libera/##covid-19/ Saturday, 2022-07-30

BrainstormNew from COVID19 Vaccine Tracker: valerie: Aivita Biomedical Inc: AV-COVID-19 → https://covid19.trackvaccines.org/vaccines/74/00:05
BrainstormUpdates for Togo: +66 cases, +1 deaths, +1865 tests since 2 days ago00:08
BrainstormUpdates for Turkey: +365424 cases, +157 deaths since 8 days ago — Trinidad and Tobago: +462 cases, +2 deaths, +3258 tests since 2 days ago — Canada: +5475 cases since 23 hours ago02:00
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Eric Topol (@EricTopol): US Covid hospitalizations may be starting to plateau, which would be good to see. If true, d/t:Mostly—Immunity wall from vaccines, infections, especially BA.2.12.1, w/ shared L452 mutation BA.5Also—Paxlovid—Antibodies that are still effective vs BA.5 [... want %more?] → https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/155318149565254041702:57
BrainstormUpdates for Slovakia: +1438 cases since 23 hours ago03:02
BrainstormUpdates for Eritrea: +19 cases since a day ago05:07
BrainstormNew from This Week In Virology: TWiV 922: TWiV clinical update with Dr. Daniel Griffin: In his weekly clinical update Dr. Griffin discusses monkeypox infection in humans across 16 countries, pregnancy outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection by trimester, vaccination intent and belief, antiviral drug treatment for non-severe disease, the [... want %more?] → https://www.microbe.tv/twiv/twiv-922/06:14
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV: Moderna Announces New Supply Contract With The U.S. Government For An Initial 66 Million Doses Of A Moderna Bivalent Covid-19 Booster Vaccine With Options For U.S. Government To Purchase Up To An Additional 234 [... want %more?] → https://old.reddit.com/r/CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV/comments/wbp9mf/moderna_announces_new_supply_contract_with_the_us/07:01
BrainstormUpdates for Germany: +66003 cases, +117 deaths since a day ago — Cayman Is.: +818 cases since 15 days ago07:05
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV: Novavax COVID-19 vaccine to become available this weekend in San Diego → https://old.reddit.com/r/CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV/comments/wbpxhi/novavax_covid19_vaccine_to_become_available_this/07:39
BrainstormUpdates for Florida, United States: +54510 cases, +188 deaths since 23 hours ago — Queensland, Australia: +18671 cases, +13 deaths since 23 hours ago — Fukuoka, Japan: +14053 cases, +7 deaths since 23 hours ago — Saitama, Japan: +13150 cases, +5 deaths since 23 hours ago08:01
de-facto%title https://twitter.com/jbloom_lab/status/154252609529920307409:01
Brainstormde-facto: From twitter.com: Bloom Lab on Twitter: "This new #SARSCoV2 Omicron subvariant (BA.2.75) flagged here by @PeacockFlu is worth tracking, as it has appreciable antigenic change relative to its parent BA.2. Key mutations: [...]09:01
BrainstormUpdates for Cambodia: +47 cases since 23 hours ago09:03
BrainstormNew from r/Coronavirus: Daily Discussion Thread | July 30, 2022: Please refer to our Wiki for more information on COVID-19 and our sub. You can find answers to frequently asked questions in our FAQ , where there is valuable information such as our: → https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/wbrby6/daily_discussion_thread_july_30_2022/09:03
de-facto%title https://twitter.com/jbloom_lab/status/155154053496288460809:04
Brainstormde-facto: From twitter.com: Bloom Lab on Twitter: "Go to actual escape calculator at https://t.co/dr4oGVHUrS to interactively explore more. You can select strains & see "next" predicted escape mutations after making mutations [...]09:04
de-facto%title https://jbloomlab.github.io/SARS2_RBD_Ab_escape_maps/escape-calc/09:04
Brainstormde-facto: From jbloomlab.github.io: Overview | Sites in SARS-CoV-2 RBD where mutations escape antibody binding09:04
de-facto%title https://academic.oup.com/ve/article/8/1/veac021/654989509:05
Brainstormde-facto: From academic.oup.com: antibody-escape estimator for mutations to the SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain | Virus Evolution | Oxford Academic09:05
BrainstormNew from Science-Based Medicine: Debating How to Debate Instead of Actually Debating: Every moment spent debating who can say what to whom and how and where they should say it, is time not spent talking about doctors who repeatedly underestimated the virus and successfully campaigned to [... want %more?] → https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/debating-how-to-debate-instead-of-actually-debating/09:22
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): The radical plan for vaccine equityCharity failed to provide adequate vaccines for the global south. Now, 15 countries are seeing whether an open-science model can end a dangerous legacy of dependency. nature.com/immersive/d415… → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155330498605819904011:06
