glasses22:30
Arsaneritdespite my best attempts to get a good fit22:30
ArsaneritNot as foggy as with previous FFP2 masks I tried though22:30
de-factoyeah try to only wear them indoors and maybe outdoors another one22:30
de-factoso you have them fresh and dry with full filter efficacy when you arrive22:30
critrheh, they shoul make glasses lens heaters.22:30
de-factobut yeah today during shopping i also just let it stay, was too much hassle to take it off and on in front of every shop22:31
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: New variant discovered in Cyprus (Deltacron) → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rza1i0/new_variant_discovered_in_cyprus_deltacron/22:31
ArsaneritI admit that I'm violating mask mandates in the circumstance when I'm alone (or very far from others) on an outdoor train platform22:31
de-factoLjL, thanks22:32
TuvixOh, I wouldn't worry too much outdoors unless you're unable to stay a few meters away from people. But yea, if there's a local requirement for that, I'm not saying it's a good idea to needlessly violate that. I just don't think it's very useful.22:32
de-factoits in there22:32
TuvixThe flip side of this is that governments also don't want people in _crowded_ areas outdoors, which can be a source of spread. Think the NYE party in Times Square in NYC.22:33
ArsaneritTuvix: When I'm making a long train journey, during changes I tend to go to the end of an open platform and use the time to eat and drink.22:33
TuvixIt's hard to say "no masks unless you have more than <X> people in <Y> square meters" so sometimes rules have to be set somewhere as a bare-minimum.22:33
ArsaneritI've seen people putting an open bottle in front of them as an excuse to not wear a mask properly on the train, when the ticket checker comes they say they just took off their mask for eating/drinking.22:34
de-factoArsanerit, yeah i do the same, thats a good idea imho22:34
TuvixYea, and it would be really crappy for an enforcement officer to fine you for that, IMO. Maybe they'd be within their rights to do so, but it would seem slimey.22:34
critrany public rgulations have to be kept simple.22:34
ArsaneritBut when a journey is long on the same train, I have to drink at some point.22:34
de-factothe going to the end of the platform is a good idea i do too, not the bottle in front indoors22:34
de-factoi never take the mask of, not even for a fraction of a second22:35
de-factooff22:35
ArsaneritMy wife took the train from Paris to Frankfurt this week.  Between Paris and Strasbourg it was prohibited to take off the mask for eating (and restaurant wagon was closed), between Strasbourg and Frankfurt this was allowed (and restaurant wagon was open for vaccinated people)22:35
squirrelbtw about masks. i remember stumbling upon a study that shows that masks do reduce blood oxygen levels. how do the newer studies that refute that explain it?22:35
de-factomasks do not reduce blood oxygen levels, thats a myth22:36
Tuvixsquirrel: That is a myth, and a study that says otherwise for N95-style masks do _not_ reduce oxygen. You think those performing medical surgery would compromise their oxygen and risk passing out? You were lied to by any studies that say otherwise.22:36
de-factowe just discussed that in detail above22:36
Tuvixsquirrel: If you missed it, watch this in full: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7t2k2-xH5AU22:37
squirrelso they address the studies and say that what. that the data is fabricated?22:37
de-factowhat studies?22:37
squirreli guess this is one https://scielo.isciii.es/pdf/neuro/v19n2/3.pdf22:39
de-factodid they had a control group?22:40
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: Omicron’s spread drives the global daily average of known new cases past a staggering 2 million. → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rzaerz/omicrons_spread_drives_the_global_daily_average/22:40
de-factoperforming a surgery is a stress situation with and without masks, so did they compare scenarios where the only difference was wearing / not wearing a mask but everything else exactly the same?22:42
TuvixLooks to me like the only control the specify without masks was very short duration events, so they're already stacking the deck against ethical and honest results (p122, PDF page 2)22:42
TuvixAnd the sample size is excessively low even for that.22:42
Tuvixsquirrel: Those 2 facts alone give me great pause to consisder this worth any value as a study, but I'm still going through the information. Meanwhile, I really hope you're watching that video I linked with a 65-year old women who gets her heart rate up to 160 bpm wearing an N95 mask.22:43
TuvixDon't tell me you're in worse shape than a mid 60's gal? :P22:43
TuvixTheir introduction also has really unscientific language you just don't see in proper scientific studies. Phrases like "it seems reasoanble that [insert nonsense theory that's been debunked time and time again]"22:44
TuvixThis is a *reall* bad paper squirrel. Dreadful.22:44
Tuvixreally*22:44
TuvixThey talk about "heat" and "moisture" trapping. Gasses are orders of magnitude smaller than moisture, which is condensed water vapor that is in the form of dropplets.22:45
TuvixThis paper is full of multiple mistakes per paragraph. To be as blunt as I can: it's bullshit.22:45
squirreli wasn't arguing any point of view, i just thought new studies ought to reference old studies, however poor22:47
de-facto"In the group of surgeons who did not wear masks during primary care operations with duration of less than 30 minutes, preoperational saturation values were 97.6±0.2 while post operational values decreased to 96.3±0.3 (p=0.0006)."22:47
de-factothats a very very small difference, in my experience values do vary much more than that in reality22:48
TuvixSo, they're both getting enough oxygen? I hadn't gotten that far yet…22:48
de-factoe.g. several percent for different scenarios22:48
TuvixAnd yes, I have variations like that while NOT wearing a mask at home, at my desk.22:48
de-factothey compared 5 vs 9 surgeons, thats not statistically significant at all22:49
de-factoand the rest is only comparing the stress of operations, because all of them did wear a mask during that22:49
de-factoso in my opinion that study there has not claim at all22:49
TuvixAnd meaningless at the changes you cited. They even go so far as to admit that the physical work and stress is a factor. Hell, I have that change sitting here now.22:49
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: For many in the U.S., getting tested means long waits or digging deeper into the wallet. → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rzalq2/for_many_in_the_us_getting_tested_means_long/22:50
squirrelyou know, maybe this study is indeed too bad to even mention it heh.22:51
TuvixYet you brought it up, seemingly to try and make your point.22:51
TuvixPerhaps read these studies yourself, cover to cover, and use some critical thinking first.22:51
TuvixDebunking some of this will require at least a fundamental undersatnding of physics and the world around you, like my points above that water-dropplets are larger than gas particles.22:52
de-factothey even admit it themselves "Surgical masks may impose some measurable airway resistance, but it seems doubtful if this significantly increases the process of breathing"22:52
ArsaneritSurely they have to increase resistance if they filter anything, pretty much by definition?22:53
TuvixRight, but the question is if that has an impact on the oxygen delivered to the blood, which is what we care about.22:53
TuvixProvided you don't have some pre-existing condition that causes you to already struggle to get air (in which case you're not going to be a surgen to begin with!) that answer is "no" and has been shown to be that way time and time again.22:54
squirrelTuvix: i wasn't trying to make any point22:54
squirreland posting it here worked just as well22:55
ublxi bet wearing FFP2/3 for a 12 hour shift is tiring though, and that some surgeons work some crazy long hours22:56
TuvixUm, that reads to me like you're lazy and wanted other people to read and think critically for you. I'm a tad insulted, but I guess also would rather see this than ask facebook or something :\22:56
de-factooh i just read my cite above again, they only compare pre with post operational, they do NOT even compare mask wearers with non-mask wearers22:57
de-factowtf? what is this study even about then?22:57
squirrelyes, i wanted exactly that. not sure why that insults you, wasn't my intention22:57
de-factoi think this is complete garbage, they did not even compare wearing a mask with not wearing a mask, they compared pre-operation saturation with post-operation values22:58
critrsquirrel, it's very helpful to develop a good bs detector on the internet, as elsewhere.22:58
BrainstormUpdates for Albania: +1801 cases, +4 deaths since 20 hours ago — Malawi: +631 cases, +4 deaths, +2002 tests (31.5% positive) since 23 hours ago — Monaco: +135 cases since 23 hours ago — Sierra Leone: +23 cases, +1 deaths since a day ago22:59