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: (translated) Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): Therefore, an infection is not enough. Once in a while, a vaccination is needed to increase the repertoire of antibodies; raise all who can recognize pieces of Spike; and to strengthen memory cells.science.org/doi/10.1126/sc… → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155331147991444685011:34
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: (translated) Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): Oh there's a huge sad horn who thinks a serious new pandemic is a cold. This monster is so bad that it has denied over 20 million deaths from COVID-19 and those 20 million saved happy to see it dead HD! What a disgusting jerk [... want %more?] → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155331300391899955311:44
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV: COVID-19 increases stroke risk in younger patients and results in poorer outcomes, study shows: COVID-19 was a predictor of poorer outcomes, even though many of the patients were younger, healthier and even had [... want %more?] → https://old.reddit.com/r/CoronaVirus_2019_nCoV/comments/wbtqoe/covid19_increases_stroke_risk_in_younger_patients/11:53
BrainstormUpdates for Russia: +12248 cases, +43 deaths since a day ago12:04
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): 30/07/22 - ZOE COVID-19 Study Update: 3,744,277 people are currently predicted to have symptomatic COVID-19 in the UK, down by 129,721. Yesterday was 3,873,998 (-3%) and last Saturday was 4,476,952 (-16%). → https://old.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusUK/comments/wbtze3/300722_zoe_covid19_study_update/12:21
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: (translated) Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): And yes: a booster helps with this; and no SARS-OV-2 does not attack T cells! That's bullshit. Repeated simulation ensures better maturation and more memory cells:nature.com/articles/s4159… → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155332550220260966412:31
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: Global COVID Cases For 30JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbvpfa/global_covid_cases_for_30jul22/13:55
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: 'A very lonely place to be': Take COVID-19 seriously, long-haulers warn | 28JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbvy2a/a_very_lonely_place_to_be_take_covid19_seriously/14:05
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: Summer boosters for people under 50 shelved in favor of updated boosters in the fall | 29JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbvztm/summer_boosters_for_people_under_50_shelved_in/14:14
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Tulio de Oliveira (@Tuliodna): Very important results showing deaths In South Africa back at pre-pandemic level, even with he BA.4 & 5 recent wave. twitter.com/pieterstreiche… → https://twitter.com/Tuliodna/status/155335352959891046614:23
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: Experts warn teachers and parents to look out for long Covid in children | 29JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbwkhi/experts_warn_teachers_and_parents_to_look_out_for/14:42
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: Life expectancy in Japan sees first decline in 10 years amid pandemic | 30JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbwtqa/life_expectancy_in_japan_sees_first_decline_in_10/14:52
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): nCoV: Egypt extends campaigns to roll out COVID-19 shots to more institutions | 30JUL22 → https://old.reddit.com/r/nCoV/comments/wbwvo4/egypt_extends_campaigns_to_roll_out_covid19_shots/15:01
BrainstormNew from NPR Science: A lot of predictions were made about COVID's social impact. How did they hold up?: NPR's Scott Simon asks Wharton School management professor Ethan Mollick about research into pandemic predictions and how to make the people around [... want %more?] → https://www.npr.org/2022/07/30/1114697039/a-lot-of-predictions-were-made-about-covids-social-impact-how-did-they-hold-up15:20
BrainstormUpdates for Philippines: +3994 cases, +1 deaths, +24399 tests since a day ago16:00
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Estimation of timing of infection from longitudinal SARS-CoV-2 viral load data: mathematical modelling study → https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/wbyf2b/estimation_of_timing_of_infection_from/16:17
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD): “The United States is entering a critical three-month period where [monkeypox] cases may continue to multiply, but no more vaccines are scheduled to arrive until October at the earliest.” washingtonpost.com/health/2022/07… → https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/155338472728084480316:27