Tuvixde-facto: Yea, and unless I haven't found it yet, I don't think any of the groups besides #1 even had a non-mask group, ie: lack of control in addition to getting fundamental physics grossly wrong.22:59
TuvixOh, "during primary care operations with duration of less than 30 minutes" -- so they're *changing* what that so-called "control" group is even doing.22:59
de-factoi am not against doing research on that, but only with open result and honest study designs22:59
squirrelcritr: asking people around is a great way to detect bs23:01
Tuvixsquirrel: Also, you really didn't look very hard to find real, honest papers that refute this, did you? I found one in the top-5 results of my search. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99100-723:01
squirrelTuvix: i really didn't have any agenda here23:02
squirrelyou can keep thinking that if you want, but i really didn't23:02
TuvixPage 2 here.23:02
TuvixThis is very important to read:23:03
Tuvix"Deliberate misinformation often uses common knowledge to tell an allegedly fact-based story. Some social23:03
Tuvixmedia accounts connected heavier breathing while wearing FFR with the false claim to reduce blood oxygen23:03
Tuvixsaturation. Indeed, respiration behavior (amongst others, frequency and intensity, see37 for a review) changes23:03
Tuvixwhile wearing an FFR (especially during exercise), and the physical dead volume of the respiratory system causes23:03
Tuvixbreathing to be more strenuous38"23:03
TuvixSorry, bad paste :(23:03
Tuvix(continuing from the above)23:03
Tuvix"However, there is no evidence that wearing face masks (cloth/surgical masks or FFR) causes the blood oxygen levels to diminish22–24,26,27,29. Nevertheless, the literature lacks investigations tailored to quantify the impact of face masks, especially high filtering N95 FFR, on cognitive performance. We contribute to this research to refute misinformation and face worries regarding a connection between23:04
Tuvixcognitive functioning and wearing N95 FFR"23:04
Tuvixsquirrel: I found that more legit article with a google search for: myth masks oxygen Beder Büyükkoçak Keskil23:04
TuvixJust to help make the magic I'm using more obvious, I realized the original article was almost surely wrong and a bad-faith paper, if not funded on purpose to create more misinformation about this topic, so I added "myth" to see if there was a paper that cited the original's obviously sloppy design.23:05
TuvixThen I added "masks" and "oxygen" as keywords that should be included, plus the names of the "researchers" on the original.23:05
TuvixI also picked one from a reputable publisher, although that's not a 100% sure way to exclude incorrect information, but it often goes a long ways (remember, pre-prints and other un-verified, non-peer-reviewed, or studies that haven't been reproduced are not as strong as others.)23:06
critrsquirrel, physical reality is the final arbiter. your senses and clear reasoning power are the best connection to that. other people can only be believed insofar as they are in contact with physical reality.23:07
squirrelhum, was there a reason to hate on masks in 2008?23:07
squirrelcritr: nah i'm stupid23:08
TuvixMisinformation is not limited to the COVID-19 era, no.23:08
TuvixIt's just found more popularity thanks to a combination of current events, social media, and some politicians going along with it for their own personal gains.23:08
TuvixThis is of course all the more reason to think critically when you encounter information, and *ESPECIALLY* information you agree with.23:09
squirrellook23:09
TuvixConfirmation bias is a real thing too, and you should subject your review of information you may agree with to an even higher standard of care.23:09
squirreli  r e a l l y  didn't come here with any anti-mask sentiment23:09
squirrelswear on my mom's name23:09
TuvixAnd here's the deal, I'm telling you all this to try and equip you to review information better next time, not to claim you were an anti-mask troll (if I thought you were that, I'd have called you out as such by now.)23:10
squirreli have a whole box of the damn masks23:10
TuvixI just think you were duped by the original article's "science-like phrasing", that's all. The rest is a couple of us reviewing and debunking the entier thing as a farse, or as the Nature.com pulication calls it, "deliberate misinfromation"23:13
Tuvix(then me trying to show you how I found that article which very bluntly calls out the original for what it is)23:13
TuvixProblem is it's very hard to have a real study that is both aware of the bad information and so directly refute it. Someone else paid a lot of money (by the underwriters of the Spang & Pieper study I linked) to not only include a summary of it in their paper, but then go onto debunk why it was bad information and discuss the motives behind these kind of things.23:15
lastshellI know is weird but when I felt tired I just go outside and let the sun blastme, and I felt better23:15
TuvixJust imagine if we had to pay a team of scientists to debunk every stupid thing the ex-POTUS Trump said…23:15
TuvixLike, drinking bleach, for example. We can all probably use our brains and realize that ingesting bleach as a "clensing" is dangerous and could harm or even kill you. We don't need a bloody paper for that! (I hope…)23:16
lastshellyeah trump was the king of memes23:16
TuvixI'd have said the same about a horse de-worming agent too, but then we all know how that one turned out :\23:16
TuvixHe was the king of lies and misinformation. And sadly a former US president too :(23:17
lastshellfor some reason i feel worst when I laid down23:17
squirrel(i really didn't read past the abstract)23:18
lastshellhonestly also biden screw things23:18
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Impact of COVID-19 on new-onset type 1 diabetes mellitus - A one-year prospective study → https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/rzbaha/impact_of_covid19_on_newonset_type_1_diabetes/23:18
lastshellI thing both trump and biden didn't have the knowledge or capacity to control covid23:19
TuvixSure, the current admin has made missteps too, but he hasn't intentionally lied to the public, which is at least progress.23:19
TuvixTrump early on intended to downplay the whole thing to the public, even when he knew how bad it was going to get; he literally said so in an on-the-record interview with Woodword.23:19
TuvixThat's not a leader; that's a liar.23:19
lastshellpeople don't trust the cdc, heck they even laugh o them: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrtpAUgb7_Y23:19
lastshellsorry wrong link this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgK8p50uLik23:20
TuvixThey're in a hard position given how much of the public (or at least the very vocal ones) are against the idea of any mitigations measures against COVID. But indeed, the CDC has made a number of PR and messaging mistakes, such as explicitly recommending the public not mask early on when it likely could have helped as part of the containment plan.23:21
xxa fair point, why isn't CDC selling merch yet?23:21
xxI'd get a t-shirt23:21
lastshellyeah when they CDC didn't recommend mask I was confuse23:21
TuvixThe CDC is actually quite good at the science aspect of it, and a number of experts has pointed out how the CDC Director is actually quite good at delivering purely-science based messages. It's when she's asked to talk about more politics or social aspects that she seems to fall short, as does much of the public messaging.23:22
xxTuvix: and especially when comparing it to previous flu seasons, when the cdc did recommend masking up (but everyone non-asian of course ignored it)23:22
TuvixI have to admit I was less interested in masking early on in part because of the CDC messaging, and in part due to lack of reliable information on how effective it was really going to be in practice, given that you're asking non-medical personell to do so. I completely changed my mind though in the fall of 2020, and became a huge advocate of masking indoors during high-spread areas of outbreak.23:24
TuvixHowever, I'm also not stubborn enough to refuse emerging science as we learn more information. I made a decision originally based on available information, and opted to change it as new information was presented and we had the benefit of more time to review the impacts various mitigations had.23:25
squirrelhow did they study the effectiveness of the masks?23:25
xxmechanistic data shows 100% effectiveness (they put masks on manequins), but real world use is more problematic because humans have stupid faces and don't use proper masks and don't use them correctly either, and handle them in a poor way too23:27
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Coronavirus: High schoolers in High Point, Greensboro (NC) to not have access to school buses for next two weeks → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/rzbfcx/high_schoolers_in_high_point_greensboro_nc_to_not/23:28