BrainstormUpdates for Azerbaijan: +393 cases, +1 deaths since 21 hours ago17:02
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Eric Topol (@EricTopol): What's next after BA.5?I don't want to see what outcompetes it.Right now it's BA.5 sub-subvariants that show some growth advantage (BA.5.x.x)cov-spectrum.org/collections/18That's a lot better than a whole new family as we saw from Delta -> Omicron pic.twitter.com/H9tZwDkwHp → https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/155340189147996569617:33
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Eric Topol (@EricTopol): A potential biomarker for Covid vasculitis and micro thrombi, My19 pnas.org/doi/suppl/10.1… @PNASNews pic.twitter.com/XbMtBFlxpN → https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/155340647639941939317:52
BrainstormUpdates for Italy: +50297 cases, +121 deaths, +290012 tests since 23 hours ago18:11
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Eric Topol (@EricTopol): New report by @silviast9 and colleagues indicates less than half of people in Geneva, Switzerland have BA.5 neutralizing antibodies, which leads to @macroliter's key point below twitter.com/macroliter/sta… pic.twitter.com/ftl6xdqb9c → https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/155341060560366387218:11
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD): This study in @JAMANetwork shows critical role of real-world evidence in advancing pandemic preparedness and response. Great collaboration @US_FDA, @DeptVetAffairs, @HarvardMed, @AetionInc and Acumen LLC twitter.com/bob_wachter/st… → https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/155341912593397351018:40
BrainstormUpdates for Myanmar: +40 cases since 23 hours ago19:01
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Tulio de Oliveira (@Tuliodna): Insurance death claims declined to pre-pandemic levels in first quarter of this year in South Africa  news24.com/fin24/companie… → https://twitter.com/Tuliodna/status/155342879598143897619:18
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Axios (@axios): Monkeypox vaccines may not be readily available for at-risk Americans if cases continue to climb. trib.al/MchFe9R → https://twitter.com/axios/status/155343429752842240619:56
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Assessment of unvaccinated and vaccinated patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treated with monoclonal antibodies during the delta wave (July 1–August 20, 2021): a retrospective observational monocentric study → https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/wc3c5w/assessment_of_unvaccinated_and_vaccinated/20:05
bn_mobileLjL:  Any thoughts on why the air quality is so bad in this area of Italy? https://usercontent.irccloud-cdn.com/file/nknszg7Q/AQI_N-Italy.JPG20:12
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis under the regular COVID-19 epidemic prevention and control in China → https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/wc3sml/incidence_of_pulmonary_tuberculosis_under_the/20:24
LjLbn_mobile, i'm seeing news of a fire in Voghera, in a recycling center, which is pretty... typical :\20:32
LjLbut it happened 20 days ago20:32
LjLit is a fairly industrial area, but i don't think that would justify that20:33
LjLhow did you happen to spot this?20:33
bn_mobileLjL:  Do the Alps to the north somehow trap smog?20:34
LjLbn_mobile, yes but that's the whole Po Valley, like the much bigger Milan you can see in the north of that map, no reason for *that* small area to be that bad20:34
LjLi mean no reason in normal "smog" circumstances20:34
LjLbn_mobile, also what's the exact timestamp of this? today? 2:10 what zone?20:35
bn_mobileLjL:  I was just exploring the new Apple Weather app’s AQI map layer for Malta & that area to the north stood out20:35
bn_mobileLjL:  I took a screenshot just now, I assume it’s based off live satellite data?20:39
LjLbn_mobile, probably not satellite but ground AQI stations20:39
LjLwith some interpolation20:39
LjLbut i dunno20:39
bn_mobilehttps://gspe21-ssl.ls.apple.com/html/attribution-229.html is what the “Map Data” link at the bottom goes to , but it doesn’t seem to mention AQI20:39
LjLbn_mobile, 3bmeteo actually gives "good" air quality for Voghera20:40
LjLeverything on the green20:40
LjLexcept potentially dangerous UV levels but that's obviously unrelated20:41
LjLilmeteo agrees20:41
LjLso i dunno20:41
bn_mobileOh, if you search “air quality “ on that page it says it’s provided by https://www.qweather.com/20:41
LjLa chinese site. there are a bunch of sites that source data from some chinese site20:42
LjLthen there is another big source20:42
LjLi'm being generic because i don't remember the names :\20:42
bn_mobilehttps://www.breezometer.com/air-quality-map/air-quality/italy/voghera claims the air is bad too ?20:42
LjLbn_mobile, anyway https://www.qweather.com/ doesn't actually show that bad spot20:42