lastshellkind of like in theory works but in practice no always23:28
xxgood thing we've had at least 2 years to prepare for schooling from home, so not having busses shouldn't be a problem anymore23:28
TuvixMeanwhile Chicago's school district is refusing to do at-home learning while the teachers are not showing up until some of their concerns are met.23:29
TuvixIt's a mess, but largely because of the overlap of politics and lack of clear communication.23:29
squirreli just can't think of any good way to tests effectiveness of masks in isolation that would translate well into real world with half of population ignoring the rules23:29
TuvixWell, yes, that's the problem. If you missed it, a study was linked above that's a modeling of how effective masks are when worn by neither, one, or both people, and compares that to the impact of "distancing"23:30
critrsquirrel, have you tried researching some of your own questions on the internet? duckduckgo is your friend.23:30
TuvixThe tl;dr is that a single user wearing a quality mask does indeed improve outcomes, but not even an order of magnitude; if BOTH parties wear quality masks, the protection is several orders of magnitude greater.23:31
TuvixIn other words, you are always better off yourself wearing a mask in risky, or potentially-risky encounters, but if you're going to spend time with others you don't 100% trust in terms of vaccination, the risks they take, and their social circles of contact, you really should both mask up.23:32
squirrelcritr: please use /ignore23:32
Tuvixsquirrel: This is a mild pattern of behavior; back on Dec-22 you tried to argue with me that we should have more data about how fatal Omicron is, when that data is really not even yet available in aggregate given the delay. The push-back you're getting, again today, is due to a seeming patter of asking open-ended questions then arguing with the information you get combined with a seeming lack of interest23:33
Tuvixto learn how to equip yourself to at least ask some more useful questions.23:33
TuvixAsking if a "study" predicated on disinformation is less useful, for example, than having read it and asking "so I found <this> study that goes against most other current studies and what doctors are saying. They made claims <A> and <B> but I can't tell how accurate this study was; how can I learn more about how reliable this is?"23:35
TuvixBut you didn't do that, later admitting you never read past the abstract and that it was "easier" to let several of us waste a great deal of our day to spoon-feed you information. This is why you're getting called out.23:35
Tuvixhttp://catb.org/~esr/faqs/smart-questions.html#idm37923:36
squirrelcalled out on what, asking a question that wasn't really researched?23:36
squirrelis that something that i have to "admit" doing?23:36
TuvixThe quote that applies from that paragrpah would be, "Don't waste your time, or ours, on crude primate politics. Instead, present the background facts and your question as clearly as you can. That is a better way to position yourself than by grovelling."23:36
TuvixThis is not the first time you've done this, and used confrontational tactics to get answers. And I'm not interested in getting into a detailed argument with you on this point either, given how much time I've just given you today, agagain.23:37
squirrelthe whole "confrontation" part is me just saying repeatedly that i didn't come here with any anti-mask agenda. yes i did ask a question without doing research, but it wasn't a question that demands research from the reader. i am not sure but it seemed to me that this study (or maybe more like it) were a known thing among antivaxers so i assumed it would be also well know here since this thing comes up once in a while. so i23:44
squirrelhoped it would be a "quick question".23:44
squirrelas for omicron, that wasn't what i asked23:44
TuvixI'm not talking about the masks either.23:44
Tuvix2021-12-22 15:09 < squirrel> to this day they can't figure out how deadly omicron is23:44
TuvixThen later, after I explain WHY we don't have that, you responded:23:45
Tuvix2021-12-22 15:22 < squirrel> Tuvix: it makes no sense to have the data you mention and not be able to tell how omicron is deadly23:45
squirrelcare to post the next message?23:45
squirreloh, this things has logs. so the whole sentence would be,23:46
squirrel<squirrel> to this day they can't figure out how deadly omicron is23:46
squirrel<squirrel> but they seem to be pretty sure about the efficacy of various vaccine dose combinations with it23:46
TuvixThese are very different things, as discussed then.23:47
squirrelindeed they are. so please don't pick individual messages out of context23:48
TuvixYou pushed, *MULTIPLE* times demanding to know data we did not have, and then related it to something that we can have data for.23:49
TuvixObviously we can't have data before it exists. This is not out of context becuase there were more times you demanded to know what the impact of *death* specifically from Omicron was, before we've had enough death to meaningfully answer that question. Vaccination effectiveness can be measured, at least in terms of labs that evaluate how effective antibody responses and, perhaps more criticall, the amount23:50
Tuvixof antibodies required to neutralize the virus is.23:50
TuvixThe common metric of how "different" a related family of viruses are would be to evalaute the impact of antibodies on the virus and what it takes to effective combat them (I have a citation for you if you really want a multi-page paper on this.)23:51
xxwhy even care about omicron is more or less deadly - you really want a virus to enter your body?23:52
TuvixOmicron is "very different" by that regard, well outside the metric set to define a closely related set of strains within a related family, and notably different using the standard set for flu vaccines. This, of course, is all unrealted to how "deadly" (ie: fatal, involving death) that you asked about multiple times back then. Then got seemingly upset when you couldn't be given a quick answer.23:52
Tuvixxx: Well, risk of not recovering aside, the lasting effects we don't even really understand yet, much less know how bad those will be over a lifetime.23:52
xxwell, what I meant by that is that people shouldn't want any virus to enter their body, irrelevant of how severe it may be23:53
xxI never provided consent for any live virus to enter my body23:53
xxso whenever it did, it did it without my consent23:54
squirrelwhat i was saying was, that either you have data on how bad omicron is and have data on how well vaccines make it less bad, or you don't have data on how bad omicron is and also have no data n how well vaccines make it less bad. what i asked was, how come we know how vaccines make omicron less bad, while we don't how bad it is in the first place.23:54
TuvixTo a point; chicken pox is perhaps an exception in many cultures, since getting it later in life can be far more serious. Of course, that virus is also known to cause shingles later in life which we've only recently (recent decades) become more aware of enough to studty.23:54
de-factosquirrel, one problem we already do see with Omicron is that hospitalizations rise the same was as infections with Omicron do, so in that regard its very problematic already23:55
xxTuvix: kids get vaccinated against chickenpox these days23:55
de-factoon real severity we just dont really have reliable data yet, e.g. how many of those will eventually end up on ICU etc23:55
de-factothat is because Omicron is so contagious that it spreads crazy fast, meaning in uneven clusters, not in averaged out community transmission23:56
squirrel...but then people say things like "you demanded to know what the impact of *death* specifically from Omicron was" and since i of course did no such things i got a bit annoyed23:57
de-factoso the groups that previously ended up in ICU or grave with Delta may simply not have been reached yet by Omicron diffusing through the community because infection dynamics did not had enough time to average out23:57
Tuvixsquirrel: You asked how deadly it is. If we talk about how many "deadly shootings" there were in a country, obviously this is about death.23:57
TuvixI literally quoted you as saying that, and now you are, for a 3rd time in as many weeks, turning this into a big argument.23:58
TuvixUnless this is some less-than-deadly meaning of the word deadly I'm not familiar with?23:58
squirrelam *i* turning this into an argument?23:58
Tuvixdeadly (adj.) causing or able to cause death; a deadly wewapon.23:58
squirrelyou brought it up again23:58
Tuvix"… and since i of course did no such [thing] i got a bit annoyed"23:59
critrfwiw, it's a waste of time to try to reason with people wiith cognitive deficiencies.23:59
Tuvixcritr: Apparently; my mistake for trying to provide a baseline change for the next inquiry that'll inevitably come up :(23:59

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