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins): President Biden tests positive again. whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl… → https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/155344936500765491320:43
LjLhmm yes20:43
LjLsimilar to your app20:43
bn_mobileLjL: yeah, that’s the other source listed on the data page above20:44
bn_mobileFor “fire polygons “20:44
bn_mobileWhich would correlate with what you said about a recent fire20:45
LjLbn_mobile, https://waqi.info/#/c/45.546/9.371/7.3z doesn't list anything unusual20:45
LjLah20:45
LjLso the air quality may be extrapolated from knowledge of a recent fire?20:45
LjLbut the fire was 20 days ago and it rained in the meanwhile afaik'20:46
LjLhttps://www.iqair.com/italy also look normal except around that spot it *is* yellow rather than green, but just 55, which is pretty normal20:47
LjLa few fire icons too if you zoom in20:47
bn_mobileLjL:  Oh well, was trying to find a (mostly) English speaking place in the world that has perfect 70°F cool dry weather year-round :)20:52
bn_mobileIt seems everywhere in the tropics is broiling now 🥵20:52
BrainstormUpdates for Japan: +222230 cases, +101 deaths since a day ago20:59
BrainstormNew from r/COVID19: COVID19: Evaluating the impact of stay-at-home and quarantine measures on COVID-19 spread → https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/wc4k9p/evaluating_the_impact_of_stayathome_and/21:01
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: (translated) Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): Learn what infection is and what disease is, learn how vaccines work and what types of immunity there are and how they work and against what.Then you can talk. twitter.com/roels_maarten/… → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155345727180765593721:11
BrainstormNew from The Atlantic: Biden’s COVID Is Back: Four days after recovering from a COVID-19 infection, President Joe Biden has tested positive again . When he first got sick, Biden—like more than one-third of the Americans who have tested positive for COVID-19 this [... want %more?] → https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/07/biden-paxlovid-covid-drug-rebound-infections/671009/21:57
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Bob Wachter (@Bob_Wachter): Sorry to hear @POTUS has Pax rebound. It's generally benign (usually 3-7d; hospitalization rare) but he is infectious so needs to resume isolation. Need to expedite trials of longer Pax course (7 or 10 days). Prevalence? 2% my foot–it's pretty darn common. [... want %more?] → https://twitter.com/Bob_Wachter/status/155346743864513741322:07
BrainstormNew from StatNews: Biden tests positive for Covid-19 again — in a case of ‘Paxlovid rebound’: Such rebound cases following treatment with Pfizer’s five-day oral antiviral have stumped physicians as they’ve tried to understand what’s allowing the virus to come back. → https://www.statnews.com/2022/07/30/biden-tests-positive-for-covid19-again-in-paxlovid-rebound/22:16
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Michael Lin, MD PhD   (@michaelzlin): Note FDA Pfizer and Biden's advisors were on official record saying there was only a small chance of rebound (2% per FDA and Pfizer). I had plenty of replies kindly and unkindly telling me I was clueless.Yet once again my prediction has come true. → https://twitter.com/michaelzlin/status/155347610373747097622:26
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): Long COVID may now be less common than previously thought-LC is real and remains a concern- But, overestimating its prevalence, due to loose definition, may cause more concern than is needed/justified.cbc.ca/news/health/lo… → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155347660256196198422:35
LjLbn_mobile, italy definitely has seasons :P22:36
LjLhttps://www.iqair.com/italy i like it how the best and the worst cities are both in Calabria22:40
LjLthey're probably both making up numbers22:40
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Marc Veldhoen (@Marc_Veld): Elevated Myl9 reflects the Myl9-containing microthrombi in SARS-CoV-2–induced lung exudative vasculitis and predicts COVID-19 severitySARS-CoV-2–induced platelet activation causes an increase in plasma Myl9; closely correlated with clinical severity. [... want %more?] → https://twitter.com/Marc_Veld/status/155348578220310528423:03
BrainstormNew from COVID on Twitter: Michael Lin, MD PhD   (@michaelzlin): I wish Biden to get well soon. I'm sure he will.Silver linings are Pfizer-FDA now:— can't blame all rebounds on people missing doses— should say if EPIC-HR data reveals rebound predictors (e.g. age, or those who started it earlier)— will [... want %more?] → https://twitter.com/michaelzlin/status/155348787903240601623:13
BrainstormUpdates for India: +16530 cases since 16 hours ago — Canada: +1349 cases since 21 hours ago23:59

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